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Biggest gaps from the book — Week 16
10 of 16 games
The ratings' most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Shown beside the market's own number so you can see where they disagree. Not a pick.
Power -2.0 · off #17
21–28
projected score
MON DEC 28 · 8:15 PM
Power +2.4 · off #5
DET win probability
ours 70%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
DET -6.7 · 49.0
The market
—
NYG offense vs DET defense-0.3 pts
DET offense vs NYG defense+4.2 pts
Power -3.2 · off #31
18–25
projected score
SUN DEC 27 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Power +1.8 · off #11
BAL win probability
ours 69%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
BAL -6.4 · 43.0
The market
—
CLE offense vs BAL defense-3.6 pts
BAL offense vs CLE defense+1.4 pts
Power +2.2 · off #2
25–19
projected score
SUN DEC 27 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Power -4.9 · off #29
NYJ win probability
ours 33%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
NE -5.9 · 44.0
The market
—
NE offense vs NYJ defense+3.0 pts
NYJ offense vs NE defense-4.1 pts
Power -2.1 · off #27
19–24
projected score
SUN DEC 27 · 1:00 PM
Power +0.0 · off #15
PIT win probability
ours 67%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
PIT -5.7 · 42.9
The market
—
CAR offense vs PIT defense-2.2 pts
PIT offense vs CAR defense-0.1 pts
Power -0.1 · off #18
25–20
projected score
SUN DEC 27 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Power -1.2 · off #24
ATL win probability
ours 36%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
TB -4.6 · 45.5
The market
—
TB offense vs ATL defense+0.8 pts
ATL offense vs TB defense-0.4 pts
Power -1.8 · off #22
20–24
projected score
SUN DEC 27 · 1:00 PM
Power +0.4 · off #26
MIN win probability
ours 63%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
MIN -4.5 · 43.7
The market
—
WAS offense vs MIN defense-1.9 pts
MIN offense vs WAS defense+0.4 pts
Power -4.4 · off #30
19–23
projected score
SUN DEC 27 · 4:05 PM
Power -4.4 · off #32
LV win probability
ours 61%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
LV -3.8 · 42.6
The market
—
TEN offense vs LV defense-1.3 pts
LV offense vs TEN defense-1.3 pts
Power -1.3 · off #12
24–28
projected score
SUN DEC 27 · 1:00 PM
Power +1.0 · off #8
IND win probability
ours 60%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
IND -3.3 · 52.1
The market
—
CIN offense vs IND defense+2.3 pts
IND offense vs CIN defense+4.6 pts
Power -2.4 · off #23
21–23
projected score
SUN DEC 27 · 1:00 PM
Power -2.2 · off #28
NO win probability
ours 56%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
NO -2.1 · 43.6
The market
—
ARI offense vs NO defense-0.9 pts
NO offense vs ARI defense-0.7 pts
Power +0.5 · off #20
22–20
projected score
SUN DEC 27 · 1:00 PM
Power -2.2 · off #25
MIA win probability
ours 44%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
LAC -1.9 · 42.7
The market
—
LAC offense vs MIA defense+0.1 pts
MIA offense vs LAC defense-2.6 pts