← Matchups

Arizona

B12 · 1-1 (0-1 B12) · power +22.9 · #22
Our numberTTU -7.2 no book has priced this game

Texas Tech

B12 · 2-0 · power +27.0 · #11
Our side
MoneylineTTU to win ours 64%
Projected score 24–31 ARIZ – TTU
2026-10-31 · kickoff TBD Galaxy Stadium · Lubbock, TX B12 game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Texas Tech lead 27–5–2 · 34 meetings since 1932
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Texas Tech Red Raiders 64 ranks
Arizona Wildcats #65 rush offense Texas Tech Red Raiders #1 run defense
Pass game edge Texas Tech Red Raiders 104 ranks
Arizona Wildcats #106 pass offense Texas Tech Red Raiders #2 pass defense
Run game edge Texas Tech Red Raiders 65 ranks
Texas Tech Red Raiders #47 rush offense Arizona Wildcats #112 run defense
Pass game even 20 ranks apart
Texas Tech Red Raiders #58 pass offense Arizona Wildcats #78 pass defense
Arizona Wildcats Balanced · 51% run Avg pace Texas Tech Red Raiders Balanced · 53% run Ball-control
Brent Brennan · 47-60 Joey McGuire · 35-18

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Arizona Wildcats
QB Noah Fifita 492 pass yds · 3 TD · 1 INT #42 QB
WR Giovanni Richardson 13 rec · 144 yds #162 WR
LB Chase Kennedy 9 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL #182 LB
RB Kedrick Reescano 97 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec #152 RB
Texas Tech Red Raiders
RB J'Koby Williams 187 rush yds · 2 TD · 10 rec #20 RB
LB Ben Roberts 15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #97 LB
DL A.J. Holmes Jr. 6 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL #187 DL
K Stone Harrington 4 FG · 8 XP · 20 pts #28 K

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Arizona WildcatsB12 +22.9 +7.1 +15.8 #22
Texas Tech Red RaidersB12 +27.0 +13.8 +13.1 #11

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Arizona offense vs Texas Tech defense-6.0 pts
Texas Tech offense vs Arizona defense-2.0 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 535 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.