Seattle Seahawks
@
San Francisco 49ers
DIV
MODEL SF 46%
Week 12 · 2026-11-29 · 16:25
· Levi's Stadium (outdoors)
· grass
Last 5 yrs H2H: SEA 5 – 7 SF
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Vegas line (context)
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Game total O/U
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Final (away–home)
MODEL is the power-ratings spine — preseason, prior-only until 2026 snaps exist. Calibrated most-likely, no proven edge vs the close; the book number is shown beside it on purpose. Not a pick.
On the Field 2025 unit strength
SEA OFFENSE
vs
SF DEFENSE
Run-heavy · 49% run
Ball-control
SF OFFENSE
vs
SEA DEFENSE
Balanced · 43% run
Avg pace
Unit strength
weaker · avg · stronger
Position groups are shaded by team-unit strength (2025 pass/rush EPA, offense and defense) — not individual players. The defensive front you see is the wall this offense has to run into.
Unit Matchups 2025 · rank of 32
SEA OFFENSE
vs
SF DEFENSE
+0.11 #8
Pass attack
OFF +17
#25 +0.11
-0.05 #26
Run game
even
#22 +0.01
239 #9
Pass yards
OFF +14
#23 242
123 #11
Rush yards
even
#11 108
1.6 #6
Pass pro vs rush
OFF +26
#32 1.2
43% #10
3rd down
OFF +10
#20 41%
62% #18
Red zone
even
#14 62%
SF OFFENSE
vs
SEA DEFENSE
+0.16 #7
Pass attack
even
#8 -0.10
-0.00 #17
Run game
DEF +16
#1 -0.15
254 #6
Pass yards
even
#12 213
107 #24
Rush yards
DEF +21
#3 92
1.6 #5
Pass pro vs rush
even
#8 2.8
51% #1
3rd down
even
#1 33%
68% #8
Red zone
even
#4 54%
Rank gaps are where games tilt — a bottom-8 defense meeting a top-8 offense is the mismatch worth knowing about. 2025 regular-season data; EPA from play-by-play. Context, not a pick.
Pressure Matchup sacks · 2025
SEA PASS RUSH
vs
SF PASS PRO
Byron Murphy II DT
9.0 sacks '25
Leonard Williams DE
8.0 sacks '25
DeMarcus Lawrence LB
8.0 sacks '25
1.6 #5
sacks allowed /g
#32 2.8
SF PASS RUSH
vs
SEA PASS PRO
Osa Odighizuwa DT
3.5 sacks '25
Sam Okuayinonu DT
3.0 sacks '25
Keion White DE
2.5 sacks '25
1.6 #6
sacks allowed /g
#8 1.2
A top pass rush against a line that already leaks sacks is where pressure rate breaks a game open — the left rank is the blocking side, the right is the rush.
Position Matchups 2025 per-game · last-10 form
SEA
Sam Darnold QB
vs #25 PASS D
236.0 pass y/g 5/10
Zach Charbonnet RB
vs #22 RUN D
44.1 rush y/g 5/10
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR1
vs #25 PASS D
99.6 rec y/g 3/10
Rashid Shaheed WR2
vs #25 PASS D
36.4 rec y/g 3/10
Cooper Kupp WR3
vs #25 PASS D
39.5 rec y/g 3/10
AJ Barner TE
vs #25 PASS D
29.3 rec y/g 4/10
SF
Brock Purdy QB
vs #8 PASS D
233.5 pass y/g 5/10
Christian McCaffrey RB
vs #1 RUN D
67.6 rush y/g 5/10
Mike Evans WR1
2025: TB
vs #8 PASS D
46.0 rec y/g 3/8
Ricky Pearsall WR2
vs #8 PASS D
52.8 rec y/g 5/10
Christian Kirk WR3
2025: HOU
vs #8 PASS D
31.0 rec y/g 3/10
George Kittle TE
vs #8 PASS D
52.8 rec y/g 6/10
Dot strips are each player's last 10 games against his own 2025 average — form, not a prop grade; we hold no lines yet. Grey team tags mark stats earned elsewhere. No pick.