Our side
MoneylineCCU to win
ours 50%
Projected score
26–29
CCU – GAST
2026-10-31 · kickoff TBD
Center Parc Stadium · Atlanta, GA
SBC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Coastal Carolina lead
5–4
· 9 meetings since 2017
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
8 ranks apart
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers #229 rush offense
Georgia State Panthers #237 run defense
Pass game
even
18 ranks apart
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers #221 pass offense
Georgia State Panthers #239 pass defense
Run game
edge Georgia State Panthers
51 ranks
Georgia State Panthers #158 rush offense
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers #209 run defense
Pass game
edge Georgia State Panthers
57 ranks
Georgia State Panthers #138 pass offense
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers #195 pass defense
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Balanced · 57% run
Ball-control
Georgia State Panthers
Balanced · 50% run
Avg pace
Tim Beck · 20-18
Dell McGee · 4-20 · offense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
WR
Clayton Coppock Jr.
6 rec · 109 yds · 3 TD
#97 WR
WR
Colton Hinton
6 rec · 154 yds · 2 TD
#123 WR
DL
Ibrahim Diawara
8 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#241 DL
QB
Deuce Bailey
576 pass yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
#58 QB
Georgia State Panthers
QB
Cameran Brown
443 pass yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
#48 QB
RB
Dennis Murray Jr.
75 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec
#101 RB
LB
Xavier Esqillion
7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#156 LB
DL
Jabriel Rhodes-Nelson
6 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#281 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Coastal Carolina offense vs Georgia State defense+4.4 pts
Georgia State offense vs Coastal Carolina defense+2.5 pts
Rest · context onlyAway team on 8 more days rest
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.