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Cincinnati

B12 · 2-0 · power +16.3 · #51
Our numberBYU -16.2 no book has priced this game

BYU

B12 · 2-0 (1-0 B12) · power +25.1 · #16
Our side
MoneylineBYU to win ours 74%
Projected score 16–32 CIN – BYU
2026-11-28 · kickoff TBD LaVell Edwards Stadium · Provo, UT B12 game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series BYU lead 4–0 · 4 meetings since 2015
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 36 ranks apart
Cincinnati Bearcats #27 rush offense BYU Cougars #63 run defense
Pass game even 22 ranks apart
Cincinnati Bearcats #37 pass offense BYU Cougars #59 pass defense
Run game edge BYU Cougars 142 ranks
BYU Cougars #43 rush offense Cincinnati Bearcats #185 run defense
Pass game edge BYU Cougars 53 ranks
BYU Cougars #99 pass offense Cincinnati Bearcats #152 pass defense
Cincinnati Bearcats Balanced · 53% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 48 rush ypg BYU Cougars Balanced · 57% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 41 rush ypg
Scott Satterfield · 80-57 · offense-minded Kalani Sitake · 84-45

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Cincinnati Bearcats
RB Gi'Bran Payne 210 rush yds · 2 TD · 2 rec #70 RB
DL Josh Hough 7 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL #206 DL
WR JV Gibson 9 rec · 133 yds · 2 TD #129 WR
LB Jonathan Thompson 14 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #144 LB
BYU Cougars
QB Bear Bachmeier 415 pass yds · 6 TD · 0 INT #12 QB
DL Tausili Akana 4 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL #171 DL
WR Legend Glasker 6 rec · 139 yds · 2 TD #113 WR
WR Kyler Kasper 8 rec · 93 yds · 2 TD #116 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Cincinnati BearcatsB12 +16.3 +8.9 +7.5 #51
BYU CougarsB12 +25.1 +13.9 +11.2 #16

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Cincinnati offense vs BYU defense-2.3 pts
BYU offense vs Cincinnati defense+6.5 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,439 mi
Altitude · context only1,185 m higher than the visitor's home elevation

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.