Matchups — Week 16 16 games · heat = 2025 rank gap

Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Sort Heat Kickoff
SUN DEC 27 · 1:00 PM · DIV MetLife Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
NE New England Patriots at 14-3 #2 #4
NYJ New York Jets 3-14 #29 #31
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRENYJ 35%
PASS ATTACK Patriots #1 Jets #32 +31
RED ZONE Patriots #9 Jets #29 +20
RUN GAME Patriots #13 Jets #26 +13
SUN DEC 27 · 1:00 PM Lucas Oil Stadium
'25OFFDEF
CIN Cincinnati Bengals at 6-11 #12 #30
IND Indianapolis Colts 8-9 #8 #21
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREIND 63%
RUN GAME Colts #3 Bengals #29 +26
RED ZONE Colts #7 Bengals #26 +19
PASS ATTACK Colts #12 Bengals #28 +16
SUN DEC 27 · 4:25 PM GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
SF San Francisco 49ers at 12-5 #10 #13
KAN Kansas City Chiefs 6-11 #21 #6
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREKAN 54%
PASS PRO 49ers #5 Chiefs #26 +21
RUN GAME Chiefs #6 49ers #22 +16
PASS ATTACK Chiefs #14 49ers #25 +11
SUN DEC 27 · 8:20 PM AT&T Stadium
'25OFFDEF
JAC Jacksonville Jaguars at 13-4 #6 #8
DAL Dallas Cowboys 7-9-1 #7 #32
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREDAL 44%
PASS ATTACK Jaguars #11 Cowboys #31 +20
RED ZONE Jaguars #12 Cowboys #31 +19
PASS PRO Cowboys #10 Jaguars #27 +17
FRI DEC 25 · 4:30 PM Empower Field at Mile High · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
BUF Buffalo Bills at 12-5 #5 #12
DEN Denver Broncos 14-3 #14 #3
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREDEN 53%
PASS PRO Broncos #1 Bills #20 +19
RUN GAME Broncos #16 Bills #30 +14
RUN GAME Bills #1 Broncos #10 +9
SUN DEC 27 · 1:00 PM · DIV Mercedes-Benz Stadium
'25OFFDEF
TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 8-9 #18 #20
ATL Atlanta Falcons 8-9 #24 #19
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREATL 52%
RED ZONE Falcons #13 Buccaneers #32 +19
PASS PRO Falcons #4 Buccaneers #18 +14
RUN GAME Buccaneers #12 Falcons #25 +13
SUN DEC 27 · 1:00 PM Acrisure Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
CAR Carolina Panthers at 8-9 #27 #15
PIT Pittsburgh Steelers 10-7 #15 #17
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREPIT 62%
PASS PRO Steelers #11 Panthers #28 +17
RUN GAME Steelers #10 Panthers #24 +14
PASS ATTACK Steelers #16 Panthers #24 +8
MON DEC 28 · 8:15 PM Ford Field · dome
'25OFFDEF
NYG New York Giants at 4-13 #17 #26
DET Detroit Lions 9-8 #4 #22
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREDET 69%
RED ZONE Lions #5 Giants #22 +17
RUN GAME Giants #5 Lions #18 +13
PASS ATTACK Lions #4 Giants #16 +12
FRI DEC 25 · 1:00 PM · DIV Soldier Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
GB Green Bay Packers at 9-7-1 #16 #11
CHI Chicago Bears 11-6 #9 #23
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRECHI 54%
PASS PRO Bears #3 Packers #19 +16
PASS ATTACK Packers #3 Bears #18 +15
PASS PRO Packers #7 Bears #22 +15
SUN DEC 27 · 1:00 PM Hard Rock Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
LAC Los Angeles Chargers at 11-6 #20 #9
MIA Miami Dolphins 7-10 #25 #24
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREMIA 48%
RUN GAME Chargers #11 Dolphins #27 +16
THU DEC 24 · 8:15 PM Lincoln Financial Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
HOU Houston Texans at 12-5 #13 #2
PHI Philadelphia Eagles 11-6 #19 #5
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREPHI 52%
RED ZONE Eagles #2 Texans #16 +14
SUN DEC 27 · 1:00 PM U.S. Bank Stadium · dome
'25OFFDEF
WAS Washington Commanders at 5-12 #22 #27
MIN Minnesota Vikings 9-8 #26 #7
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREMIN 63%
RUN GAME Vikings #20 Commanders #28 +8
FRI DEC 25 · 8:15 PM · DIV Lumen Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
LAR Los Angeles Rams at 12-5 #1 #10
SEA Seattle Seahawks 14-3 #3 #1
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRESEA 59%
no major mismatch — evenly built
SUN DEC 27 · 1:00 PM Caesars Superdome · dome
'25OFFDEF
ARI Arizona Cardinals at 3-14 #23 #29
NO New Orleans Saints 6-11 #28 #16
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRENO 57%
no major mismatch — evenly built
SUN DEC 27 · 1:00 PM · DIV M&T Bank Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
CLE Cleveland Browns at 5-12 #31 #14
BAL Baltimore Ravens 8-9 #11 #18
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREBAL 70%
no major mismatch — evenly built
SUN DEC 27 · 4:05 PM Allegiant Stadium · dome
'25OFFDEF
TEN Tennessee Titans at 3-14 #30 #28
LV Las Vegas Raiders 3-14 #32 #25
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRELV 56%
no major mismatch — evenly built
OFF/DEF are each team's 2025 points scored / allowed ranks (of 32); mismatch rows pair an offense unit with the defense it runs into — amber gap, weak side in red. SPREAD/TOTAL/BOOK are the market; MODEL is our calibrated spine (preseason, prior-only) — side by side on purpose, not a pick. Weather fills in as kickoff nears. Tap for the full dossier.