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Biggest gaps from the book — Week 18 10 of 16 games

The ratings' most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Shown beside the market's own number so you can see where they disagree. Not a pick.

Power -4.9 · off #29
19–30
projected score
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Power +2.8 · off #4
BUF win probability
ours 80% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number BUF -11.1 · 48.3
The market
NYJ offense vs BUF defense-2.3 pts
BUF offense vs NYJ defense+5.5 pts
Full breakdown →
Power -4.4 · off #30
16–26
projected score
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Power +3.0 · off #13
HOU win probability
ours 79% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number HOU -10.4 · 42.5
The market
TEN offense vs HOU defense-5.0 pts
HOU offense vs TEN defense+2.4 pts
Full breakdown →
Power -4.4 · off #32
16–24
projected score
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Power +1.1 · off #21
KC win probability
ours 72% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number KC -7.8 · 40.4
The market
LV offense vs KC defense-5.1 pts
KC offense vs LV defense+0.3 pts
Full breakdown →
Power -2.2 · off #25
18–25
projected score
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Power +2.2 · off #2
NE win probability
ours 72% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number NE -7.5 · 43.4
The market
MIA offense vs NE defense-3.1 pts
NE offense vs MIA defense+1.3 pts
Full breakdown →
Power -1.2 · off #24
19–24
projected score
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Power -2.1 · off #27
CAR win probability
ours 65% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number CAR -5.0 · 43.1
The market
ATL offense vs CAR defense-0.6 pts
CAR offense vs ATL defense-1.5 pts
Full breakdown →
Power +2.2 · off #10
26–21
projected score
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Power -2.4 · off #23
ARI win probability
ours 37% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number SF -4.3 · 46.8
The market
SF offense vs ARI defense+3.1 pts
ARI offense vs SF defense-1.5 pts
Full breakdown →
Power +0.0 · off #15
21–25
projected score
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Power +1.8 · off #11
BAL win probability
ours 63% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number BAL -4.2 · 46.0
The market
PIT offense vs BAL defense-0.5 pts
BAL offense vs PIT defense+1.3 pts
Full breakdown →
Power +0.4 · off #9
20–23
projected score
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Power +0.4 · off #26
MIN win probability
ours 60% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number MIN -3.3 · 43.4
The market
CHI offense vs MIN defense-0.9 pts
MIN offense vs CHI defense-0.9 pts
Full breakdown →
Power +0.5 · off #20
19–22
projected score
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Power +1.8 · off #14
DEN win probability
ours 60% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number DEN -3.2 · 41.3
The market
LAC offense vs DEN defense-2.6 pts
DEN offense vs LAC defense-1.3 pts
Full breakdown →
Power -3.2 · off #31
21–24
projected score
SUN JAN 10 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Power -1.3 · off #12
CIN win probability
ours 59% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number CIN -2.9 · 45.3
The market
CLE offense vs CIN defense-0.9 pts
CIN offense vs CLE defense+1.0 pts
Full breakdown →