← Matchups

Minnesota

B1G · 1-1 · power +6.8 · #104
Our numberIU -30.3 no book has priced this game

Indiana

B1G · 2-0 · power +33.9 · #3
Our side
MoneylineIU to win ours 96%
Projected score 10–40 MINN – IU
2026-10-31 · kickoff TBD Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) · Bloomington, IN B1G game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Minnesota lead 40–26–3 · 69 meetings since 1906
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Indiana Hoosiers 222 ranks
Minnesota Golden Gophers #224 rush offense Indiana Hoosiers #2 run defense
Pass game edge Indiana Hoosiers 63 ranks
Minnesota Golden Gophers #129 pass offense Indiana Hoosiers #66 pass defense
Run game edge Indiana Hoosiers 72 ranks
Indiana Hoosiers #45 rush offense Minnesota Golden Gophers #117 run defense
Pass game edge Indiana Hoosiers 72 ranks
Indiana Hoosiers #8 pass offense Minnesota Golden Gophers #80 pass defense
Minnesota Golden Gophers Balanced · 44% run Ball-control Indiana Hoosiers Run-heavy · 58% run Ball-control
P.J. Fleck · 87-50 Curt Cignetti · 46-6

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Minnesota Golden Gophers
DL TJ Bush Jr. 11 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #92 DL
RB Darius Taylor 71 rush yds · 3 TD · 4 rec #139 RB
LB Maverick Baranowski 15 tkl · 1.0 TFL #208 LB
QB Drake Lindsey 543 pass yds · 1 TD · 0 INT #77 QB
Indiana Hoosiers
LB Rolijah Hardy 12 tkl · 1.0 TFL #15 LB
WR Charlie Becker 7 rec · 145 yds · 5 TD #21 WR
RB Turbo Richard 166 rush yds · 3 TD · 2 rec #34 RB
DL Tobi Osunsanmi 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL #181 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Minnesota Golden GophersB1G +6.8 +1.1 +5.6 #104
Indiana HoosiersB1G +33.9 +18.5 +15.4 #3

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Minnesota offense vs Indiana defense-14.3 pts
Indiana offense vs Minnesota defense+12.9 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 527 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.