Matchups — Week 18 16 games · heat = 2025 rank gap
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Northwest Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
DAL Dallas Cowboys at
7-9-1
#7
#32
WAS Washington Commanders
5-12
#22
#27
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREWAS 55%
RED ZONE
Commanders #4
→
Cowboys #31
+27
PASS ATTACK
Cowboys #5
→
Commanders #30
+25
RUN GAME
Commanders #9
→
Cowboys #31
+22
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Highmark Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
NYJ New York Jets at
3-14
#29
#31
BUF Buffalo Bills
12-5
#5
#12
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREBUF 77%
PASS ATTACK
Bills #6
→
Jets #32
+26
RED ZONE
Bills #3
→
Jets #29
+26
RUN GAME
Bills #1
→
Jets #26
+25
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Gillette Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
MIA Miami Dolphins at
7-10
#25
#24
NE New England Patriots
14-3
#2
#4
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRENE 69%
PASS ATTACK
Patriots #1
→
Dolphins #26
+25
RUN GAME
Patriots #13
→
Dolphins #27
+14
RED ZONE
Dolphins #14
→
Patriots #27
+13
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Bank of America Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
ATL Atlanta Falcons at
8-9
#24
#19
CAR Carolina Panthers
8-9
#27
#15
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRECAR 53%
PASS PRO
Falcons #4
→
Panthers #28
+24
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
State Farm Stadium
'25OFFDEF
SF San Francisco 49ers at
12-5
#10
#13
ARI Arizona Cardinals
3-14
#23
#29
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREARI 44%
PASS PRO
49ers #5
→
Cardinals #29
+24
PASS ATTACK
49ers #7
→
Cardinals #27
+20
RED ZONE
49ers #8
→
Cardinals #21
+13
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
MetLife Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
PHI Philadelphia Eagles at
11-6
#19
#5
NYG New York Giants
4-13
#17
#26
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRENYG 45%
RED ZONE
Eagles #2
→
Giants #22
+20
RUN GAME
Eagles #14
→
Giants #32
+18
RUN GAME
Giants #5
→
Eagles #16
+11
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Paycor Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
CLE Cleveland Browns at
5-12
#31
#14
CIN Cincinnati Bengals
6-11
#12
#30
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRECIN 62%
RED ZONE
Bengals #1
→
Browns #20
+19
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Lucas Oil Stadium
'25OFFDEF
JAC Jacksonville Jaguars at
13-4
#6
#8
IND Indianapolis Colts
8-9
#8
#21
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREIND 52%
PASS PRO
Colts #8
→
Jaguars #27
+19
RED ZONE
Colts #7
→
Jaguars #25
+18
RUN GAME
Colts #3
→
Jaguars #13
+10
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
M&T Bank Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
PIT Pittsburgh Steelers at
10-7
#15
#17
BAL Baltimore Ravens
8-9
#11
#18
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREBAL 61%
PASS PRO
Steelers #11
→
Ravens #30
+19
RUN GAME
Ravens #2
→
Steelers #20
+18
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Lambeau Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
DET Detroit Lions at
9-8
#4
#22
GB Green Bay Packers
9-7-1
#16
#11
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREGB 52%
PASS ATTACK
Lions #4
→
Packers #22
+18
RED ZONE
Lions #5
→
Packers #17
+12
PASS ATTACK
Packers #3
→
Lions #14
+11
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Reliant Stadium
'25OFFDEF
TEN Tennessee Titans at
3-14
#30
#28
HOU Houston Texans
12-5
#13
#2
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREHOU 76%
PASS ATTACK
Texans #15
→
Titans #29
+14
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Empower Field at Mile High · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
LAC Los Angeles Chargers at
11-6
#20
#9
DEN Denver Broncos
14-3
#14
#3
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREDEN 60%
PASS PRO
Broncos #1
→
Chargers #10
+9
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
LV Las Vegas Raiders at
3-14
#32
#25
KAN Kansas City Chiefs
6-11
#21
#6
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREKAN 72%
PASS ATTACK
Chiefs #14
→
Raiders #23
+9
RUN GAME
Chiefs #6
→
Raiders #14
+8
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
U.S. Bank Stadium · dome
'25OFFDEF
CHI Chicago Bears at
11-6
#9
#23
MIN Minnesota Vikings
9-8
#26
#7
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREMIN 56%
no major mismatch — evenly built
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
SoFi Stadium · dome
'25OFFDEF
SEA Seattle Seahawks at
14-3
#3
#1
LAR Los Angeles Rams
12-5
#1
#10
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRELAR 53%
no major mismatch — evenly built
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Caesars Superdome · dome
'25OFFDEF
TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers at
8-9
#18
#20
NO New Orleans Saints
6-11
#28
#16
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRENO 50%
no major mismatch — evenly built
OFF/DEF are each team's 2025 points scored / allowed ranks (of 32); mismatch rows pair an offense unit with the defense it runs into — amber gap, weak side in red. SPREAD/TOTAL/BOOK are the market; MODEL is our calibrated spine (preseason, prior-only) — side by side on purpose, not a pick. Weather fills in as kickoff nears. Tap for the full dossier.