Our side
MoneylineWKU to win
ours 54%
Projected score
29–28
KENN – WKU
2026-11-28 · 1:00 PM
Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium · Bowling Green, KY
CUSA game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Western Kentucky lead
1–0
· 1 meeting since 2024
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
30 ranks apart
Kennesaw State Owls #151 rush offense
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers #121 run defense
Pass game
even
14 ranks apart
Kennesaw State Owls #62 pass offense
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers #76 pass defense
Run game
edge Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
66 ranks
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers #145 rush offense
Kennesaw State Owls #211 run defense
Pass game
even
24 ranks apart
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers #135 pass offense
Kennesaw State Owls #111 pass defense
Kennesaw State Owls
Run-heavy · 59% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Balanced · 49% run
Avg pace
Jerry Mack · 10-4
Tyson Helton · 57-36
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Kennesaw State Owls
QB
Rickie Collins
416 pass yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
#50 QB
DL
Ugonna Nwoha
3 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#315 DL
DL
Marcus Patterson
9 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#450 DL
RB
Latrelle Murrell
100 rush yds · 2 TD · 2 rec
#183 RB
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
RB
Ajay Allen
121 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec
#106 RB
DB
Justin Brown
9 tkl · 1 INT
#319 DB
TE
Coleson Arends
2 rec · 18 yds · 1 TD
#92 TE
DB
Jaylen Lewis
13 tkl
#491 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Kennesaw State offense vs Western Kentucky defense+4.2 pts
Western Kentucky offense vs Kennesaw State defense+3.8 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.