Las Vegas Raiders
@
Cleveland Browns
MODEL CLE 60%
Week 12 · 2026-11-29 · 13:00
· Huntington Bank Field (outdoors)
· grass
Last 5 yrs H2H: LV 2 – 1 CLE
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Vegas line (context)
—
Game total O/U
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Final (away–home)
MODEL is the power-ratings spine — preseason, prior-only until 2026 snaps exist. Calibrated most-likely, no proven edge vs the close; the book number is shown beside it on purpose. Not a pick.
On the Field 2025 unit strength
LV OFFENSE
vs
CLE DEFENSE
Balanced · 39% run
Ball-control
CLE OFFENSE
vs
LV DEFENSE
Balanced · 41% run
Avg pace
Unit strength
weaker · avg · stronger
Position groups are shaded by team-unit strength (2025 pass/rush EPA, offense and defense) — not individual players. The defensive front you see is the wall this offense has to run into.
Unit Matchups 2025 · rank of 32
LV OFFENSE
vs
CLE DEFENSE
-0.19 #29
Pass attack
DEF +25
#4 -0.13
-0.26 #32
Run game
DEF +27
#5 -0.05
195 #26
Pass yards
DEF +23
#3 189
77 #32
Rush yards
DEF +16
#16 116
3.8 #32
Pass pro vs rush
DEF +29
#3 3.1
34% #29
3rd down
DEF +21
#8 37%
56% #27
Red zone
even
#20 66%
CLE OFFENSE
vs
LV DEFENSE
-0.29 #32
Pass attack
DEF +9
#23 +0.08
-0.05 #25
Run game
DEF +11
#14 -0.04
185 #31
Pass yards
DEF +18
#13 214
97 #27
Rush yards
DEF +10
#17 117
3.0 #26
Pass pro vs rush
even
#21 2.1
34% #28
3rd down
even
#30 47%
55% #28
Red zone
DEF +17
#11 59%
Rank gaps are where games tilt — a bottom-8 defense meeting a top-8 offense is the mismatch worth knowing about. 2025 regular-season data; EPA from play-by-play. Context, not a pick.
Pressure Matchup sacks · 2025
LV PASS RUSH
vs
CLE PASS PRO
Maxx Crosby DE
10.0 sacks '25
Malcolm Koonce DE
4.5 sacks '25
Kwity Paye DE
4.0 sacks '25
3.0 #26
sacks allowed /g
#3 2.1
CLE PASS RUSH
vs
LV PASS PRO
Jared Verse DE
8.5 sacks '25
Maliek Collins DT
6.5 sacks '25
Alex Wright DE
5.5 sacks '25
3.8 #32
sacks allowed /g
#21 3.1
A top pass rush against a line that already leaks sacks is where pressure rate breaks a game open — the left rank is the blocking side, the right is the rush.
Position Matchups 2025 per-game · last-10 form
LV
Kirk Cousins QB
2025: ATL
vs #4 PASS D
172.1 pass y/g 6/10
Ashton Jeanty RB
vs #5 RUN D
57.4 rush y/g 4/10
Tre Tucker WR1
vs #4 PASS D
40.9 rec y/g 3/10
Jalen Nailor WR2
2025: MIN
vs #4 PASS D
26.1 rec y/g 4/10
Jack Bech WR3
vs #4 PASS D
16.0 rec y/g 5/10
Brock Bowers TE
vs #4 PASS D
56.7 rec y/g 3/10
CLE
Deshaun Watson QB
vs #23 PASS D
— pass y/g
Quinshon Judkins RB
vs #14 RUN D
59.1 rush y/g 3/10
Jerry Jeudy WR1
vs #23 PASS D
35.4 rec y/g 4/10
KC Concepcion WR2
vs #23 PASS D
— rec y/g
Denzel Boston WR3
vs #23 PASS D
— rec y/g
Harold Fannin Jr. TE
vs #23 PASS D
45.7 rec y/g 3/10
Dot strips are each player's last 10 games against his own 2025 average — form, not a prop grade; we hold no lines yet. Grey team tags mark stats earned elsewhere. No pick.