Arizona Cardinals
@
Seattle Seahawks
DIV
MODEL SEA 76%
Week 9 · 2026-11-08 · 16:25
· Lumen Field (outdoors)
· fieldturf
Last 5 yrs H2H: ARI 1 – 9 SEA
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Vegas line (context)
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Game total O/U
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Final (away–home)
MODEL is the power-ratings spine — preseason, prior-only until 2026 snaps exist. Calibrated most-likely, no proven edge vs the close; the book number is shown beside it on purpose. Not a pick.
On the Field 2025 unit strength
ARI OFFENSE
vs
SEA DEFENSE
Pass-heavy · 34% run
Avg pace
SEA OFFENSE
vs
ARI DEFENSE
Run-heavy · 49% run
Ball-control
Unit strength
weaker · avg · stronger
Position groups are shaded by team-unit strength (2025 pass/rush EPA, offense and defense) — not individual players. The defensive front you see is the wall this offense has to run into.
Unit Matchups 2025 · rank of 32
ARI OFFENSE
vs
SEA DEFENSE
+0.00 #17
Pass attack
DEF +9
#8 -0.10
-0.06 #28
Run game
DEF +27
#1 -0.15
256 #5
Pass yards
even
#12 213
93 #31
Rush yards
DEF +28
#3 92
3.5 #28
Pass pro vs rush
DEF +20
#8 2.8
42% #12
3rd down
DEF +11
#1 33%
56% #26
Red zone
DEF +22
#4 54%
SEA OFFENSE
vs
ARI DEFENSE
+0.11 #8
Pass attack
OFF +19
#27 +0.15
-0.05 #26
Run game
even
#21 +0.01
239 #9
Pass yards
OFF +15
#24 243
123 #11
Rush yards
OFF +14
#25 127
1.6 #6
Pass pro vs rush
OFF +23
#29 1.8
43% #10
3rd down
OFF +19
#29 45%
62% #18
Red zone
even
#21 67%
Rank gaps are where games tilt — a bottom-8 defense meeting a top-8 offense is the mismatch worth knowing about. 2025 regular-season data; EPA from play-by-play. Context, not a pick.
Pressure Matchup sacks · 2025
ARI PASS RUSH
vs
SEA PASS PRO
Josh Sweat LB
12.0 sacks '25
Jonah Williams DE
3.0 sacks '25
Roy Lopez DT
2.0 sacks '25
1.6 #6
sacks allowed /g
#8 1.8
SEA PASS RUSH
vs
ARI PASS PRO
Byron Murphy II DT
9.0 sacks '25
Leonard Williams DE
8.0 sacks '25
DeMarcus Lawrence LB
8.0 sacks '25
3.5 #28
sacks allowed /g
#29 2.8
A top pass rush against a line that already leaks sacks is where pressure rate breaks a game open — the left rank is the blocking side, the right is the rush.
Position Matchups 2025 per-game · last-10 form
ARI
Jacoby Brissett QB
vs #8 PASS D
240.4 pass y/g 8/10
Jeremiyah Love RB
vs #1 RUN D
— rush y/g
Marvin Harrison Jr. WR1
vs #8 PASS D
50.7 rec y/g 5/10
Michael Wilson WR2
vs #8 PASS D
59.2 rec y/g 6/10
Kendrick Bourne WR3
2025: SF
vs #8 PASS D
36.7 rec y/g 1/10
Trey McBride TE
vs #8 PASS D
72.9 rec y/g 6/10
SEA
Sam Darnold QB
vs #27 PASS D
236.0 pass y/g 5/10
Zach Charbonnet RB
vs #21 RUN D
44.1 rush y/g 5/10
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR1
vs #27 PASS D
99.6 rec y/g 3/10
Rashid Shaheed WR2
vs #27 PASS D
36.4 rec y/g 3/10
Cooper Kupp WR3
vs #27 PASS D
39.5 rec y/g 3/10
AJ Barner TE
vs #27 PASS D
29.3 rec y/g 4/10
Dot strips are each player's last 10 games against his own 2025 average — form, not a prop grade; we hold no lines yet. Grey team tags mark stats earned elsewhere. No pick.