Auburn Tigers @ Alabama Crimson Tide
2026-11-28 · kickoff TBD
· Bryant-Denny Stadium · Tuscaloosa, AL
Alabama -5.7
Projected spread
52.5
Projected total
23–29
Proj score (away–home)
62%
Alabama win prob
Series
Alabama lead
51–32–1
· 84 meetings since 1902
Auburn Tigers
Hugh Freeze · 60-39
Balanced · 54% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 31 rush ypg
Alabama Crimson Tide — defense
Alabama Crimson Tide — offense
Alabama Crimson Tide
Kalen DeBoer · 46-13
Balanced · 48% run
Ball-control
Unit strength
weaker · avg · stronger
Position groups are shaded by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense), not individual players — per-player ratings wait on the 2026 rosters. Identity, tempo, dual-threat and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.
Power breakdown
| Team | Div | Power | Off | Def (higher = better) | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auburn Tigers SEC | FBS | +8.9 | +2.4 | +6.5 | #41 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide SEC | FBS | +12.2 | +5.9 | +6.2 | #18 |
Auburn offense vs. Alabama defense
-3.9 pts
Alabama offense vs. Auburn defense
-0.6 pts
Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), FBS and FCS on one scale. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites). An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone. Player-level matchups, team strengths/weaknesses, and the Vegas-line comparison arrive as those phases land.