Harvard
· power +5.6 · #115
Our numberHARV -6.9
no book has priced this game
Dartmouth
· power -3.8 · #228
Our side
MoneylineHARV to win
ours 34%
Projected score
32–26
HARV – DART
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Harvard lead
63–40–4
· 107 meetings since 1882
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
12 ranks apart
Harvard Crimson #31 rush offense
Dartmouth Big Green #43 run defense
Pass game
edge Harvard Crimson
124 ranks
Harvard Crimson #18 pass offense
Dartmouth Big Green #142 pass defense
Run game
even
14 ranks apart
Dartmouth Big Green #84 rush offense
Harvard Crimson #70 run defense
Pass game
even
11 ranks apart
Dartmouth Big Green #57 pass offense
Harvard Crimson #68 pass defense
Harvard Crimson
Balanced · 45% run
Ball-control
Dartmouth Big Green
Balanced · 57% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 41 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Power breakdown
| Team | Power | Off | Def | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harvard Crimson |
+5.6 | +6.5 | -0.8 | #115 |
| Dartmouth Big Green |
-3.8 | -3.6 | -0.2 | #228 |
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Harvard offense vs Dartmouth defense+6.7 pts
Dartmouth offense vs Harvard defense-2.8 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.