Our side
MoneylineFRES to win
ours 68%
Projected score
21–27
ORST – FRES
2026-10-31 · kickoff TBD
Valley Children's Stadium · Fresno, CA
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Fresno State lead
9–6
· 15 meetings since 1981
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Fresno State Bulldogs
137 ranks
Oregon State Beavers #240 rush offense
Fresno State Bulldogs #103 run defense
Pass game
edge Fresno State Bulldogs
160 ranks
Oregon State Beavers #239 pass offense
Fresno State Bulldogs #79 pass defense
Run game
edge Oregon State Beavers
145 ranks
Fresno State Bulldogs #234 rush offense
Oregon State Beavers #89 run defense
Pass game
edge Fresno State Bulldogs
58 ranks
Fresno State Bulldogs #119 pass offense
Oregon State Beavers #177 pass defense
Oregon State Beavers
Balanced · 54% run
Avg pace
Fresno State Bulldogs
Run-heavy · 60% run
Ball-control
Trent Bray · 5-14 · defense-minded
Matt Entz · 9-4 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Oregon State Beavers
WR
Jesse Legree
13 rec · 376 yds · 3 TD
#3 WR
LB
Aiden Sullivan
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#8 LB
DB
Sailasa Vadrawale III
9 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
#55 DB
LB
Takari Hickle
12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#95 LB
Fresno State Bulldogs
DL
Jahzon Jacks
9 tkl · 2.0 TFL
#89 DL
DL
Martin Owusu
13 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#118 DL
RB
Bryson Donelson
117 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec
#116 RB
LB
K'vion Thunderbird
13 tkl · 2.0 TFL
#222 LB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Oregon State offense vs Fresno State defense-10.1 pts
Fresno State offense vs Oregon State defense-4.4 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 566 mi
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.