Our side
MoneylineUVA to win
ours 40%
Projected score
30–23
UVA – WAKE
2026-10-31 · kickoff TBD
Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium · Winston-Salem, NC
ACC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Virginia lead
34–18
· 52 meetings since 1911
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
27 ranks apart
Virginia Cavaliers #46 rush offense
Wake Forest Demon Deacons #19 run defense
Pass game
edge Wake Forest Demon Deacons
97 ranks
Virginia Cavaliers #128 pass offense
Wake Forest Demon Deacons #31 pass defense
Run game
edge Virginia Cavaliers
45 ranks
Wake Forest Demon Deacons #83 rush offense
Virginia Cavaliers #38 run defense
Pass game
edge Virginia Cavaliers
104 ranks
Wake Forest Demon Deacons #139 pass offense
Virginia Cavaliers #35 pass defense
Virginia Cavaliers
Balanced · 53% run
Avg pace
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Balanced · 53% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 46 rush ypg
Tony Elliott · 22-26 · defense-minded
Jake Dickert · 32-24 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Virginia Cavaliers
DL
Fisher Camac
6 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 0.5 TFL
#140 DL
DB
Jacobie Henderson
12 tkl · 3 PD
#147 DB
DB
Brandyn Hillman
6 tkl · 3 INT
#152 DB
K
Will Bettridge
3 FG · 11 XP · 20 pts
#36 K
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
QB
Gio Lopez
575 pass yds · 4 TD · 0 INT
#4 QB
K
Connor Calvert
6 FG · 6 XP · 24 pts
#10 K
WR
Carlos Hernandez
11 rec · 253 yds · 1 TD
#49 WR
LB
Vincent Firenze
20 tkl · 2.0 TFL
#49 LB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Virginia offense vs Wake Forest defense+0.6 pts
Wake Forest offense vs Virginia defense-5.4 pts
Rest · context onlyHome team on 6 more days rest
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.