●
Biggest gaps from the book — Week 15
10 of 16 games
The ratings' most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Shown beside the market's own number so you can see where they disagree. Not a pick.
Power -1.2 · off #24
19–27
projected score
SUN DEC 20 · 1:00 PM
Power -1.8 · off #22
WAS win probability
ours 71%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
WAS -7.4 · 46.1
The market
—
ATL offense vs WAS defense+0.8 pts
WAS offense vs ATL defense+0.2 pts
Power -1.6 · off #7
23–30
projected score
SUN DEC 20 · 4:25 PM
Power +3.7 · off #1
LAR win probability
ours 70%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
LAR -6.9 · 52.4
The market
—
DAL offense vs LAR defense+1.0 pts
LAR offense vs DAL defense+6.2 pts
Power -2.2 · off #25
19–25
projected score
SUN DEC 20 · 1:00 PM
Power +1.2 · off #16
GB win probability
ours 70%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
GB -6.9 · 44.0
The market
—
MIA offense vs GB defense-2.2 pts
GB offense vs MIA defense+1.1 pts
Power +0.4 · off #9
22–27
projected score
SAT DEC 19 · 8:20 PM
Power +2.8 · off #4
BUF win probability
ours 66%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
BUF -5.5 · 49.3
The market
—
CHI offense vs BUF defense+0.9 pts
BUF offense vs CHI defense+3.3 pts
Power -2.2 · off #28
19–24
projected score
SUN DEC 20 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Power -0.1 · off #18
TB win probability
ours 64%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
TB -4.7 · 43.3
The market
—
NO offense vs TB defense-2.0 pts
TB offense vs NO defense+0.2 pts
Power -4.9 · off #29
21–25
projected score
SUN DEC 20 · 4:05 PM
Power -2.4 · off #23
ARI win probability
ours 63%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
ARI -4.3 · 46.4
The market
—
NYJ offense vs ARI defense-0.6 pts
ARI offense vs NYJ defense+1.9 pts
Power +1.0 · off #8
26–22
projected score
SUN DEC 20 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Power -4.4 · off #30
TEN win probability
ours 38%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
IND -4.0 · 48.0
The market
—
IND offense vs TEN defense+4.1 pts
TEN offense vs IND defense-1.2 pts
Power +1.8 · off #14
22–19
projected score
SUN DEC 20 · 4:25 PM · DIV
Power -4.4 · off #32
LV win probability
ours 39%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
DEN -3.6 · 41.0
The market
—
DEN offense vs LV defense+1.0 pts
LV offense vs DEN defense-5.2 pts
Power +2.4 · off #6
20–23
projected score
SUN DEC 20 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Power +3.0 · off #13
HOU win probability
ours 58%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
HOU -2.8 · 43.5
The market
—
JAX offense vs HOU defense-1.1 pts
HOU offense vs JAX defense-0.5 pts
Power +2.2 · off #2
20–22
projected score
MON DEC 21 · 8:15 PM
Power +1.1 · off #21
KC win probability
ours 56%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
KC -1.9 · 41.4
The market
—
NE offense vs KC defense-1.3 pts
KC offense vs NE defense-2.4 pts