← Matchups

Michigan

B1G · 2-0 · power +22.1 · #24
Our numberOSU -15.2 no book has priced this game

Ohio State

B1G · 1-1 · power +34.9 · #2
Our side
MoneylineOSU to win ours 81%
Projected score 14–30 MICH – OSU
2026-11-28 · 12:00 PM Ohio Stadium · Columbus, OH B1G game Early season

The books 2 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book MICH spreadOSU spread OverUnder MICH winOSU win MICH TT overMICH TT under OSU TT overOSU TT under
DraftKings
FanDuel

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Series Michigan lead 62–53–6 · 121 meetings since 1897
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 29 ranks apart
Michigan Wolverines #33 rush offense Ohio State Buckeyes #4 run defense
Pass game edge Ohio State Buckeyes 172 ranks
Michigan Wolverines #181 pass offense Ohio State Buckeyes #9 pass defense
Run game even 27 ranks apart
Ohio State Buckeyes #117 rush offense Michigan Wolverines #90 run defense
Pass game edge Ohio State Buckeyes 90 ranks
Ohio State Buckeyes #7 pass offense Michigan Wolverines #97 pass defense
Michigan Wolverines Balanced · 58% run Ball-control Ohio State Buckeyes Balanced · 52% run Ball-control
Sherrone Moore · 17-8 Ryan Day · 82-12

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Michigan Wolverines
DL Dom Nichols 10 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #17 DL
DL John Henry Daley 11 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #45 DL
LB Troy Bowles 21 tkl · 2.0 TFL #74 LB
WR JJ Buchanan 8 rec · 174 yds · 1 TD #81 WR
Ohio State Buckeyes
WR Jeremiah Smith 16 rec · 315 yds · 3 TD #7 WR
QB Julian Sayin 598 pass yds · 4 TD · 1 INT #32 QB
RB Bo Jackson 157 rush yds · 1 TD · 5 rec #73 RB
DB Earl Little Jr. 15 tkl · 1 PD #175 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Michigan WolverinesB1G +22.1 +5.7 +16.4 #24
Ohio State BuckeyesB1G +34.9 +15.1 +19.7 #2

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Michigan offense vs Ohio State defense-14.0 pts
Ohio State offense vs Michigan defense-1.2 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.