Los Angeles Rams
@
Seattle Seahawks
DIV
MODEL SEA 59%
Week 16 · 2026-12-25 · 20:15
· Lumen Field (outdoors)
· fieldturf
Last 5 yrs H2H: LAR 6 – 5 SEA
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Vegas line (context)
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Game total O/U
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Final (away–home)
MODEL is the power-ratings spine — preseason, prior-only until 2026 snaps exist. Calibrated most-likely, no proven edge vs the close; the book number is shown beside it on purpose. Not a pick.
On the Field 2025 unit strength
LAR OFFENSE
vs
SEA DEFENSE
Balanced · 42% run
Avg pace
SEA OFFENSE
vs
LAR DEFENSE
Run-heavy · 49% run
Ball-control
Unit strength
weaker · avg · stronger
Position groups are shaded by team-unit strength (2025 pass/rush EPA, offense and defense) — not individual players. The defensive front you see is the wall this offense has to run into.
Unit Matchups 2025 · rank of 32
LAR OFFENSE
vs
SEA DEFENSE
+0.23 #2
Pass attack
even
#8 -0.10
+0.03 #7
Run game
even
#1 -0.15
277 #2
Pass yards
OFF +10
#12 213
127 #7
Rush yards
even
#3 92
1.4 #2
Pass pro vs rush
even
#8 2.8
40% #16
3rd down
DEF +15
#1 33%
68% #6
Red zone
even
#4 54%
SEA OFFENSE
vs
LAR DEFENSE
+0.11 #8
Pass attack
even
#10 -0.07
-0.05 #26
Run game
DEF +14
#12 -0.04
239 #9
Pass yards
OFF +11
#20 235
123 #11
Rush yards
even
#12 111
1.6 #6
Pass pro vs rush
even
#9 2.8
43% #10
3rd down
even
#6 36%
62% #18
Red zone
DEF +10
#8 56%
Rank gaps are where games tilt — a bottom-8 defense meeting a top-8 offense is the mismatch worth knowing about. 2025 regular-season data; EPA from play-by-play. Context, not a pick.
Pressure Matchup sacks · 2025
LAR PASS RUSH
vs
SEA PASS PRO
Myles Garrett DE
23.0 sacks '25
Byron Young LB
12.0 sacks '25
Kobie Turner DE
7.0 sacks '25
1.6 #6
sacks allowed /g
#8 2.8
SEA PASS RUSH
vs
LAR PASS PRO
Byron Murphy II DT
9.0 sacks '25
Leonard Williams DE
8.0 sacks '25
DeMarcus Lawrence LB
8.0 sacks '25
1.4 #2
sacks allowed /g
#9 2.8
A top pass rush against a line that already leaks sacks is where pressure rate breaks a game open — the left rank is the blocking side, the right is the rush.
Position Matchups 2025 per-game · last-10 form
LAR
Matthew Stafford QB
vs #8 PASS D
282.1 pass y/g 4/10
Kyren Williams RB
vs #1 RUN D
71.8 rush y/g 5/10
Puka Nacua WR1
vs #8 PASS D
107.7 rec y/g 5/10
Davante Adams WR2
vs #8 PASS D
57.3 rec y/g 7/10
Jordan Whittington WR3
vs #8 PASS D
12.1 rec y/g 3/10
Colby Parkinson TE
vs #8 PASS D
32.9 rec y/g 7/10
SEA
Sam Darnold QB
vs #10 PASS D
236.0 pass y/g 5/10
Zach Charbonnet RB
vs #12 RUN D
44.1 rush y/g 5/10
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR1
vs #10 PASS D
99.6 rec y/g 3/10
Rashid Shaheed WR2
vs #10 PASS D
36.4 rec y/g 3/10
Cooper Kupp WR3
vs #10 PASS D
39.5 rec y/g 3/10
AJ Barner TE
vs #10 PASS D
29.3 rec y/g 4/10
Dot strips are each player's last 10 games against his own 2025 average — form, not a prop grade; we hold no lines yet. Grey team tags mark stats earned elsewhere. No pick.