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Biggest gaps from the book — Week 9 10 of 15 games

The ratings' most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Shown beside the market's own number so you can see where they disagree. Not a pick.

Power -1.6 · off #7
25–29
projected score
SUN NOV 8 · 1:00 PM
Power +1.0 · off #8
IND win probability
ours 60% book 47%
39%
69%
book is 13 pts lower
Our number IND -3.4 · 53.7
The market consensus · tap to build a ticket
Spread
Total
Moneyline
All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book
Book DAL spreadIND spread OverUnder DAL winIND win
DraftKings
Caesars
DAL offense vs IND defense+3.0 pts
IND offense vs DAL defense+5.5 pts
Full breakdown →
Power -3.2 · off #31
19–20
projected score
SUN NOV 8 · 1:00 PM
Power -2.2 · off #28
NO win probability
ours 53% book 64%
43%
73%
book is 11 pts higher
Our number NO -1.0 · 38.9
The market consensus · tap to build a ticket
Spread
Total
Moneyline
All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book
Book CLE spreadNO spread OverUnder CLE winNO win
DraftKings
Caesars
CLE offense vs NO defense-3.6 pts
NO offense vs CLE defense-2.6 pts
Full breakdown →
Power +2.4 · off #5
26–22
projected score
SUN NOV 8 · 1:00 PM
Power -2.2 · off #25
MIA win probability
ours 38% book 29%
19%
49%
book is 9 pts lower
Our number DET -3.9 · 48.2
The market consensus · tap to build a ticket
Spread
Total
Moneyline
All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book
Book DET spreadMIA spread OverUnder DET winMIA win
DraftKings
Caesars
DET offense vs MIA defense+3.8 pts
MIA offense vs DET defense-0.8 pts
Full breakdown →
Power +2.4 · off #6
23–25
projected score
THU NOV 5 · 8:15 PM
Power +1.8 · off #11
BAL win probability
ours 57% book 64%
45%
75%
book is 7 pts higher
Our number BAL -2.3 · 47.4
The market consensus · tap to build a ticket
Spread
Total
Moneyline
All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book
Book JAX spreadBAL spread OverUnder JAX winBAL win
DraftKings
Caesars
JAX offense vs BAL defense+1.4 pts
BAL offense vs JAX defense+0.8 pts
Full breakdown →
Power -2.0 · off #17
18–25
projected score
SUN NOV 8 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Power +1.8 · off #19
PHI win probability
ours 68.6% book 67.5%
53%
83%
book is 1.1 pts lower
Our number PHI -6.4 · 43.3
The market consensus · tap to build a ticket
Spread
Total
Moneyline
All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book
Book NYG spreadPHI spread OverUnder NYG winPHI win
DraftKings
Caesars
NYG offense vs PHI defense-2.8 pts
PHI offense vs NYG defense+1.0 pts
Full breakdown →
Power -1.3 · off #12
26–20
projected score
SUN NOV 8 · 9:30 AM
Power -1.2 · off #24
ATL win probability
ours 33.4% book 33.1%
18%
48%
book is 0.3 pts lower
Our number CIN -5.6 · 46.6
The market consensus · tap to build a ticket
Spread
Total
Moneyline
All 4 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book
Book CIN spreadATL spread OverUnder CIN winATL win
DraftKings
FanDuel
ESPN Bet
Caesars
CIN offense vs ATL defense+1.6 pts
ATL offense vs CIN defense+1.7 pts
Full breakdown →
Power -4.9 · off #29
17–26
projected score
SUN NOV 8 · 1:00 PM
Power +1.1 · off #21
KC win probability
ours 77% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number KC -9.7 · 42.9
The market
NYJ offense vs KC defense-4.1 pts
KC offense vs NYJ defense+1.8 pts
Full breakdown →
Power -4.4 · off #32
17–26
projected score
SUN NOV 8 · 4:05 PM
Power +2.2 · off #10
SF win probability
ours 74% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number SF -8.6 · 43.4
The market
LV offense vs SF defense-4.2 pts
SF offense vs LV defense+2.4 pts
Full breakdown →
Power -2.4 · off #23
19–27
projected score
SUN NOV 8 · 4:25 PM · DIV
Power +5.1 · off #3
SEA win probability
ours 74% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number SEA -8.3 · 45.6
The market
ARI offense vs SEA defense-3.5 pts
SEA offense vs ARI defense+3.9 pts
Full breakdown →
Power +1.8 · off #14
23–19
projected score
SUN NOV 8 · 1:00 PM
Power -2.1 · off #27
CAR win probability
ours 39% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number DEN -3.5 · 41.7
The market
DEN offense vs CAR defense+0.3 pts
CAR offense vs DEN defense-3.7 pts
Full breakdown →