The ratings' most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Shown beside the market's own number so you can see where they disagree. Not a pick.

Atlanta Falcons

Power -1.2 · off #24

17–27

projected score

THU SEP 24 · 8:15 PM

Green Bay Packers

Power +1.2 · off #16

GB win probability

ours 78% book 76%

62%

92%

book is 2 pts lower

Our number GB -10.3 · 44.1

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

ATL +7.5 -110* GB -7.5 -110*

Total

Over 46.5 -110* Under 46.5 -110*

Moneyline

ATL win +295 GB win -375

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	ATL spread	GB spread	Over	Under	ATL win	GB win
DraftKings	+7.5-110	-7.5-110	46.5-110	46.5-110	+295	-375
Caesars	+7-115	-7-115	45.5-115	45.5-115	+260	-390

ATL offense vs GB defense-1.7 pts

GB offense vs ATL defense+0.7 pts

Full breakdown →

Carolina Panthers

Power -2.1 · off #27

18–22

projected score

SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM

Cleveland Browns

Power -3.2 · off #31

CLE win probability

ours 60% book 47%

39%

69%

book is 13 pts lower

Our number CLE -3.5 · 39.9

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

CAR -1.5 -110* CLE +1.5 -110*

Total

Over 39.5 -110* Under 39.5 -110*

Moneyline

CAR win -125 CLE win +105

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	CAR spread	CLE spread	Over	Under	CAR win	CLE win
DraftKings	-1.5-110	+1.5-110	39.5-110	39.5-110	-125	+105
Caesars	-2.5-115	+2.5-115	38-115	38-115	-150	+125

CAR offense vs CLE defense-2.1 pts

CLE offense vs CAR defense-3.2 pts

Full breakdown →

Cincinnati Bengals

Power -1.3 · off #12

23–26

projected score

SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM · DIV

Pittsburgh Steelers

Power +0.0 · off #15

PIT win probability

ours 59% book 47%

38%

68%

book is 12 pts lower

Our number PIT -3.1 · 48.3

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

CIN -1.5 -110* PIT +1.5 -110*

Total

Over 46.5 -110* Under 46.5 -110*

Moneyline

CIN win -125 PIT win +105

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	CIN spread	PIT spread	Over	Under	CIN win	PIT win
DraftKings	-1.5-110	+1.5-110	46.5-118	46.5-102	-125	+105
Caesars	-1-115	+1-115	45.5-115	45.5-115	-125	-105

CIN offense vs PIT defense+0.9 pts

PIT offense vs CIN defense+2.2 pts

Full breakdown →

Houston Texans

Power +3.0 · off #13

23–23

projected score

SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM · DIV

Indianapolis Colts

Power +1.0 · off #8

IND win probability

ours 48.0% book 47.4%

33%

63%

book is 0.6 pts lower

Our number HOU -0.6 · 45.8

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

HOU -1.5 -110* IND +1.5 -110*

Total

Over 45.5 -110* Under 45.5 -110*

Moneyline

HOU win -122 IND win +102

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	HOU spread	IND spread	Over	Under	HOU win	IND win
DraftKings	-1.5-110	+1.5-110	45.5-110	45.5-110	-122	+102
Caesars	-1-115	+1-115	43.5-115	43.5-115	-120	-110

HOU offense vs IND defense+1.3 pts

IND offense vs HOU defense-0.7 pts

Full breakdown →

Kansas City Chiefs

Power +1.1 · off #21

23–19

projected score

SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM

Miami Dolphins

Power -2.2 · off #25

MIA win probability

ours 39% book 23%

16%

46%

book is 16 pts lower

Our number KC -3.6 · 42.3

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

KC -7.5 -110* MIA +7.5 -110*

Total

Over 44.5 -110* Under 44.5 -110*

Moneyline

KC win -395 MIA win +310

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	KC spread	MIA spread	Over	Under	KC win	MIA win
DraftKings	-7.5-110	+7.5-110	44.5-110	44.5-110	-395	+310
Caesars	-7.5-115	+7.5-115	43.5-115	43.5-115	-380	+285

KC offense vs MIA defense+0.2 pts

MIA offense vs KC defense-3.1 pts

Full breakdown →

Los Angeles Chargers

Power +0.5 · off #20

21–26

projected score

SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM

Buffalo Bills

Power +2.8 · off #4

BUF win probability

ours 65% book 59%

47%

77%

book is 6 pts lower

Our number BUF -5.0 · 46.1

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

LAC +3 -110* BUF -3 -110*

Total

Over 48.5 -110* Under 48.5 -110*

Moneyline

LAC win +136 BUF win -162

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	LAC spread	BUF spread	Over	Under	LAC win	BUF win
DraftKings	+3-110	-3-110	48.5-110	48.5-110	+136	-162
Caesars	+3-115	-3-115	50-115	50-115	+140	-180

LAC offense vs BUF defense-0.7 pts

BUF offense vs LAC defense+1.7 pts

Full breakdown →

New England Patriots

Power +2.2 · off #2

21–23

projected score

SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM

Jacksonville Jaguars

Power +2.4 · off #6

JAX win probability

ours 55% book —

no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against

Our number JAX -1.7 · 44.6

The market —

NE offense vs JAX defense-0.3 pts

JAX offense vs NE defense-0.2 pts

Full breakdown →

New York Jets

Power -4.9 · off #29

19–29

projected score

SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM

Detroit Lions

Power +2.4 · off #5

DET win probability

ours 77.8% book 77.2%

63%

93%

book is 0.6 pts lower

Our number DET -10.1 · 48.8

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

NYJ +9.5 -110* DET -9.5 -110*

Total

Over 45.5 -110* Under 45.5 -110*

Moneyline

NYJ win +320 DET win -410

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	NYJ spread	DET spread	Over	Under	NYJ win	DET win
DraftKings	+9.5-110	-9.5-110	45.5-110	45.5-110	+320	-410
Caesars	+10-115	-10-115	46.5-115	46.5-115	+375	-525

NYJ offense vs DET defense-1.8 pts

DET offense vs NYJ defense+5.5 pts

Full breakdown →

Seattle Seahawks

Power +5.1 · off #3

24–22

projected score

SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM

Washington Commanders

Power -1.8 · off #22

WAS win probability

ours 42% book —

no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against

Our number SEA -2.6 · 45.9

The market —

SEA offense vs WAS defense+3.8 pts

WAS offense vs SEA defense-3.1 pts

Full breakdown →

Tennessee Titans

Power -4.4 · off #30

20–25

projected score

SUN SEP 27 · 1:00 PM

New York Giants

Power -2.0 · off #17

NYG win probability

ours 65% book 60%

47%

77%

book is 5 pts lower

Our number NYG -5.2 · 45.3

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

TEN +3 -110* NYG -3 -110*

Total

Over 44.5 -110* Under 44.5 -110*

Moneyline

TEN win +140 NYG win -166

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	TEN spread	NYG spread	Over	Under	TEN win	NYG win
DraftKings	+3-105	-3-115	44.5-110	44.5-110	+140	-166
Caesars	+4-120	-4-110	44.5-115	44.5-115	+140	-191

TEN offense vs NYG defense-1.1 pts

NYG offense vs TEN defense+1.3 pts

Full breakdown →

Arizona Cardinals

Power -2.4 · off #23

19–27

projected score

SUN SEP 27 · 4:05 PM · DIV

San Francisco 49ers

Power +2.2 · off #10

SF win probability

ours 73% book —

no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against

Our number SF -8.1 · 46.8

The market —

ARI offense vs SF defense-1.5 pts

SF offense vs ARI defense+3.1 pts

Full breakdown →

Minnesota Vikings

Power +0.4 · off #26

21–22

projected score

SUN SEP 27 · 4:05 PM

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Power -0.1 · off #18

TB win probability

ours 51% book 54%

37%

67%

book is 3 pts higher

Our number TB -0.4 · 43.0

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

MIN +1.5 -110* TB -1.5 -110*

Total

Over 44.5 -110* Under 44.5 -110*

Moneyline

MIN win +110 TB win -130

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	MIN spread	TB spread	Over	Under	MIN win	TB win
DraftKings	+1.5-110	-1.5-110	44.5-110	44.5-110	+110	-130
Caesars	+2.5-115	-2.5-115	43.5-115	43.5-115	+115	-145

MIN offense vs TB defense-0.8 pts

TB offense vs MIN defense-1.3 pts

Full breakdown →

Baltimore Ravens

Power +1.8 · off #11

27–23

projected score

SUN SEP 27 · 4:25 PM

Dallas Cowboys

Power -1.6 · off #7

DAL win probability

ours 39% book 45%

27%

57%

book is 6 pts higher

Our number BAL -3.6 · 50.1

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

BAL -2.5 -110* DAL +2.5 -110*

Total

Over 51.5 -110* Under 51.5 -110*

Moneyline

BAL win -135 DAL win +114

All 3 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	BAL spread	DAL spread	Over	Under	BAL win	DAL win
DraftKings	-2.5-110	+2.5-110	51.5-110	51.5-110	-135	+114
theScore Bet	-2.5-115	+2.5-105	51.5-105	51.5-115	-135	+115
Caesars	-2.5-109	+2.5-109	51.5-109	51.5-110	-137	+116

BAL offense vs DAL defense+5.1 pts

DAL offense vs BAL defense+1.8 pts

Full breakdown →

Las Vegas Raiders

Power -4.4 · off #32

19–21

projected score

SUN SEP 27 · 4:25 PM

New Orleans Saints

Power -2.2 · off #28

NO win probability

ours 58% book 62%

45%

75%

book is 4 pts higher

Our number NO -2.6 · 40.2

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

LV +3.5 -110* NO -3.5 -110*

Total

Over 42.5 -110* Under 42.5 -110*

Moneyline

LV win +154 NO win -185

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	LV spread	NO spread	Over	Under	LV win	NO win
DraftKings	+3.5-110	-3.5-110	42.5-110	42.5-110	+154	-185
Caesars	+4-115	-4-115	41.5-115	41.5-115	+160	-210

LV offense vs NO defense-3.6 pts

NO offense vs LV defense-1.4 pts

Full breakdown →

Los Angeles Rams

Power +3.7 · off #1

23–23

projected score

SUN SEP 27 · 8:20 PM

Denver Broncos

Power +1.8 · off #14

DEN win probability

ours 50% book —

no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against

Our number LAR -0.1 · 45.1

The market —

LAR offense vs DEN defense+0.9 pts

DEN offense vs LAR defense-1.0 pts

Full breakdown →

Philadelphia Eagles

Power +1.8 · off #19

22–22

projected score

MON SEP 28 · 8:15 PM

Chicago Bears

Power +0.4 · off #9

CHI win probability

ours 49% book 52%

35%

65%

book is 3 pts higher

Our number PHI -0.3 · 44.1

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

PHI +1.5 -110* CHI -1.5 -110*

Total

Over 46.5 -110* Under 46.5 -110*

Moneyline

PHI win -102 CHI win -118

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	PHI spread	CHI spread	Over	Under	PHI win	CHI win
DraftKings	+1.5-115	-1.5-105	46.5-110	46.5-110	-102	-118
Caesars	+1.5-115	-1.5-115	46.5-115	46.5-115	+100	-131

PHI offense vs CHI defense+0.2 pts

CHI offense vs PHI defense-1.2 pts

Full breakdown →