New York Giants
@
Los Angeles Rams
BOOK LAR 76%
MODEL LAR 73%
Week 2 · 2026-09-21 · 20:15
· SoFi Stadium (dome)
· matrixturf
Last 5 yrs H2H: NYG 0 – 2 LAR
LAR -8.5
Vegas line (context)
48.5
Game total O/U
—
Final (away–home)
MODEL is the power-ratings spine — preseason, prior-only until 2026 snaps exist. Calibrated most-likely, no proven edge vs the close; the book number is shown beside it on purpose. Not a pick.
On the Field 2025 unit strength
NYG OFFENSE
vs
LAR DEFENSE
Balanced · 47% run
Avg pace
dual-threat QB
LAR OFFENSE
vs
NYG DEFENSE
Balanced · 42% run
Avg pace
Unit strength
weaker · avg · stronger
Position groups are shaded by team-unit strength (2025 pass/rush EPA, offense and defense) — not individual players. The defensive front you see is the wall this offense has to run into.
Unit Matchups 2025 · rank of 32
NYG OFFENSE
vs
LAR DEFENSE
-0.01 #19
Pass attack
DEF +9
#10 -0.07
+0.04 #5
Run game
even
#12 -0.04
218 #21
Pass yards
even
#20 235
129 #5
Rush yards
even
#12 111
2.8 #23
Pass pro vs rush
DEF +14
#9 2.8
40% #17
3rd down
DEF +11
#6 36%
59% #23
Red zone
DEF +15
#8 56%
LAR OFFENSE
vs
NYG DEFENSE
+0.23 #2
Pass attack
OFF +14
#16 +0.03
+0.03 #7
Run game
OFF +25
#32 +0.17
277 #2
Pass yards
OFF +15
#17 230
127 #7
Rush yards
OFF +24
#31 145
1.4 #2
Pass pro vs rush
OFF +15
#17 2.2
40% #16
3rd down
even
#14 40%
68% #6
Red zone
OFF +16
#22 68%
Rank gaps are where games tilt — a bottom-8 defense meeting a top-8 offense is the mismatch worth knowing about. 2025 regular-season data; EPA from play-by-play. Context, not a pick.
Pressure Matchup sacks · 2025
NYG PASS RUSH
vs
LAR PASS PRO
Brian Burns LB
16.5 sacks '25
Abdul Carter LB
4.0 sacks '25
Darius Alexander DT
3.5 sacks '25
1.4 #2
sacks allowed /g
#9 2.2
LAR PASS RUSH
vs
NYG PASS PRO
Myles Garrett DE
23.0 sacks '25
Byron Young LB
12.0 sacks '25
Kobie Turner DE
7.0 sacks '25
2.8 #23
sacks allowed /g
#17 2.8
A top pass rush against a line that already leaks sacks is where pressure rate breaks a game open — the left rank is the blocking side, the right is the rush.
Position Matchups 2025 per-game · last-10 form
NYG
Jaxson Dart QB
vs #10 PASS D
162.3 pass y/g 8/10
Cam Skattebo RB
vs #12 RUN D
51.2 rush y/g 5/8
Malik Nabers WR1
vs #10 PASS D
67.8 rec y/g 2/4
Darius Slayton WR2
vs #10 PASS D
38.4 rec y/g 4/10
Darnell Mooney WR3
2025: ATL
vs #10 PASS D
29.5 rec y/g 4/10
Isaiah Likely TE
2025: BAL
vs #10 PASS D
25.6 rec y/g 4/10
LAR
Matthew Stafford QB
vs #16 PASS D
282.1 pass y/g 4/10
Kyren Williams RB
vs #32 RUN D
71.8 rush y/g 5/10
Puka Nacua WR1
vs #16 PASS D
107.7 rec y/g 5/10
Davante Adams WR2
vs #16 PASS D
57.3 rec y/g 7/10
Jordan Whittington WR3
vs #16 PASS D
12.1 rec y/g 3/10
Colby Parkinson TE
vs #16 PASS D
32.9 rec y/g 7/10
Dot strips are each player's last 10 games against his own 2025 average — form, not a prop grade; we hold no lines yet. Grey team tags mark stats earned elsewhere. No pick.