Seattle Seahawks
@
Philadelphia Eagles
MODEL PHI 46%
Week 15 · 2026-12-19 · 17:00
· Lincoln Financial Field (outdoors)
· grass
Last 5 yrs H2H: SEA 1 – 0 PHI
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Vegas line (context)
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Game total O/U
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Final (away–home)
MODEL is the power-ratings spine — preseason, prior-only until 2026 snaps exist. Calibrated most-likely, no proven edge vs the close; the book number is shown beside it on purpose. Not a pick.
On the Field 2025 unit strength
SEA OFFENSE
vs
PHI DEFENSE
Run-heavy · 49% run
Ball-control
PHI OFFENSE
vs
SEA DEFENSE
Balanced · 47% run
Ball-control
dual-threat QB
Unit strength
weaker · avg · stronger
Position groups are shaded by team-unit strength (2025 pass/rush EPA, offense and defense) — not individual players. The defensive front you see is the wall this offense has to run into.
Unit Matchups 2025 · rank of 32
SEA OFFENSE
vs
PHI DEFENSE
+0.11 #8
Pass attack
even
#5 -0.12
-0.05 #26
Run game
DEF +10
#16 -0.02
239 #9
Pass yards
even
#6 204
123 #11
Rush yards
OFF +11
#22 124
1.6 #6
Pass pro vs rush
even
#12 2.5
43% #10
3rd down
OFF +12
#22 42%
62% #18
Red zone
DEF +8
#10 59%
PHI OFFENSE
vs
SEA DEFENSE
+0.04 #13
Pass attack
even
#8 -0.10
+0.01 #14
Run game
DEF +13
#1 -0.15
206 #23
Pass yards
DEF +11
#12 213
117 #18
Rush yards
DEF +15
#3 92
2.1 #12
Pass pro vs rush
even
#8 2.8
38% #21
3rd down
DEF +20
#1 33%
74% #2
Red zone
even
#4 54%
Rank gaps are where games tilt — a bottom-8 defense meeting a top-8 offense is the mismatch worth knowing about. 2025 regular-season data; EPA from play-by-play. Context, not a pick.
Pressure Matchup sacks · 2025
SEA PASS RUSH
vs
PHI PASS PRO
Byron Murphy II DT
9.0 sacks '25
Leonard Williams DE
8.0 sacks '25
DeMarcus Lawrence LB
8.0 sacks '25
2.1 #12
sacks allowed /g
#12 2.8
PHI PASS RUSH
vs
SEA PASS PRO
Jalyx Hunt LB
6.5 sacks '25
Moro Ojomo DT
6.0 sacks '25
Jordan Davis DT
4.5 sacks '25
1.6 #6
sacks allowed /g
#8 2.5
A top pass rush against a line that already leaks sacks is where pressure rate breaks a game open — the left rank is the blocking side, the right is the rush.
Position Matchups 2025 per-game · last-10 form
SEA
Sam Darnold QB
vs #5 PASS D
236.0 pass y/g 5/10
Zach Charbonnet RB
vs #16 RUN D
44.1 rush y/g 5/10
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR1
vs #5 PASS D
99.6 rec y/g 3/10
Rashid Shaheed WR2
vs #5 PASS D
36.4 rec y/g 3/10
Cooper Kupp WR3
vs #5 PASS D
39.5 rec y/g 3/10
AJ Barner TE
vs #5 PASS D
29.3 rec y/g 4/10
PHI
Jalen Hurts QB
vs #8 PASS D
199.5 pass y/g 3/10
Saquon Barkley RB
vs #1 RUN D
73.3 rush y/g 6/10
DeVonta Smith WR1
vs #8 PASS D
59.9 rec y/g 3/10
Makai Lemon WR2
vs #8 PASS D
— rec y/g
Dontayvion Wicks WR3
2025: GB
vs #8 PASS D
25.5 rec y/g 3/10
Dallas Goedert TE
vs #8 PASS D
39.0 rec y/g 3/10
Dot strips are each player's last 10 games against his own 2025 average — form, not a prop grade; we hold no lines yet. Grey team tags mark stats earned elsewhere. No pick.