New York Giants
@
Indianapolis Colts
MODEL IND 65%
Week 12 · 2026-11-29 · 13:00
· Lucas Oil Stadium
· fieldturf
Last 5 yrs H2H: NYG 2 – 0 IND
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Vegas line (context)
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Game total O/U
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Final (away–home)
MODEL is the power-ratings spine — preseason, prior-only until 2026 snaps exist. Calibrated most-likely, no proven edge vs the close; the book number is shown beside it on purpose. Not a pick.
On the Field 2025 unit strength
NYG OFFENSE
vs
IND DEFENSE
Balanced · 47% run
Avg pace
dual-threat QB
IND OFFENSE
vs
NYG DEFENSE
Balanced · 43% run
Ball-control
Unit strength
weaker · avg · stronger
Position groups are shaded by team-unit strength (2025 pass/rush EPA, offense and defense) — not individual players. The defensive front you see is the wall this offense has to run into.
Unit Matchups 2025 · rank of 32
NYG OFFENSE
vs
IND DEFENSE
-0.01 #19
Pass attack
even
#19 +0.04
+0.04 #5
Run game
even
#9 -0.05
218 #21
Pass yards
OFF +10
#31 262
129 #5
Rush yards
even
#7 102
2.8 #23
Pass pro vs rush
DEF +8
#15 2.3
40% #17
3rd down
OFF +9
#26 43%
59% #23
Red zone
DEF +18
#5 55%
IND OFFENSE
vs
NYG DEFENSE
+0.06 #12
Pass attack
even
#16 +0.03
+0.09 #3
Run game
OFF +29
#32 +0.17
240 #8
Pass yards
OFF +9
#17 230
118 #17
Rush yards
OFF +14
#31 145
1.7 #8
Pass pro vs rush
OFF +9
#17 2.2
43% #7
3rd down
even
#14 40%
68% #7
Red zone
OFF +15
#22 68%
Rank gaps are where games tilt — a bottom-8 defense meeting a top-8 offense is the mismatch worth knowing about. 2025 regular-season data; EPA from play-by-play. Context, not a pick.
Pressure Matchup sacks · 2025
NYG PASS RUSH
vs
IND PASS PRO
Brian Burns LB
16.5 sacks '25
Abdul Carter LB
4.0 sacks '25
Darius Alexander DT
3.5 sacks '25
1.7 #8
sacks allowed /g
#15 2.2
IND PASS RUSH
vs
NYG PASS PRO
Laiatu Latu DE
8.5 sacks '25
DeForest Buckner DT
4.0 sacks '25
Adetomiwa Adebawore DT
4.0 sacks '25
2.8 #23
sacks allowed /g
#17 2.3
A top pass rush against a line that already leaks sacks is where pressure rate breaks a game open — the left rank is the blocking side, the right is the rush.
Position Matchups 2025 per-game · last-10 form
NYG
Jaxson Dart QB
vs #19 PASS D
162.3 pass y/g 8/10
Cam Skattebo RB
vs #9 RUN D
51.2 rush y/g 5/8
Malik Nabers WR1
vs #19 PASS D
67.8 rec y/g 2/4
Darius Slayton WR2
vs #19 PASS D
38.4 rec y/g 4/10
Darnell Mooney WR3
2025: ATL
vs #19 PASS D
29.5 rec y/g 4/10
Isaiah Likely TE
2025: BAL
vs #19 PASS D
25.6 rec y/g 4/10
IND
Daniel Jones QB
vs #16 PASS D
238.5 pass y/g 5/10
Jonathan Taylor RB
vs #32 RUN D
93.2 rush y/g 2/10
Alec Pierce WR1
vs #16 PASS D
66.9 rec y/g 7/10
Josh Downs WR2
vs #16 PASS D
35.4 rec y/g 5/10
Ashton Dulin WR3
vs #16 PASS D
8.8 rec y/g 3/10
Tyler Warren TE
vs #16 PASS D
48.1 rec y/g 2/10
Dot strips are each player's last 10 games against his own 2025 average — form, not a prop grade; we hold no lines yet. Grey team tags mark stats earned elsewhere. No pick.