Philadelphia Eagles
@
Dallas Cowboys
DIV
MODEL DAL 46%
Week 12 · 2026-11-26 · 16:30
· AT&T Stadium
· matrixturf
Last 5 yrs H2H: PHI 5 – 5 DAL
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Vegas line (context)
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Game total O/U
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Final (away–home)
MODEL is the power-ratings spine — preseason, prior-only until 2026 snaps exist. Calibrated most-likely, no proven edge vs the close; the book number is shown beside it on purpose. Not a pick.
On the Field 2025 unit strength
PHI OFFENSE
vs
DAL DEFENSE
Balanced · 47% run
Ball-control
dual-threat QB
DAL OFFENSE
vs
PHI DEFENSE
Balanced · 41% run
Avg pace
Unit strength
weaker · avg · stronger
Position groups are shaded by team-unit strength (2025 pass/rush EPA, offense and defense) — not individual players. The defensive front you see is the wall this offense has to run into.
Unit Matchups 2025 · rank of 32
PHI OFFENSE
vs
DAL DEFENSE
+0.04 #13
Pass attack
OFF +18
#31 +0.22
+0.01 #14
Run game
OFF +17
#31 +0.09
206 #23
Pass yards
OFF +9
#32 266
117 #18
Rush yards
even
#23 125
2.1 #12
Pass pro vs rush
OFF +12
#24 2.0
38% #21
3rd down
OFF +10
#31 48%
74% #2
Red zone
OFF +29
#31 72%
DAL OFFENSE
vs
PHI DEFENSE
+0.16 #5
Pass attack
even
#5 -0.12
+0.01 #15
Run game
even
#16 -0.02
279 #1
Pass yards
even
#6 204
126 #9
Rush yards
OFF +13
#22 124
1.8 #10
Pass pro vs rush
even
#12 2.5
43% #8
3rd down
OFF +14
#22 42%
62% #17
Red zone
even
#10 59%
Rank gaps are where games tilt — a bottom-8 defense meeting a top-8 offense is the mismatch worth knowing about. 2025 regular-season data; EPA from play-by-play. Context, not a pick.
Pressure Matchup sacks · 2025
PHI PASS RUSH
vs
DAL PASS PRO
Jalyx Hunt LB
6.5 sacks '25
Moro Ojomo DT
6.0 sacks '25
Jordan Davis DT
4.5 sacks '25
1.8 #10
sacks allowed /g
#24 2.5
DAL PASS RUSH
vs
PHI PASS PRO
Rashan Gary LB
7.5 sacks '25
James Houston DE
5.5 sacks '25
Kenny Clark NT
3.0 sacks '25
2.1 #12
sacks allowed /g
#12 2.0
A top pass rush against a line that already leaks sacks is where pressure rate breaks a game open — the left rank is the blocking side, the right is the rush.
Position Matchups 2025 per-game · last-10 form
PHI
Jalen Hurts QB
vs #31 PASS D
199.5 pass y/g 3/10
Saquon Barkley RB
vs #31 RUN D
73.3 rush y/g 6/10
DeVonta Smith WR1
vs #31 PASS D
59.9 rec y/g 3/10
Makai Lemon WR2
vs #31 PASS D
— rec y/g
Dontayvion Wicks WR3
2025: GB
vs #31 PASS D
25.5 rec y/g 3/10
Dallas Goedert TE
vs #31 PASS D
39.0 rec y/g 3/10
DAL
Dak Prescott QB
vs #5 PASS D
267.8 pass y/g 6/10
Javonte Williams RB
vs #16 RUN D
75.1 rush y/g 5/10
CeeDee Lamb WR1
vs #5 PASS D
82.8 rec y/g 4/10
George Pickens WR2
vs #5 PASS D
84.1 rec y/g 4/10
Ryan Flournoy WR3
vs #5 PASS D
31.7 rec y/g 4/10
Jake Ferguson TE
vs #5 PASS D
35.3 rec y/g 4/10
Dot strips are each player's last 10 games against his own 2025 average — form, not a prop grade; we hold no lines yet. Grey team tags mark stats earned elsewhere. No pick.