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Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys ★ DIV · NFC EAST ★

Week 12 · 2026-11-26 · 16:30 · AT&T Stadium · matrixturf
· Last 5 yrs H2H: PHI 5 – 5 DAL
no sides on this game yet · the record
PHI Eli Stowers TE out    DAL Malik Davis RB out
DAL win probability
ours 46% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
projected PHI 25 – DAL 24 · PHI -1.3 · not a pick ·
how this works
MODEL is the power-ratings spine. The projected score, the spread and the win probability are one quantity in three units. The book's number is beside it on purpose: the gap is the product, and nothing here has a proven edge against the closing line. Our total is held this week: league scoring is still being estimated from a handful of games, so no total is claimed. The bars on every row are the last ten games the man (or the home team) has a box score for, drawn against today's line; the gold tick is our number on the same scale. Our side is where our number sits against the line, written down every refresh and locked at its last showing before kickoff at the best price we held; the side you see before the game is the side that gets graded. The model behind it has not beaten the closing line in testing, so a side is a lean, not an edge. Anytime TD can only be taken yes, so our side is YES only when our chance beats the chance the price implies. Kicking is graded by its own register, which locks the first showing. Tap a price to add it to a ticket.
Game · Passing · Rushing · Receiving · Touchdowns · Kicking
Gamelinelast 10 vs the line · ours ▸hitsidebest
Cowboysspread · margin, last 10
DAL -1.5
DAL +1.3
4/10
at the line
bookDALPHI
CZR
DK
FD
SCORE
Cowboystotal · points in the game, last 10
49.5
held
6/10
held this week
bookoverunder
DK
SCORE
CZR
FD
No player props posted for this game yet.

Injury report

10 designations · as of 11:45 PM Sep 14
PHI · 5
Eli StowersTEOUTHamstring · IR
4 more · line, defense, specialists
Jakorian BennettCBOUTKnee · IR
Landon DickersonGOUTKnee
Jonathan GreenardLBOUTPectoral
Andre' SamSOUTFoot · IR
DAL · 5
Malik DavisRBOUTHip · IR
4 more · line, defense, specialists
Devin MooreCBOUTUndisclosed · IR
Tyler SmithGOUTThumb · IR
Malik HookerSDOUBTFULForearm
DeMarvion OvershownLBQUESTIONABLEHamstring

Our numbers vs the book

0 legs priced
Top disagreements · probability points
#marketwhooursbookgapsidehow
Every price is the book that posted it, de-vigged two-way where both sides exist. The gap is |our published number − the book's|, in probability points, the same rule that ranks the front page. Break-even at −110 is 52.4%. Not a pick.

Mismatches

2025 rank gaps, both offenses · biggest first · a top-8 unit meeting a bottom-8 unit is the one worth knowing about
PHI Red zonePHI offense · DAL defense OFF +29 PHI 74% #2 DAL #31 72%
PHI Pass attackPHI offense · DAL defense OFF +18 PHI +0.04 #13 DAL #31 +0.22
PHI Run gamePHI offense · DAL defense OFF +17 PHI +0.01 #14 DAL #31 +0.09
DAL 3rd downDAL offense · PHI defense OFF +14 DAL 43% #8 PHI #22 42%
DAL Pass pro vs rushDAL offense · PHI defense LINE +14 DAL 1.5 #5 PHI #19 2.1
PHI Run block vs frontPHI offense · DAL defense LINE +12 PHI 119 #13 DAL #25 131
PHI 3rd downPHI offense · DAL defense OFF +10 PHI 38% #21 DAL #31 48%
DAL Run block vs frontDAL offense · PHI defense LINE +10 DAL 119 #12 PHI #22 126
6 more comparisons, gap under 10
PHI Pass yardsPHI offense · DAL defense OFF +9 PHI 206 #23 DAL #32 266
PHI Red zoneDAL offense · PHI defense DEF +7 DAL 62% #17 PHI #10 59%
PHI Pass pro vs rushPHI offense · DAL defense LINE +6 PHI 2.2 #17 DAL #23 2.0
DAL Pass yardsDAL offense · PHI defense OFF +5 DAL 279 #1 PHI #6 204
DAL Run gameDAL offense · PHI defense OFF +1 DAL +0.01 #15 PHI #16 -0.02
PHI Pass attackDAL offense · PHI defense DEF +0 DAL +0.16 #5 PHI #5 -0.12

The matchup

who calls it · the four battles · the men
The matchup profile for this game has not been built yet — it is rebuilt hourly once a kickoff is near.

The matchup in full

field · units · trenches, one offense at a time
Jump to

On the field 2026 (1 g) blended with 2025 unit strength · context, not a model input · tap a position · new OC and DC since

DAL DEFENSE PHI OFFENSE CB S S CB LB LB LB DE DT DT DE WR WR LT LG C RG RT TE WR QB RB
Balanced · 47% run Ball-control dual-threat QB
Unit strength weaker · avg · stronger

Units PHI offense against what it runs into

PHI OFFENSE OLD OC 2026 (1 g) blended with 2025 OLD DC DAL DEFENSE

PHI offence: Kevin Patullo called these → Sean Mannion calls it now.
DAL defence: Matt Eberflus called these → Christian Parker calls it now.

+0.04 #13 Pass attack OFF +18 #31 +0.22
+0.01 #14 Run game OFF +17 #31 +0.09
206 #23 Pass yards OFF +9 #32 266
117 #18 Rush yards even #23 125
2.1 #12 Pass pro vs rush OFF +13 #25 2.0
38% #21 3rd down OFF +10 #31 48%
74% #2 Red zone OFF +29 #31 72%

Trenches pass pro vs the rush · run block vs the front

PHIpass pro even DALpass rush
LTJordan Mailata99%
LGLandon Dickerson90%
CCam Jurgens92%
RGTyler Steen96%
RTLane Johnson76%
Von Miller OLB 9.0 sk#19
Rashan Gary LB 7.5 sk#34
James Houston DE 5.5 sk#61
2.2 #17sacks allowed /g · sacks made /g#23 2.0
PHIrun block line +12 DALrun D
LTJordan Mailata99%
LGLandon Dickerson90%
CCam Jurgens92%
RGTyler Steen96%
RTLane Johnson76%
Quinnen Williams LDE 10.0 tfl#36
Otito Ogbonnia NT 3.0 tfl#331
Kenny Clark RDE 6.0 tfl#151
Rashan Gary WLB 7.0 tfl#92
DeMarvion Overshown LILB 1.0 tfl#553
119 #13rush yds /g · rush yds allowed /g#25 131