Our side
MoneylineUIW to win
ours 97%
Projected score
16–47
NWST – UIW
2026-10-31 · 5:00 PM
Gayle and Tom Benson Stadium · San Antonio, TX
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Incarnate Word lead
5–3
· 8 meetings since 2014
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Incarnate Word Cardinals
208 ranks
Northwestern State Demons #259 rush offense
Incarnate Word Cardinals #51 run defense
Pass game
edge Incarnate Word Cardinals
96 ranks
Northwestern State Demons #265 pass offense
Incarnate Word Cardinals #169 pass defense
Run game
edge Incarnate Word Cardinals
105 ranks
Incarnate Word Cardinals #160 rush offense
Northwestern State Demons #265 run defense
Pass game
edge Incarnate Word Cardinals
90 ranks
Incarnate Word Cardinals #172 pass offense
Northwestern State Demons #262 pass defense
Northwestern State Demons
Run-heavy · 63% run
Ball-control
Incarnate Word Cardinals
Balanced · 52% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Northwestern State Demons
DL
Geoffrey Ojeh
7 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#296 DL
DB
Joe Natali
14 tkl
#481 DB
LB
Danny Sears
14 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 0.5 TFL
#370 LB
DB
Diego Sanchez
9 tkl · 1 PD
#676 DB
Incarnate Word Cardinals
DL
Jeremiah Young
7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#28 DL
RB
Lontrell Turner
153 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec
#60 RB
LB
Christian Barney
18 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#103 LB
WR
Isaiah Champagne
12 rec · 141 yds · 1 TD
#159 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Northwestern State offense vs Incarnate Word defense-6.0 pts
Incarnate Word offense vs Northwestern State defense+21.2 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.