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Biggest gaps from the book — Week 2
10 of 16 games
The ratings' most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Shown beside the market's own number so you can see where they disagree. Not a pick.
SF win probability
ours 73%
book 86%
65%
95%
book is 13 pts higher
Our number
SF -8.2 · 45.3
The market
consensus · tap to build a ticket
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Moneyline
All 5 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book
| Book | MIA spread | SF spread | Over | Under | MIA win | SF win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||||||
| FanDuel | ||||||
| BetMGM | ||||||
| theScore Bet | ||||||
| Caesars |
MIA offense vs SF defense-2.1 pts
SF offense vs MIA defense+2.2 pts
HOU win probability
ours 67%
book 57%
47%
77%
book is 10 pts lower
Our number
HOU -5.9 · 46.5
The market
consensus · tap to build a ticket
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All 5 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book
| Book | CIN spread | HOU spread | Over | Under | CIN win | HOU win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||||||
| FanDuel | ||||||
| BetMGM | ||||||
| theScore Bet | ||||||
| Caesars |
CIN offense vs HOU defense-1.5 pts
HOU offense vs CIN defense+2.8 pts
KC win probability
ours 61%
book 71%
51%
81%
book is 10 pts higher
Our number
KC -3.8 · 45.8
The market
consensus · tap to build a ticket
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All 4 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book
| Book | IND spread | KC spread | Over | Under | IND win | KC win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||||||
| FanDuel | ||||||
| BetMGM | — | — | ||||
| Caesars |
IND offense vs KC defense+0.3 pts
KC offense vs IND defense+0.4 pts
TB win probability
ours 61%
book 71%
51%
81%
book is 10 pts higher
Our number
TB -3.8 · 42.3
The market
consensus · tap to build a ticket
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All 5 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book
| Book | CLE spread | TB spread | Over | Under | CLE win | TB win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||||||
| FanDuel | ||||||
| BetMGM | ||||||
| theScore Bet | ||||||
| Caesars |
CLE offense vs TB defense-3.0 pts
TB offense vs CLE defense+0.1 pts
CHI win probability
ours 52%
book 60%
41%
71%
book is 8 pts higher
Our number
CHI -0.6 · 43.4
The market
consensus · tap to build a ticket
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All 5 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book
| Book | MIN spread | CHI spread | Over | Under | MIN win | CHI win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||||||
| FanDuel | ||||||
| BetMGM | ||||||
| theScore Bet | ||||||
| Caesars |
MIN offense vs CHI defense-0.9 pts
CHI offense vs MIN defense-0.9 pts
LAC win probability
ours 68%
book 76%
57%
87%
book is 8 pts higher
Our number
LAC -6.1 · 40.8
The market
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All 5 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book
| Book | LV spread | LAC spread | Over | Under | LV win | LAC win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||||||
| FanDuel | ||||||
| BetMGM | ||||||
| theScore Bet | ||||||
| Caesars |
LV offense vs LAC defense-4.7 pts
LAC offense vs LV defense+0.3 pts
DAL win probability
ours 56%
book 64%
45%
75%
book is 8 pts higher
Our number
DAL -2.0 · 52.0
The market
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All 3 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book
| Book | WAS spread | DAL spread | Over | Under | WAS win | DAL win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||||||
| FanDuel | ||||||
| Caesars |
WAS offense vs DAL defense+3.3 pts
DAL offense vs WAS defense+3.6 pts
ATL win probability
ours 47%
book 53%
35%
65%
book is 6 pts higher
Our number
CAR -1.1 · 43.1
The market
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All 5 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book
| Book | CAR spread | ATL spread | Over | Under | CAR win | ATL win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||||||
| FanDuel | ||||||
| BetMGM | ||||||
| theScore Bet | ||||||
| Caesars |
CAR offense vs ATL defense-1.5 pts
ATL offense vs CAR defense-0.6 pts
BAL win probability
ours 71%
book 75%
58%
88%
book is 4 pts higher
Our number
BAL -7.4 · 44.0
The market
consensus · tap to build a ticket
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All 5 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book
| Book | NO spread | BAL spread | Over | Under | NO win | BAL win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||||||
| FanDuel | ||||||
| BetMGM | ||||||
| theScore Bet | ||||||
| Caesars |
NO offense vs BAL defense-2.5 pts
BAL offense vs NO defense+1.4 pts
DEN win probability
ours 55%
book 58%
41%
71%
book is 3 pts higher
Our number
DEN -1.7 · 44.1
The market
consensus · tap to build a ticket
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All 5 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book
| Book | JAX spread | DEN spread | Over | Under | JAX win | DEN win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||||||
| FanDuel | ||||||
| BetMGM | ||||||
| theScore Bet | ||||||
| Caesars |
JAX offense vs DEN defense-0.3 pts
DEN offense vs JAX defense-0.8 pts