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Arizona State

B12 · 1-1 · power +14.0 · #60
Our numberBYU -16.8 no book has priced this game

BYU

B12 · 2-0 (1-0 B12) · power +25.1 · #16
Our side
MoneylineBYU to win ours 79%
Projected score 17–34 ASU – BYU
2026-10-31 · kickoff TBD LaVell Edwards Stadium · Provo, UT B12 game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Arizona State lead 21–8 · 29 meetings since 1935
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 33 ranks apart
Arizona State Sun Devils #96 rush offense BYU Cougars #63 run defense
Pass game edge BYU Cougars 75 ranks
Arizona State Sun Devils #134 pass offense BYU Cougars #59 pass defense
Run game even 33 ranks apart
BYU Cougars #43 rush offense Arizona State Sun Devils #76 run defense
Pass game even 17 ranks apart
BYU Cougars #99 pass offense Arizona State Sun Devils #82 pass defense
Arizona State Sun Devils Balanced · 55% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 44 rush ypg BYU Cougars Balanced · 57% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 41 rush ypg
Kenny Dillingham · 22-17 · defense-minded Kalani Sitake · 84-45

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Arizona State Sun Devils
WR Reed Harris 15 rec · 326 yds · 4 TD #4 WR
QB Cutter Boley 641 pass yds · 8 TD · 2 INT #22 QB
WR Omarion Miller 17 rec · 131 yds · 1 TD #86 WR
DB Montana Warren 10 tkl #343 DB
BYU Cougars
QB Bear Bachmeier 415 pass yds · 6 TD · 0 INT #12 QB
DL Tausili Akana 4 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL #171 DL
WR Legend Glasker 6 rec · 139 yds · 2 TD #113 WR
WR Kyler Kasper 8 rec · 93 yds · 2 TD #116 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Arizona State Sun DevilsB12 +14.0 +10.4 +3.6 #60
BYU CougarsB12 +25.1 +13.9 +11.2 #16

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Arizona State offense vs BYU defense-0.8 pts
BYU offense vs Arizona State defense+10.3 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 472 mi
Altitude · context only1,055 m higher than the visitor's home elevation

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.