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Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants ★ DIV · NFC EAST ★

Week 18 · 2027-01-10 · 13:00 · MetLife Stadium · outdoors · fieldturf
· Last 5 yrs H2H: PHI 8 – 3 NYG
no sides on this game yet · the record
PHI Cole Payton QB out · Tanner McKee QB out · Elijah Moore WR out · Johnny Wilson WR out · Eli Stowers TE out · Grant Calcaterra TE out    NYG Najee Harris RB out → Tyrone Tracy Jr. · Dalen Cambre WR out · Thomas Fidone II TE out
NYG win probability
ours 42% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
projected PHI 23 – NYG 20 · PHI -2.5 · not a pick ·
how this works
MODEL is the power-ratings spine. The projected score, the spread and the win probability are one quantity in three units. The book's number is beside it on purpose: the gap is the product, and nothing here has a proven edge against the closing line. Our total is held this week: league scoring is still being estimated from a handful of games, so no total is claimed. The bars on every row are the last ten games the man (or the home team) has a box score for, drawn against today's line; the gold tick is our number on the same scale. Our side is where our number sits against the line, written down every refresh and locked at its last showing before kickoff at the best price we held; the side you see before the game is the side that gets graded. The model behind it has not beaten the closing line in testing, so a side is a lean, not an edge. Anytime TD can only be taken yes, so our side is YES only when our chance beats the chance the price implies. Kicking is graded by its own register, which locks the first showing. Tap a price to add it to a ticket.
Game · Passing · Rushing · Receiving · Touchdowns · Kicking
Gamelinelast 10 vs the line · ours ▸hitsidebest
Giantsspread · margin, last 10
NYG +3
NYG +2.5
2/9
at the line
bookNYGPHI
DK
Giantstotal · points in the game, last 10
41.5
held
9/10
held this week
bookoverunder
DK
No player props posted for this game yet.

Injury report

20 designations · as of 8:00 PM
PHI · 11
Cole PaytonQBOUTCoach's Decision
Tanner McKeeQBOUTCoach's Decision
Elijah MooreWROUTCoach's Decision
Johnny WilsonWROUTKnee · IR
Eli StowersTEOUTHamstring · IR
Grant CalcaterraTEOUTBack · IR
5 more · line, defense, specialists
Jakorian BennettCBOUTKnee · IR
Micah MorrisGOUTCoach's Decision
Jonathan GreenardLBOUTPectoral
Andre' SamSOUTFoot · IR
Marcus EppsSQUESTIONABLEShoulder
NYG · 9
Najee HarrisRBOUTCoach's Decision
Next up: Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB3 · 12 car · 49 rush yds · 3 tgt · 54% of snaps per game, 2025 (15 g)
Harris: 5 car · 20 rush yds · 1 tgt · 22% of snaps per game, 2025 (3 g)
Dalen CambreWROUTCoach's Decision
Thomas Fidone IITEOUTCoach's Decision
6 more · line, defense, specialists
Korie BlackCBOUTUndisclosed · IR
Nic JonesCBOUTCoach's Decision
Bobby Jamison-TravisDTOUTCoach's Decision
Roy Robertson-HarrisDTOUTAchilles · IR
J.C. DavisOTOUTCoach's Decision
Jason PinnockSOUTCoach's Decision

Our numbers vs the book

0 legs priced
Top disagreements · probability points
#marketwhooursbookgapsidehow
Every price is the book that posted it, de-vigged two-way where both sides exist. The gap is |our published number − the book's|, in probability points, the same rule that ranks the front page. Break-even at −110 is 52.4%. Not a pick.

Mismatches

2025 rank gaps, both offenses · biggest first · a top-8 unit meeting a bottom-8 unit is the one worth knowing about
PHI Red zonePHI offense · NYG defense OFF +20 PHI 74% #2 NYG #22 68%
PHI Run gamePHI offense · NYG defense OFF +18 PHI +0.01 #14 NYG #32 +0.17
NYG Run block vs frontNYG offense · PHI defense LINE +17 NYG 129 #5 PHI #22 124
PHI Pass yardsNYG offense · PHI defense DEF +15 NYG 218 #21 PHI #6 204
PHI Pass attackNYG offense · PHI defense DEF +14 NYG -0.01 #19 PHI #5 -0.12
PHI Red zoneNYG offense · PHI defense DEF +13 NYG 59% #23 PHI #10 59%
PHI Run block vs frontPHI offense · NYG defense LINE +13 PHI 117 #18 NYG #31 145 Brian Burns WLB 22.0 tfl #3
PHI Pass pro vs rushNYG offense · PHI defense RUSH +12 NYG 2.8 #23 PHI #11 2.5
6 more comparisons, gap under 12
NYG Run gameNYG offense · PHI defense OFF +11 NYG +0.04 #5 PHI #16 -0.02
NYG 3rd downPHI offense · NYG defense DEF +7 PHI 38% #21 NYG #14 40%
NYG Pass yardsPHI offense · NYG defense DEF +6 PHI 206 #23 NYG #17 230
NYG 3rd downNYG offense · PHI defense OFF +5 NYG 40% #17 PHI #22 42%
PHI Pass pro vs rushPHI offense · NYG defense LINE +4 PHI 2.1 #12 NYG #16 2.2 Brian Burns LB 16.5 sk #2
PHI Pass attackPHI offense · NYG defense OFF +3 PHI +0.04 #13 NYG #16 +0.03

The matchup

who calls it · the four battles · the men
The matchup profile for this game has not been built yet — it is rebuilt hourly once a kickoff is near.

The matchup in full

field · units · trenches, one offense at a time
Jump to

On the field 2025 unit strength · context, not a model input · tap a position · new OC and DC since

NYG DEFENSE PHI OFFENSE CB S S CB LB LB LB DE DT DT DE WR WR LT LG C RG RT TE WR QB RB
Balanced · 47% run Ball-control dual-threat QB
Unit strength weaker · avg · stronger

Units PHI offense against what it runs into

PHI OFFENSE OLD OC 2025 OLD DC NYG DEFENSE

PHI offence: Kevin Patullo called these → Sean Mannion calls it now.
NYG defence: Shane Bowen called these → Dennard Wilson calls it now.

+0.04 #13 Pass attack even #16 +0.03
+0.01 #14 Run game OFF +18 #32 +0.17
206 #23 Pass yards even #17 230
117 #18 Rush yards OFF +13 #31 145
2.1 #12 Pass pro vs rush even #17 2.2
38% #21 3rd down even #14 40%
74% #2 Red zone OFF +20 #22 68%

Trenches pass pro vs the rush · run block vs the front

PHIpass pro even NYGpass rush
LTJordan Mailata99%
LGLandon Dickerson90%
CCam Jurgens92%
RGTyler Steen96%
RTLane Johnson76%
Brian Burns LB 16.5 sk#2
Abdul Carter LB 4.0 sk#105
Darius Alexander DT 3.5 sk#114
2.1 #12sacks allowed /g · sacks made /g#16 2.2
PHIrun block line +13 NYGrun D
LTJordan Mailata99%
LGLandon Dickerson90%
CCam Jurgens92%
RGTyler Steen96%
RTLane Johnson76%
Shelby Harris LDE 7.0 tfl#95
DJ Reader NT
Chauncey Golston RDE 5.0 tfl#169
Brian Burns WLB 22.0 tfl#3
Arvell Reese LILB
117 #18rush yds /g · rush yds allowed /g#31 145