← Matchups

South Carolina

SEC · 2-0 · power +18.0 · #45
Our numberOU -1.9 no book has priced this game

Oklahoma

SEC · 1-1 · power +23.9 · #20
Our side
MoneylineOU to win ours 68%
Projected score 23–25 SC – OU
2026-10-31 · kickoff TBD Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) · Norman, OK SEC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Oklahoma and South Carolina split 2 (1–1) · 2 meetings since 2024
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Oklahoma Sooners 131 ranks
South Carolina Gamecocks #140 rush offense Oklahoma Sooners #9 run defense
Pass game edge Oklahoma Sooners 120 ranks
South Carolina Gamecocks #130 pass offense Oklahoma Sooners #10 pass defense
Run game edge South Carolina Gamecocks 206 ranks
Oklahoma Sooners #212 rush offense South Carolina Gamecocks #6 run defense
Pass game even 36 ranks apart
Oklahoma Sooners #152 pass offense South Carolina Gamecocks #116 pass defense
South Carolina Gamecocks Balanced · 51% run Ball-control Oklahoma Sooners Balanced · 51% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 38 rush ypg
Shane Beamer · 33-30 · defense-minded Brent Venables · 32-20 · defense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
South Carolina Gamecocks
RB Matt Fuller 199 rush yds · 2 TD · 1 rec #93 RB
DL Anthony Addison 3 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #233 DL
WR Donovan Murph 4 rec · 92 yds · 2 TD #164 WR
DL Tomiwa Durojaiye 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #288 DL
Oklahoma Sooners
TE Rocky Beers 8 rec · 137 yds · 1 TD #13 TE
DB Reggie Powers III 11 tkl · 1 PD #103 DB
QB John Mateer 414 pass yds · 4 TD · 1 INT #26 QB
DL Taylor Wein 11 tkl · 3.0 TFL #142 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
South Carolina GamecocksSEC +18.0 +6.4 +11.7 #45
Oklahoma SoonersSEC +23.9 +6.0 +17.9 #20

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
South Carolina offense vs Oklahoma defense-11.5 pts
Oklahoma offense vs South Carolina defense-5.6 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 937 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.