← Matchups

Tennessee

SEC · 2-0 · power +26.9 · #12
Our numberTENN -5.4 no book has priced this game

Vanderbilt

SEC · 2-0 · power +21.8 · #28
Our side
MoneylineTENN to win ours 42%
Projected score 32–26 TENN – VAN
2026-11-28 · kickoff TBD FirstBank Stadium · Nashville, TN SEC game Early season

The books 1 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book TENN spreadVAN spread OverUnder TENN winVAN win TENN TT overTENN TT under VAN TT overVAN TT under
DraftKings

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Series Tennessee lead 81–31–4 · 116 meetings since 1902
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 26 ranks apart
Tennessee Volunteers #24 rush offense Vanderbilt Commodores #50 run defense
Pass game edge Tennessee Volunteers 163 ranks
Tennessee Volunteers #31 pass offense Vanderbilt Commodores #194 pass defense
Run game edge Vanderbilt Commodores 87 ranks
Vanderbilt Commodores #4 rush offense Tennessee Volunteers #91 run defense
Pass game edge Vanderbilt Commodores 89 ranks
Vanderbilt Commodores #6 pass offense Tennessee Volunteers #95 pass defense
Tennessee Volunteers Balanced · 52% run Avg pace Vanderbilt Commodores Balanced · 51% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 69 rush ypg
Josh Heupel · 73-28 · offense-minded Clark Lea · 26-36 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Tennessee Volunteers
DL Xavier Gilliam 8 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 5.5 TFL #36 DL
DB Dejuan Lane 4 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT #35 DB
RB DeSean Bishop 244 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec #16 RB
QB Faizon Brandon 374 pass yds · 5 TD · 0 INT #16 QB
Vanderbilt Commodores
LB Nick Rinaldi 13 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #7 LB
DB CJ Heard 14 tkl · 1 PD #21 DB
DL Miles Capers 9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL #23 DL
DL Issa Ouattara 6 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #139 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Tennessee VolunteersSEC +26.9 +22.0 +5.0 #12
Vanderbilt CommodoresSEC +21.8 +11.2 +10.6 #28

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Tennessee offense vs Vanderbilt defense+11.4 pts
Vanderbilt offense vs Tennessee defense+6.2 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.