← Matchups

Auburn

SEC · 2-0 · power +21.2 · #30
Our numberMISS -7.7 no book has priced this game

Ole Miss

SEC · 2-0 · power +24.9 · #18
Our side
MoneylineMISS to win ours 63%
Projected score 22–30 AUB – MISS
2026-10-31 · kickoff TBD Vaught-Hemingway Stadium · Oxford, MS SEC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Auburn lead 35–13 · 48 meetings since 1928
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Auburn Tigers 175 ranks
Auburn Tigers #23 rush offense Ole Miss Rebels #198 run defense
Pass game edge Ole Miss Rebels 135 ranks
Auburn Tigers #193 pass offense Ole Miss Rebels #58 pass defense
Run game edge Auburn Tigers 48 ranks
Ole Miss Rebels #53 rush offense Auburn Tigers #5 run defense
Pass game edge Ole Miss Rebels 104 ranks
Ole Miss Rebels #23 pass offense Auburn Tigers #127 pass defense
Auburn Tigers Balanced · 54% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 31 rush ypg Ole Miss Rebels Balanced · 52% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 39 rush ypg
Hugh Freeze · 64-44 Pete Golding · 2-1

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Auburn Tigers
LB Elijah Melendez 18 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #4 LB
DB Andre Jordan Jr. 5 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT #14 DB
DL Cody Sigler 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #149 DL
DB Eric Winters 14 tkl #194 DB
Ole Miss Rebels
WR Deuce Alexander 13 rec · 235 yds · 2 TD #24 WR
QB Trinidad Chambliss 561 pass yds · 5 TD · 1 INT #13 QB
DB Jaylon Braxton 11 tkl · 3 PD #111 DB
RB Kewan Lacy 148 rush yds · 3 TD · 5 rec #50 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Auburn TigersSEC +21.2 +5.8 +15.4 #30
Ole Miss RebelsSEC +24.9 +16.2 +8.7 #18

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Auburn offense vs Ole Miss defense-2.8 pts
Ole Miss offense vs Auburn defense+0.8 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.