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Marist

· 1-2 · power -13.4 · #332
Our numberUSD -2.4 no book has priced this game

San Diego

· 0-2 · power -13.8 · #334
Our side
MoneylineUSD to win ours 56%
Projected score 24–27 MRST – USD
2026-10-31 · 4:00 PM Torero Stadium · San Diego, CA Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series San Diego lead 16–2 · 18 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge San Diego Toreros 101 ranks
Marist Red Foxes #128 rush offense San Diego Toreros #27 run defense
Pass game edge Marist Red Foxes 60 ranks
Marist Red Foxes #151 pass offense San Diego Toreros #211 pass defense
Run game edge Marist Red Foxes 163 ranks
San Diego Toreros #178 rush offense Marist Red Foxes #15 run defense
Pass game even 18 ranks apart
San Diego Toreros #120 pass offense Marist Red Foxes #138 pass defense
Marist Red Foxes Balanced · 50% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 40 rush ypg San Diego Toreros Run-heavy · 60% run Avg pace

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Marist Red Foxes
DB Tyrell Powell 13 tkl · 6 PD #98 DB
DL Jordan Caldwell 1 tkl #115 DL
DB Chase Hatton 15 tkl · 4 PD #106 DB
LB Kade Werner 23 tkl · 2.5 TFL #207 LB
San Diego Toreros
DB Dillon Kellner 6 tkl · 1 PD #347 DB
WR Cole Monach 8 rec · 95 yds · 1 TD #271 WR
TE Carter Pruitt 4 rec · 50 yds #127 TE
RB Omar Mbakwe 102 rush yds · 1 TD · 1 rec #278 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Marist Red Foxes -13.4 -14.3 +0.9 #332
San Diego Toreros -13.8 -4.3 -9.6 #334

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Marist offense vs San Diego defense-4.7 pts
San Diego offense vs Marist defense-5.1 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 2,431 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.