← Matchups

Navy

AAC · 1-1 (0-1 AAC) · power +9.1 · #91
Our numberNAVY -17.1 no book has priced this game

Charlotte

AAC · 0-2 · power -10.3 · #299
Our side
MoneylineNAVY to win ours 14%
Projected score 34–17 NAVY – CLT
2026-11-28 · kickoff TBD Jerry Richardson Stadium · Charlotte, NC AAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Navy lead 2–0 · 2 meetings since 2023
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Navy Midshipmen 234 ranks
Navy Midshipmen #14 rush offense Charlotte 49ers #248 run defense
Pass game edge Navy Midshipmen 185 ranks
Navy Midshipmen #35 pass offense Charlotte 49ers #220 pass defense
Run game edge Navy Midshipmen 124 ranks
Charlotte 49ers #264 rush offense Navy Midshipmen #140 run defense
Pass game even 7 ranks apart
Charlotte 49ers #234 pass offense Navy Midshipmen #227 pass defense
Navy Midshipmen Run-heavy · 80% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 104 rush ypg Charlotte 49ers Balanced · 50% run Ball-control
Brian Newberry · 26-12 · offense-minded Tim Albin · 35-30

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Navy Midshipmen
DL Aiden Lyczek 8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #97 DL
LB MarcAnthony Parker 18 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #61 LB
DL Griffen Willis 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #203 DL
TE Jordan Collins 2 rec · 68 yds · 1 TD #64 TE
Charlotte 49ers
DB Collin Gill 16 tkl #49 DB
WR Jaylen Hampton 11 rec · 142 yds · 2 TD #124 WR
LB Gavin Willis 14 tkl · 2.5 TFL #184 LB
DL Curtis Simpson 9 tkl · 1.0 TFL #417 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Navy MidshipmenAAC +9.1 +4.6 +4.5 #91
Charlotte 49ersAAC -10.3 -4.9 -5.4 #299

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Navy offense vs Charlotte defense+9.9 pts
Charlotte offense vs Navy defense-9.4 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.