Philadelphia Eagles
@
New York Giants
DIV
MODEL NYG 45%
Week 18 · 2027-01-10 · 13:00
· MetLife Stadium (outdoors)
· fieldturf
Last 5 yrs H2H: PHI 8 – 3 NYG
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Vegas line (context)
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Game total O/U
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Final (away–home)
MODEL is the power-ratings spine — preseason, prior-only until 2026 snaps exist. Calibrated most-likely, no proven edge vs the close; the book number is shown beside it on purpose. Not a pick.
On the Field 2025 unit strength
PHI OFFENSE
vs
NYG DEFENSE
Balanced · 47% run
Ball-control
dual-threat QB
NYG OFFENSE
vs
PHI DEFENSE
Balanced · 47% run
Avg pace
dual-threat QB
Unit strength
weaker · avg · stronger
Position groups are shaded by team-unit strength (2025 pass/rush EPA, offense and defense) — not individual players. The defensive front you see is the wall this offense has to run into.
Unit Matchups 2025 · rank of 32
PHI OFFENSE
vs
NYG DEFENSE
+0.04 #13
Pass attack
even
#16 +0.03
+0.01 #14
Run game
OFF +18
#32 +0.17
206 #23
Pass yards
even
#17 230
117 #18
Rush yards
OFF +13
#31 145
2.1 #12
Pass pro vs rush
even
#17 2.2
38% #21
3rd down
even
#14 40%
74% #2
Red zone
OFF +20
#22 68%
NYG OFFENSE
vs
PHI DEFENSE
-0.01 #19
Pass attack
DEF +14
#5 -0.12
+0.04 #5
Run game
OFF +11
#16 -0.02
218 #21
Pass yards
DEF +15
#6 204
129 #5
Rush yards
OFF +17
#22 124
2.8 #23
Pass pro vs rush
DEF +11
#12 2.5
40% #17
3rd down
even
#22 42%
59% #23
Red zone
DEF +13
#10 59%
Rank gaps are where games tilt — a bottom-8 defense meeting a top-8 offense is the mismatch worth knowing about. 2025 regular-season data; EPA from play-by-play. Context, not a pick.
Pressure Matchup sacks · 2025
PHI PASS RUSH
vs
NYG PASS PRO
Jalyx Hunt LB
6.5 sacks '25
Moro Ojomo DT
6.0 sacks '25
Jordan Davis DT
4.5 sacks '25
2.8 #23
sacks allowed /g
#17 2.5
NYG PASS RUSH
vs
PHI PASS PRO
Brian Burns LB
16.5 sacks '25
Abdul Carter LB
4.0 sacks '25
Darius Alexander DT
3.5 sacks '25
2.1 #12
sacks allowed /g
#12 2.2
A top pass rush against a line that already leaks sacks is where pressure rate breaks a game open — the left rank is the blocking side, the right is the rush.
Position Matchups 2025 per-game · last-10 form
PHI
Jalen Hurts QB
vs #16 PASS D
199.5 pass y/g 3/10
Saquon Barkley RB
vs #32 RUN D
73.3 rush y/g 6/10
DeVonta Smith WR1
vs #16 PASS D
59.9 rec y/g 3/10
Makai Lemon WR2
vs #16 PASS D
— rec y/g
Dontayvion Wicks WR3
2025: GB
vs #16 PASS D
25.5 rec y/g 3/10
Dallas Goedert TE
vs #16 PASS D
39.0 rec y/g 3/10
NYG
Jaxson Dart QB
vs #5 PASS D
162.3 pass y/g 8/10
Cam Skattebo RB
vs #16 RUN D
51.2 rush y/g 5/8
Malik Nabers WR1
vs #5 PASS D
67.8 rec y/g 2/4
Darius Slayton WR2
vs #5 PASS D
38.4 rec y/g 4/10
Darnell Mooney WR3
2025: ATL
vs #5 PASS D
29.5 rec y/g 4/10
Isaiah Likely TE
2025: BAL
vs #5 PASS D
25.6 rec y/g 4/10
Dot strips are each player's last 10 games against his own 2025 average — form, not a prop grade; we hold no lines yet. Grey team tags mark stats earned elsewhere. No pick.