Matchups — Week 12 16 games · heat = 2025 rank gap
THU NOV 26 · 4:30 PM · DIV
AT&T Stadium
'25OFFDEF
PHI Philadelphia Eagles at
11-6
#19
#5
DAL Dallas Cowboys
7-9-1
#7
#32
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREDAL 46%
RED ZONE
Eagles #2
→
Cowboys #31
+29
PASS ATTACK
Eagles #13
→
Cowboys #31
+18
RUN GAME
Eagles #14
→
Cowboys #31
+17
SUN NOV 29 · 1:00 PM
Lucas Oil Stadium
'25OFFDEF
NYG New York Giants at
4-13
#17
#26
IND Indianapolis Colts
8-9
#8
#21
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREIND 65%
RUN GAME
Colts #3
→
Giants #32
+29
RED ZONE
Colts #7
→
Giants #22
+15
PASS PRO
Colts #8
→
Giants #17
+9
SUN NOV 29 · 4:25 PM · DIV
Levi's Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
SEA Seattle Seahawks at
14-3
#3
#1
SF San Francisco 49ers
12-5
#10
#13
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRESF 46%
PASS PRO
Seahawks #6
→
49ers #32
+26
PASS ATTACK
Seahawks #8
→
49ers #25
+17
THU NOV 26 · 8:20 PM
Highmark Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
KAN Kansas City Chiefs at
6-11
#21
#6
BUF Buffalo Bills
12-5
#5
#12
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREBUF 61%
RUN GAME
Chiefs #6
→
Bills #30
+24
RUN GAME
Bills #1
→
Chiefs #11
+10
PASS ATTACK
Bills #6
→
Chiefs #15
+9
SUN NOV 29 · 1:00 PM
Reliant Stadium
'25OFFDEF
BAL Baltimore Ravens at
8-9
#11
#18
HOU Houston Texans
12-5
#13
#2
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREHOU 60%
PASS PRO
Texans #9
→
Ravens #30
+21
WED NOV 25 · 8:00 PM
SoFi Stadium · dome
'25OFFDEF
GB Green Bay Packers at
9-7-1
#16
#11
LAR Los Angeles Rams
12-5
#1
#10
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRELAR 65%
PASS ATTACK
Rams #2
→
Packers #22
+20
PASS PRO
Rams #2
→
Packers #19
+17
RED ZONE
Rams #6
→
Packers #17
+11
SUN NOV 29 · 4:05 PM · DIV
EverBank Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
TEN Tennessee Titans at
3-14
#30
#28
JAC Jacksonville Jaguars
13-4
#6
#8
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREJAC 75%
PASS ATTACK
Jaguars #11
→
Titans #29
+18
RED ZONE
Jaguars #12
→
Titans #30
+18
SUN NOV 29 · 4:25 PM
State Farm Stadium
'25OFFDEF
WAS Washington Commanders at
5-12
#22
#27
ARI Arizona Cardinals
3-14
#23
#29
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREARI 54%
RED ZONE
Commanders #4
→
Cardinals #21
+17
PASS PRO
Commanders #15
→
Cardinals #29
+14
PASS ATTACK
Cardinals #17
→
Commanders #30
+13
SUN NOV 29 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Hard Rock Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
NYJ New York Jets at
3-14
#29
#31
MIA Miami Dolphins
7-10
#25
#24
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREMIA 64%
RED ZONE
Dolphins #14
→
Jets #29
+15
PASS PRO
Dolphins #17
→
Jets #31
+14
PASS ATTACK
Dolphins #20
→
Jets #32
+12
THU NOV 26 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Ford Field · dome
'25OFFDEF
CHI Chicago Bears at
11-6
#9
#23
DET Detroit Lions
9-8
#4
#22
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREDET 62%
RUN GAME
Bears #4
→
Lions #18
+14
PASS ATTACK
Lions #4
→
Bears #18
+14
RED ZONE
Bears #10
→
Lions #23
+13
SUN NOV 29 · 1:00 PM
Paycor Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
NO New Orleans Saints at
6-11
#28
#16
CIN Cincinnati Bengals
6-11
#12
#30
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRECIN 59%
RED ZONE
Bengals #1
→
Saints #15
+14
MON NOV 30 · 8:15 PM · DIV
Raymond James Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
CAR Carolina Panthers at
8-9
#27
#15
TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers
8-9
#18
#20
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRETB 62%
RUN GAME
Buccaneers #12
→
Panthers #24
+12
PASS PRO
Buccaneers #16
→
Panthers #28
+12
RED ZONE
Panthers #24
→
Buccaneers #32
+8
FRI NOV 27 · 3:00 PM
Acrisure Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
DEN Denver Broncos at
14-3
#14
#3
PIT Pittsburgh Steelers
10-7
#15
#17
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREPIT 51%
PASS ATTACK
Broncos #9
→
Steelers #17
+8
SUN NOV 29 · 8:20 PM
SoFi Stadium · dome
'25OFFDEF
NE New England Patriots at
14-3
#2
#4
LAC Los Angeles Chargers
11-6
#20
#9
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRELAC 51%
PASS ATTACK
Patriots #1
→
Chargers #9
+8
SUN NOV 29 · 1:00 PM
U.S. Bank Stadium · dome
'25OFFDEF
ATL Atlanta Falcons at
8-9
#24
#19
MIN Minnesota Vikings
9-8
#26
#7
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREMIN 61%
no major mismatch — evenly built
SUN NOV 29 · 1:00 PM
Huntington Bank Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
LV Las Vegas Raiders at
3-14
#32
#25
CLE Cleveland Browns
5-12
#31
#14
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRECLE 60%
no major mismatch — evenly built
OFF/DEF are each team's 2025 points scored / allowed ranks (of 32); mismatch rows pair an offense unit with the defense it runs into — amber gap, weak side in red. SPREAD/TOTAL/BOOK are the market; MODEL is our calibrated spine (preseason, prior-only) — side by side on purpose, not a pick. Weather fills in as kickoff nears. Tap for the full dossier.