Our side
MoneylineKSU to win
ours 47%
Projected score
26–22
KSU – ISU
2026-11-28 · kickoff TBD
Jack Trice Stadium · Ames, IA
B12 game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Iowa State lead
55–50–4
· 109 meetings since 1917
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
39 ranks apart
Kansas State Wildcats #88 rush offense
Iowa State Cyclones #49 run defense
Pass game
even
5 ranks apart
Kansas State Wildcats #124 pass offense
Iowa State Cyclones #119 pass defense
Run game
edge Iowa State Cyclones
76 ranks
Iowa State Cyclones #76 rush offense
Kansas State Wildcats #152 run defense
Pass game
even
12 ranks apart
Iowa State Cyclones #87 pass offense
Kansas State Wildcats #75 pass defense
Kansas State Wildcats
Balanced · 57% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 40 rush ypg
Iowa State Cyclones
Run-heavy · 58% run
Avg pace
Chris Klieman · 54-34
Matt Campbell · 81-57
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Kansas State Wildcats
RB
Joe Jackson
106 rush yds · 1 TD · 6 rec
#22 RB
WR
Josh Manning
13 rec · 130 yds · 2 TD
#51 WR
DL
Wendell Gregory
7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#121 DL
RB
Rodney Fields Jr.
206 rush yds · 2 TD
#55 RB
Iowa State Cyclones
DL
Isaac Terrell
5 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#116 DL
LB
Sullivan Schlimgen
18 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#87 LB
TE
Vince Benetti
3 rec · 34 yds · 2 TD
#42 TE
QB
Jaylen Raynor
301 pass yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
#82 QB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Kansas State offense vs Iowa State defense+1.3 pts
Iowa State offense vs Kansas State defense-1.7 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.