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Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants ★ DIV · NFC EAST ★

Week 18 · 2027-01-10 · 13:00 · MetLife Stadium · outdoors · fieldturf
· Last 5 yrs H2H: PHI 8 – 3 NYG
no sides on this game yet · the record
PHI Eli Stowers TE out
NYG win probability
ours 44% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
projected PHI 23 – NYG 21 · PHI -1.8 · not a pick ·
how this works
MODEL is the power-ratings spine. The projected score, the spread and the win probability are one quantity in three units. The book's number is beside it on purpose: the gap is the product, and nothing here has a proven edge against the closing line. Our total is held this week: league scoring is still being estimated from a handful of games, so no total is claimed. The bars on every row are the last ten games the man (or the home team) has a box score for, drawn against today's line; the gold tick is our number on the same scale. Our side is where our number sits against the line, written down every refresh and locked at its last showing before kickoff at the best price we held; the side you see before the game is the side that gets graded. The model behind it has not beaten the closing line in testing, so a side is a lean, not an edge. Anytime TD can only be taken yes, so our side is YES only when our chance beats the chance the price implies. Kicking is graded by its own register, which locks the first showing. Tap a price to add it to a ticket.
Game · Passing · Rushing · Receiving · Touchdowns · Kicking
Gamelinelast 10 vs the line · ours ▸hitsidebest
Giantsspread · margin, last 10
NYG +3
NYG +1.8
3/9
at the line
bookNYGPHI
DK
Giantstotal · points in the game, last 10
41.5
held
9/10
held this week
bookoverunder
DK
No player props posted for this game yet.

Injury report

6 designations · as of 11:45 PM Sep 14
PHI · 5
Eli StowersTEOUTHamstring · IR
4 more · line, defense, specialists
Jakorian BennettCBOUTKnee · IR
Landon DickersonGOUTKnee
Jonathan GreenardLBOUTPectoral
Andre' SamSOUTFoot · IR
NYG · 1
1 more · line, defense, specialists
Roy Robertson-HarrisDTOUTAchilles · IR

Our numbers vs the book

0 legs priced
Top disagreements · probability points
#marketwhooursbookgapsidehow
Every price is the book that posted it, de-vigged two-way where both sides exist. The gap is |our published number − the book's|, in probability points, the same rule that ranks the front page. Break-even at −110 is 52.4%. Not a pick.

Mismatches

2025 rank gaps, both offenses · biggest first · a top-8 unit meeting a bottom-8 unit is the one worth knowing about
PHI Red zonePHI offense · NYG defense OFF +20 PHI 74% #2 NYG #22 68%
PHI Run gamePHI offense · NYG defense OFF +18 PHI +0.01 #14 NYG #32 +0.17
NYG Run block vs frontNYG offense · PHI defense LINE +17 NYG 133 #5 PHI #22 126
PHI Pass yardsNYG offense · PHI defense DEF +15 NYG 218 #21 PHI #6 204
PHI Run block vs frontPHI offense · NYG defense LINE +15 PHI 119 #13 NYG #28 134 Brian Burns WLB 22.0 tfl #3
PHI Pass attackNYG offense · PHI defense DEF +14 NYG -0.01 #19 PHI #5 -0.12
PHI Pass pro vs rushPHI offense · NYG defense LINE +14 PHI 2.2 #17 NYG #31 1.7 Brian Burns LB 16.5 sk #2
PHI Red zoneNYG offense · PHI defense DEF +13 NYG 59% #23 PHI #10 59%
6 more comparisons, gap under 13
NYG Run gameNYG offense · PHI defense OFF +11 NYG +0.04 #5 PHI #16 -0.02
NYG 3rd downPHI offense · NYG defense DEF +7 PHI 38% #21 NYG #14 40%
NYG Pass yardsPHI offense · NYG defense DEF +6 PHI 206 #23 NYG #17 230
NYG 3rd downNYG offense · PHI defense OFF +5 NYG 40% #17 PHI #22 42%
PHI Pass attackPHI offense · NYG defense OFF +3 PHI +0.04 #13 NYG #16 +0.03
PHI Pass pro vs rushNYG offense · PHI defense RUSH +3 NYG 2.7 #22 PHI #19 2.1

The matchup

who calls it · the four battles · the men
The matchup profile for this game has not been built yet — it is rebuilt hourly once a kickoff is near.

The matchup in full

field · units · trenches, one offense at a time
Jump to

On the field 2026 (1 g) blended with 2025 unit strength · context, not a model input · tap a position · new OC and DC since

NYG DEFENSE PHI OFFENSE CB S S CB LB LB LB DE DT DT DE WR WR LT LG C RG RT TE WR QB RB
Balanced · 47% run Ball-control dual-threat QB
Unit strength weaker · avg · stronger

Units PHI offense against what it runs into

PHI OFFENSE OLD OC 2026 (1 g) blended with 2025 OLD DC NYG DEFENSE

PHI offence: Kevin Patullo called these → Sean Mannion calls it now.
NYG defence: Shane Bowen called these → Dennard Wilson calls it now.

+0.04 #13 Pass attack even #16 +0.03
+0.01 #14 Run game OFF +18 #32 +0.17
206 #23 Pass yards even #17 230
117 #18 Rush yards OFF +13 #31 145
2.1 #12 Pass pro vs rush even #17 2.2
38% #21 3rd down even #14 40%
74% #2 Red zone OFF +20 #22 68%

Trenches pass pro vs the rush · run block vs the front

PHIpass pro line +14 NYGpass rush
LTJordan Mailata99%
LGLandon Dickerson90%
CCam Jurgens92%
RGTyler Steen96%
RTLane Johnson76%
Brian Burns LB 16.5 sk#2
Abdul Carter LB 4.0 sk#88
Darius Alexander DT 3.5 sk#129
2.2 #17sacks allowed /g · sacks made /g#31 1.7
PHIrun block line +15 NYGrun D
LTJordan Mailata99%
LGLandon Dickerson90%
CCam Jurgens92%
RGTyler Steen96%
RTLane Johnson76%
Shelby Harris LDE 7.0 tfl#101
DJ Reader NT
Chauncey Golston RDE 5.0 tfl#167
Brian Burns WLB 22.0 tfl#3
Arvell Reese LILB
119 #13rush yds /g · rush yds allowed /g#28 134