BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

On the board
0 priced of 71
Median gap
—
Straight up
104–32
Model state
—
Wk 0 Wk 1 Wk 2 Wk 3 Wk 4 Wk 5 Wk 6 Wk 7 Wk 8 Wk 9 Wk 10 Wk 11 Wk 12 Wk 13 Wk 14 Wk 15
● Top projected winners 76% · 104-32 this season

The model's most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Graded straight-up on the public record once games are played.

Top projected winners ranked by our win probability · graded straight up, never against a price

No game on this slate has a win probability to rank yet.

Top spread reads ranked by the book’s de-vigged lean toward our side — the only calibrated cover probability here; “we differ by” is distance, not confidence

No game on this slate has a book spread to compare against yet.

Top total reads ranked by the book’s de-vigged lean toward our side; the points are our distance from the line

No game on this slate has a book total to compare against yet.

Top team totals our projected score against the book’s team total · 0 games priced this week

No book has posted a team total on this slate yet.

All games 71 Sheet Panels All games
KickoffMatchupDivOur side Our projectionMarket Best number (tap to add)
2026-11-24TBD Miami (OH) @ Western Michigan Kalamazoo, MI FBS WMU to winWMU 81% 17–31 · 47.5 — no line
2026-11-247:00 PM Kent State @ Eastern Michigan Ypsilanti, MI FBS KENT to winEMU 51% 26–28 · 53.3 — no line
2026-11-263:00 PM Tuskegee @ Alabama State Montgomery, AL NON-D1 FCS ALST to winALST 98% 11–45 · 56.1 — no line
2026-11-268:00 PM ● TCU @ Texas Tech Lubbock, TX FBS TTU to winTTU 76% 19–34 · 53.6 — no line
2026-11-27TBD Florida Atlantic @ East Carolina Greenville, NC FBS ECU to winECU 74% 27–32 · 59.3 — no line
2026-11-27TBD Temple @ Memphis Memphis, TN FBS MEM to winMEM 70% 23–30 · 52.8 — no line
2026-11-27TBD Tulane @ South Florida Tampa, FL FBS USF to winUSF 69% 22–28 · 50.0 — no line
2026-11-2712:00 PM ● Mississippi State @ Ole Miss Oxford, MS FBS MISS to winMISS 66% 28–31 · 59.1 —
2026-11-2712:00 PM ● Nebraska @ Iowa Iowa City, IA FBS IOWA to winIOWA 66% 21–29 · 50.0 — no line
2026-11-2712:00 PM Buffalo @ Akron Akron, OH FBS AKR to winAKR 68% 21–32 · 53.7 — no line
2026-11-2712:00 PM Toledo @ Ohio Athens, OH FBS TOL to winTOL 66% 30–22 · 51.8 — no line
2026-11-273:00 PM App State @ South Alabama Mobile, AL FBS USA to winUSA 55% 26–26 · 52.5 — no line
2026-11-273:30 PM ● Florida @ Florida State Tallahassee, FL FBS FLA to winFLA 55% 30–21 · 50.6 — no line
2026-11-273:30 PM North Dakota State @ San José State San Jose, CA FCS FBS NDSU to winNDSU 52% 28–28 · 56.2 — no line
2026-11-277:30 PM ● Texas @ Texas A&M College Station, TX FBS TA&M to winTA&M 58% 26–29 · 54.7 —
2026-11-277:30 PM ● Minnesota @ Wisconsin Madison, WI FBS WIS to winWIS 67% 20–25 · 45.0 — no line
2026-11-279:00 PM ● West Virginia @ Utah Salt Lake City, UT FBS UTAH to winUTAH 91% 14–40 · 53.8 — no line
2026-11-28TBD ● Auburn @ Alabama Tuscaloosa, AL FBS ALA to winALA 81% 16–32 · 48.8 —
2026-11-28TBD ● LSU @ Arkansas Fayetteville, AR FBS LSU to winLSU 82% 37–16 · 53.7 — no line
2026-11-28TBD ● Georgia Tech @ Georgia Athens, GA FBS UGA to winUGA 79% 18–35 · 52.9 — no line
2026-11-28TBD ● Louisville @ Kentucky Lexington, KY FBS LOU to winLOU 64% 30–24 · 54.0 — no line
2026-11-28TBD ● Oklahoma @ Missouri Columbia, MO FBS OU to winOU 54% 25–23 · 48.4 — no line
2026-11-28TBD ● South Carolina @ Clemson Clemson, SC FBS SC to winSC 51% 29–21 · 49.6 —
2026-11-28TBD ● Tennessee @ Vanderbilt Nashville, TN FBS TENN to winTENN 58% 32–26 · 58.1 —
2026-11-28TBD ● Arizona State @ Arizona Tucson, AZ FBS ARIZ to winARIZ 74% 19–33 · 52.0 —
2026-11-28TBD ● Baylor @ Houston Houston, TX FBS BAY to winBAY 54% 28–26 · 53.2 — no line
2026-11-28TBD ● UCF @ Colorado Boulder, CO FBS COLO to winCOLO 57% 21–25 · 46.1 — no line
2026-11-28TBD ● Cincinnati @ BYU Provo, UT FBS BYU to winBYU 74% 16–32 · 48.6 — no line
2026-11-28TBD ● Kansas @ Oklahoma State Stillwater, OK FBS KU to winOKST 51% 26–27 · 53.0 — no line
2026-11-28TBD ● Kansas State @ Iowa State Ames, IA FBS KSU to winKSU 53% 26–22 · 49.0 — no line
2026-11-28TBD ● Boston College @ Miami Miami Gardens, FL FBS MIA to winMIA 95% 9–41 · 49.8 — no line
2026-11-28TBD ● Duke @ Wake Forest Winston-Salem, NC FBS DUKE to winDUKE 58% 28–27 · 54.6 — no line
2026-11-28TBD ● NC State @ North Carolina Chapel Hill, NC FBS UNC to winUNC 53% 22–26 · 47.7 — no line
2026-11-28TBD ● Notre Dame @ Syracuse Syracuse, NY FBS ND to winND 96% 39–13 · 52.0 — no line
2026-11-28TBD ● Pittsburgh @ California Berkeley, CA FBS PITT to winPITT 77% 36–19 · 54.9 — no line
2026-11-28TBD ● SMU @ Stanford Stanford, CA FBS SMU to winSMU 90% 39–14 · 53.6 — no line
2026-11-28TBD ● Virginia @ Virginia Tech Blacksburg, VA FBS UVA to winUVA 70% 28–23 · 51.3 — no line
2026-11-28TBD ● Illinois @ Northwestern Evanston, IL FBS NU to winNU 51% 22–27 · 48.6 —
2026-11-28TBD ● Purdue @ Indiana Bloomington, IN FBS IU to winIU 94% 13–41 · 53.9 — no line
2026-11-28TBD ● Penn State @ Maryland College Park, MD FBS PSU to winPSU 80% 28–21 · 49.1 — no line
2026-11-28TBD ● Washington @ Oregon Eugene, OR FBS ORE to winORE 66% 21–30 · 50.4 —
2026-11-28TBD ● Michigan State @ Rutgers Piscataway, NJ FBS MSU to winMSU 77% 32–20 · 51.7 — no line
2026-11-28TBD ● USC @ UCLA Pasadena, CA FBS USC to winUSC 60% 29–23 · 52.7 — no line
2026-11-28TBD TBD @ Colorado State Fort Collins, CO NON-D1 FBS CSU to winCSU 89% 20–39 · 58.6 — no line
2026-11-28TBD TBD @ Fresno State Fresno, CA NON-D1 FBS FRES to winFRES 91% 14–36 · 50.4 — no line
2026-11-28TBD TBD @ Utah State Logan, UT NON-D1 FBS USU to winUSU 89% 17–37 · 54.3 — no line
2026-11-28TBD TBD @ Washington State Pullman, WA NON-D1 FBS WSU to winWSU 93% 12–37 · 49.3 — no line
2026-11-28TBD UConn @ Wyoming Laramie, WY FBS CONN to winCONN 60% 26–24 · 50.4 — no line
2026-11-28TBD Tulsa @ UTSA San Antonio, TX FBS UTSA to winUTSA 84% 18–36 · 54.5 — no line
2026-11-28TBD Army @ Rice Houston, TX FBS ARMY to winARMY 69% 28–18 · 45.1 — no line
2026-11-28TBD Navy @ Charlotte Charlotte, NC FBS NAVY to winNAVY 86% 34–17 · 50.5 — no line
2026-11-28TBD UAB @ North Texas Denton, TX FBS UNT to winUNT 93% 21–39 · 59.6 — no line
2026-11-28TBD UTEP @ Northern Illinois Dekalb, IL FBS NIU to winNIU 59% 23–28 · 50.3 — no line
2026-11-28TBD Coastal Carolina @ James Madison Harrisonburg, VA FBS JMU to winJMU 77% 20–34 · 54.5 — no line
2026-11-28TBD Louisiana Tech @ Georgia Southern Statesboro, GA FBS GASO to winGASO 60% 24–28 · 52.2 — no line
2026-11-28TBD Louisiana @ Georgia State Atlanta, GA FBS UL to winUL 65% 30–24 · 54.0 — no line
2026-11-28TBD Marshall @ UL Monroe Monroe, LA FBS MRSH to winMRSH 68% 34–22 · 55.0 — no line
2026-11-28TBD Southern Miss @ Old Dominion Norfolk, VA FBS ODU to winODU 68% 23–32 · 55.2 — no line
2026-11-2812:00 PM ● Michigan @ Ohio State Columbus, OH FBS OSU to winOSU 81% 14–30 · 44.0 —
2026-11-2812:00 PM Central Michigan @ Ball State Muncie, IN FBS BALL to winBALL 66% 21–29 · 49.7 — no line
2026-11-2812:00 PM Massachusetts @ Bowling Green Bowling Green, OH FBS BGSU to winBGSU 58% 25–27 · 51.8 — no line
2026-11-281:00 PM Kennesaw State @ Western Kentucky Bowling Green, KY FBS WKU to winKENN 54% 29–28 · 56.5 — no line
2026-11-282:00 PM Grambling @ Southern New Orleans, LA · neutral FCS GRAM to winGRAM 83% 37–22 · 59.0 — no line
2026-11-282:00 PM Liberty @ Missouri State Springfield, MO FBS MOST to winMOST 64% 23–27 · 49.6 — no line
2026-11-282:00 PM Sam Houston @ Florida International Miami, FL FBS FIU to winFIU 78% 19–32 · 50.5 — no line
2026-11-282:00 PM New Mexico State @ Middle Tennessee Murfreesboro, TN FBS MTSU to winMTSU 51% 24–28 · 52.3 — no line
2026-11-283:00 PM Troy @ Arkansas State Jonesboro, AR FBS ARST to winARST 59% 24–27 · 51.6 — no line
2026-11-283:30 PM Jacksonville State @ Delaware Newark, DE FBS DEL to winDEL 60% 25–30 · 55.0 — no line
2026-11-284:30 PM Air Force @ New Mexico Albuquerque, NM FBS UNM to winUNM 67% 20–31 · 51.0 — no line
2026-11-289:00 PM Nevada @ UNLV Las Vegas, NV FBS UNLV to winUNLV 65% 23–27 · 49.7 — no line
2026-11-2811:00 PM Sacramento State @ Hawai'i Honolulu, HI FCS FBS HAW to winHAW 87% 18–37 · 55.5 — no line

Every row links to its full breakdown.