← Matchups

Indiana State

· 1-2 · power -9.4 · #288
Our numberUNI -8.4 no book has priced this game

Northern Iowa

· 1-1 · power -4.0 · #230
Our side
MoneylineUNI to win ours 70%
Projected score 25–33 INST – UNI
2026-10-31 · 2:00 PM UNI-Dome · Cedar Falls, IA Conference game Indoors Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Northern Iowa lead 18–2 · 20 meetings since 1983
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 22 ranks apart
Indiana State Sycamores #221 rush offense Northern Iowa Panthers #199 run defense
Pass game even 35 ranks apart
Indiana State Sycamores #166 pass offense Northern Iowa Panthers #201 pass defense
Run game even 35 ranks apart
Northern Iowa Panthers #223 rush offense Indiana State Sycamores #258 run defense
Pass game edge Northern Iowa Panthers 75 ranks
Northern Iowa Panthers #174 pass offense Indiana State Sycamores #249 pass defense
Indiana State Sycamores Balanced · 54% run Ball-control Northern Iowa Panthers Balanced · 57% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Indiana State Sycamores
DL Kaleb Harris 12 tkl · 3.5 TFL #65 DL
DB Nic Yatsko 25 tkl · 2 PD #83 DB
WR BJ Wuest 11 rec · 226 yds · 1 TD #156 WR
WR Keshon Singleton 12 rec · 132 yds · 1 TD #167 WR
Northern Iowa Panthers
TE Brady McCullough 7 rec · 98 yds · 3 TD #11 TE
DB Calvin Jaworski 7 tkl · 1 INT #132 DB
LB John Powers 20 tkl #123 LB
LB Kolben Miller 12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #151 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Indiana State Sycamores -9.4 -2.5 -6.9 #288
Northern Iowa Panthers -4.0 -2.5 -1.5 #230

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Indiana State offense vs Northern Iowa defense-0.9 pts
Northern Iowa offense vs Indiana State defense+4.4 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.