← Matchups

Temple

AAC · 1-1 · power +8.3 · #92
Our numberTEM -0.5 no book has priced this game

East Carolina

AAC · 0-2 · power +10.4 · #79
Our side
MoneylineECU to win ours 60%
Projected score 27–26 TEM – ECU
2026-10-31 · kickoff TBD Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium · Greenville, NC AAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series East Carolina lead 12–10 · 22 meetings since 1982
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge East Carolina Pirates 104 ranks
Temple Owls #149 rush offense East Carolina Pirates #45 run defense
Pass game even 27 ranks apart
Temple Owls #59 pass offense East Carolina Pirates #32 pass defense
Run game edge East Carolina Pirates 114 ranks
East Carolina Pirates #121 rush offense Temple Owls #235 run defense
Pass game edge East Carolina Pirates 183 ranks
East Carolina Pirates #52 pass offense Temple Owls #235 pass defense
Temple Owls Balanced · 57% run Ball-control East Carolina Pirates Balanced · 53% run Avg pace
K.C. Keeler · 17-19 · offense-minded Blake Harrell · 14-5

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Temple Owls
RB Keveun Mason 234 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec #24 RB
DB Jamarcus Pierre 3 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #107 DB
LB Curly Ordonez 20 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #68 LB
LB Tyree Alualu 5 tkl #81 LB
East Carolina Pirates
WR Jeremiah Melvin 11 rec · 154 yds · 1 TD #89 WR
DL Kendrick DuJour 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #255 DL
DL Torin Brazell 5 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #307 DL
LB Crews Law 12 tkl · 1.5 TFL #220 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Temple OwlsAAC +8.3 +3.6 +4.7 #92
East Carolina PiratesAAC +10.4 +3.9 +6.5 #79

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Temple offense vs East Carolina defense-2.9 pts
East Carolina offense vs Temple defense-0.8 pts
Rest · context onlyAway team on 5 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.