Philadelphia Eagles
@
Tennessee Titans
BOOK TEN 36%
MODEL TEN 37%
Week 2 · 2026-09-20 · 13:00
· Nissan Stadium (outdoors)
· grass
Last 5 yrs H2H: PHI 1 – 0 TEN
PHI -4.5
Vegas line (context)
42.5
Game total O/U
—
Final (away–home)
MODEL is the power-ratings spine — preseason, prior-only until 2026 snaps exist. Calibrated most-likely, no proven edge vs the close; the book number is shown beside it on purpose. Not a pick.
On the Field 2025 unit strength
PHI OFFENSE
vs
TEN DEFENSE
Balanced · 47% run
Ball-control
dual-threat QB
TEN OFFENSE
vs
PHI DEFENSE
Balanced · 37% run
Ball-control
Unit strength
weaker · avg · stronger
Position groups are shaded by team-unit strength (2025 pass/rush EPA, offense and defense) — not individual players. The defensive front you see is the wall this offense has to run into.
Unit Matchups 2025 · rank of 32
PHI OFFENSE
vs
TEN DEFENSE
+0.04 #13
Pass attack
OFF +16
#29 +0.17
+0.01 #14
Run game
OFF +9
#23 +0.01
206 #23
Pass yards
even
#26 248
117 #18
Rush yards
even
#15 115
2.1 #12
Pass pro vs rush
even
#14 2.5
38% #21
3rd down
even
#21 42%
74% #2
Red zone
OFF +28
#30 71%
TEN OFFENSE
vs
PHI DEFENSE
-0.22 #31
Pass attack
DEF +26
#5 -0.12
-0.06 #27
Run game
DEF +11
#16 -0.02
191 #29
Pass yards
DEF +23
#6 204
93 #30
Rush yards
DEF +8
#22 124
3.3 #27
Pass pro vs rush
DEF +15
#12 2.5
32% #32
3rd down
DEF +10
#22 42%
61% #20
Red zone
DEF +10
#10 59%
Rank gaps are where games tilt — a bottom-8 defense meeting a top-8 offense is the mismatch worth knowing about. 2025 regular-season data; EPA from play-by-play. Context, not a pick.
Pressure Matchup sacks · 2025
PHI PASS RUSH
vs
TEN PASS PRO
Jalyx Hunt LB
6.5 sacks '25
Moro Ojomo DT
6.0 sacks '25
Jordan Davis DT
4.5 sacks '25
3.3 #27
sacks allowed /g
#14 2.5
TEN PASS RUSH
vs
PHI PASS PRO
Jeffery Simmons DT
11.0 sacks '25
John Franklin-Myers DE
7.5 sacks '25
Jacob Martin DE
5.5 sacks '25
2.1 #12
sacks allowed /g
#12 2.5
A top pass rush against a line that already leaks sacks is where pressure rate breaks a game open — the left rank is the blocking side, the right is the rush.
Position Matchups 2025 per-game · last-10 form
PHI
Jalen Hurts QB
vs #29 PASS D
199.5 pass y/g 3/10
Saquon Barkley RB
vs #23 RUN D
73.3 rush y/g 6/10
DeVonta Smith WR1
vs #29 PASS D
59.9 rec y/g 3/10
Makai Lemon WR2
vs #29 PASS D
— rec y/g
Dontayvion Wicks WR3
2025: GB
vs #29 PASS D
25.5 rec y/g 3/10
Dallas Goedert TE
vs #29 PASS D
39.0 rec y/g 3/10
TEN
Cam Ward QB
vs #5 PASS D
186.4 pass y/g 5/10
Tony Pollard RB
vs #16 RUN D
63.6 rush y/g 4/10
Carnell Tate WR1
vs #5 PASS D
— rec y/g
Wan'Dale Robinson WR2
2025: NYG
vs #5 PASS D
63.4 rec y/g 3/10
Calvin Ridley WR3
vs #5 PASS D
43.3 rec y/g 2/7
Gunnar Helm TE
vs #5 PASS D
22.3 rec y/g 6/10
Dot strips are each player's last 10 games against his own 2025 average — form, not a prop grade; we hold no lines yet. Grey team tags mark stats earned elsewhere. No pick.