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Texas Longhorns @ Texas A&M Aggies

2026-11-27 · 7:30 PM · Kyle Field · College Station, TX
Texas A&M -3.9
Projected spread
56.9
Projected total
26–30
Proj score (away–home)
58%
Texas A&M win prob
Series Texas lead 71–37–5 · 113 meetings since 1902
Texas Longhorns
Steve Sarkisian · 38-17
Balanced · 52% run Ball-control
Texas A&M Aggies — defense
DEFENSE OFFENSE CB S S CB LB LB LB DE DT DT DE WR WR LT LG C RG RT TE WR QB RB
Texas A&M Aggies — offense
Texas A&M Aggies
Mike Elko · 24-14
Balanced · 55% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 39 rush ypg
Unit strength weaker · avg · stronger

Position groups are shaded by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense), not individual players — per-player ratings wait on the 2026 rosters. Identity, tempo, dual-threat and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

Power breakdown

TeamDivPowerOffDef (higher = better)Rank
Texas Longhorns SEC FBS +11.8 +5.3 +6.5 #22
Texas A&M Aggies SEC FBS +13.3 +7.2 +6.1 #11
Texas offense vs. Texas A&M defense
-0.8 pts
Texas A&M offense vs. Texas defense
+0.7 pts

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), FBS and FCS on one scale. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites). An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone. Player-level matchups, team strengths/weaknesses, and the Vegas-line comparison arrive as those phases land.