Matchups — Week 12 16 games · heat = 2025 rank gap

Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Sort Heat Kickoff
THU NOV 26 · 4:30 PM · DIV AT&T Stadium
'25OFFDEF
PHI Philadelphia Eagles at 11-6 #19 #5
DAL Dallas Cowboys 7-9-1 #7 #32
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREDAL 46%
RED ZONE Eagles #2 Cowboys #31 +29
PASS ATTACK Eagles #13 Cowboys #31 +18
RUN GAME Eagles #14 Cowboys #31 +17
SUN NOV 29 · 1:00 PM Lucas Oil Stadium
'25OFFDEF
NYG New York Giants at 4-13 #17 #26
IND Indianapolis Colts 8-9 #8 #21
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREIND 65%
RUN GAME Colts #3 Giants #32 +29
RED ZONE Colts #7 Giants #22 +15
PASS PRO Colts #8 Giants #17 +9
SUN NOV 29 · 4:25 PM · DIV Levi's Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
SEA Seattle Seahawks at 14-3 #3 #1
SF San Francisco 49ers 12-5 #10 #13
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRESF 46%
PASS PRO Seahawks #6 49ers #32 +26
PASS ATTACK Seahawks #8 49ers #25 +17
THU NOV 26 · 8:20 PM Highmark Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
KAN Kansas City Chiefs at 6-11 #21 #6
BUF Buffalo Bills 12-5 #5 #12
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREBUF 61%
RUN GAME Chiefs #6 Bills #30 +24
RUN GAME Bills #1 Chiefs #11 +10
PASS ATTACK Bills #6 Chiefs #15 +9
SUN NOV 29 · 1:00 PM Reliant Stadium
'25OFFDEF
BAL Baltimore Ravens at 8-9 #11 #18
HOU Houston Texans 12-5 #13 #2
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREHOU 60%
PASS PRO Texans #9 Ravens #30 +21
WED NOV 25 · 8:00 PM SoFi Stadium · dome
'25OFFDEF
GB Green Bay Packers at 9-7-1 #16 #11
LAR Los Angeles Rams 12-5 #1 #10
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRELAR 65%
PASS ATTACK Rams #2 Packers #22 +20
PASS PRO Rams #2 Packers #19 +17
RED ZONE Rams #6 Packers #17 +11
SUN NOV 29 · 4:05 PM · DIV EverBank Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
TEN Tennessee Titans at 3-14 #30 #28
JAC Jacksonville Jaguars 13-4 #6 #8
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREJAC 75%
PASS ATTACK Jaguars #11 Titans #29 +18
RED ZONE Jaguars #12 Titans #30 +18
SUN NOV 29 · 4:25 PM State Farm Stadium
'25OFFDEF
WAS Washington Commanders at 5-12 #22 #27
ARI Arizona Cardinals 3-14 #23 #29
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREARI 54%
RED ZONE Commanders #4 Cardinals #21 +17
PASS PRO Commanders #15 Cardinals #29 +14
PASS ATTACK Cardinals #17 Commanders #30 +13
SUN NOV 29 · 1:00 PM · DIV Hard Rock Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
NYJ New York Jets at 3-14 #29 #31
MIA Miami Dolphins 7-10 #25 #24
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREMIA 64%
RED ZONE Dolphins #14 Jets #29 +15
PASS PRO Dolphins #17 Jets #31 +14
PASS ATTACK Dolphins #20 Jets #32 +12
THU NOV 26 · 1:00 PM · DIV Ford Field · dome
'25OFFDEF
CHI Chicago Bears at 11-6 #9 #23
DET Detroit Lions 9-8 #4 #22
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREDET 62%
RUN GAME Bears #4 Lions #18 +14
PASS ATTACK Lions #4 Bears #18 +14
RED ZONE Bears #10 Lions #23 +13
SUN NOV 29 · 1:00 PM Paycor Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
NO New Orleans Saints at 6-11 #28 #16
CIN Cincinnati Bengals 6-11 #12 #30
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRECIN 59%
RED ZONE Bengals #1 Saints #15 +14
MON NOV 30 · 8:15 PM · DIV Raymond James Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
CAR Carolina Panthers at 8-9 #27 #15
TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8-9 #18 #20
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRETB 62%
RUN GAME Buccaneers #12 Panthers #24 +12
PASS PRO Buccaneers #16 Panthers #28 +12
RED ZONE Panthers #24 Buccaneers #32 +8
FRI NOV 27 · 3:00 PM Acrisure Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
DEN Denver Broncos at 14-3 #14 #3
PIT Pittsburgh Steelers 10-7 #15 #17
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREPIT 51%
PASS ATTACK Broncos #9 Steelers #17 +8
SUN NOV 29 · 8:20 PM SoFi Stadium · dome
'25OFFDEF
NE New England Patriots at 14-3 #2 #4
LAC Los Angeles Chargers 11-6 #20 #9
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRELAC 51%
PASS ATTACK Patriots #1 Chargers #9 +8
SUN NOV 29 · 1:00 PM U.S. Bank Stadium · dome
'25OFFDEF
ATL Atlanta Falcons at 8-9 #24 #19
MIN Minnesota Vikings 9-8 #26 #7
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREMIN 61%
no major mismatch — evenly built
SUN NOV 29 · 1:00 PM Huntington Bank Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
LV Las Vegas Raiders at 3-14 #32 #25
CLE Cleveland Browns 5-12 #31 #14
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRECLE 60%
no major mismatch — evenly built
OFF/DEF are each team's 2025 points scored / allowed ranks (of 32); mismatch rows pair an offense unit with the defense it runs into — amber gap, weak side in red. SPREAD/TOTAL/BOOK are the market; MODEL is our calibrated spine (preseason, prior-only) — side by side on purpose, not a pick. Weather fills in as kickoff nears. Tap for the full dossier.