The ratings' most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Shown beside the market's own number so you can see where they disagree. Not a pick.

Detroit Lions

Power +2.4 · off #5

24–27

projected score

THU SEP 17 · 8:15 PM

Buffalo Bills

Power +2.8 · off #4

BUF win probability

ours 58.8% book 60.0%

44%

74%

book is 1.2 pts higher

Our number BUF -2.9 · 51.7

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

DET +3 -110* BUF -3 -110*

Total

Over 51.5 -110* Under 51.5 -110*

Moneyline

DET win +140 BUF win -166

All 5 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	DET spread	BUF spread	Over	Under	DET win	BUF win
DraftKings	+3+100	-3-120	53.5-110	53.5-110	+150	-180
FanDuel	+3.5-110	-3.5-110	52.5-118	52.5-104	+164	-196
BetMGM	+3.5-108	-3.5-110	53.5-108	53.5-110	+160	-190
theScore Bet	+3.5-110	-3.5-110	53.5-105	53.5-115	+165	-195
Caesars	+3.5-109	-3.5-109	53.5-108	53.5-112	+154	-190

DET offense vs BUF defense+3.1 pts

BUF offense vs DET defense+3.5 pts

Full breakdown →

Carolina Panthers

Power -2.1 · off #27

22–21

projected score

SUN SEP 20 · 1:00 PM · DIV

Atlanta Falcons

Power -1.2 · off #24

ATL win probability

ours 47% book 53%

35%

65%

book is 6 pts higher

Our number CAR -1.1 · 43.1

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

CAR +1.5 -110* ATL -1.5 -110*

Total

Over 42.5 -110* Under 42.5 -110*

Moneyline

CAR win +102 ATL win -122

All 5 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	CAR spread	ATL spread	Over	Under	CAR win	ATL win
DraftKings	+1.5-110	-1.5-110	44.5-110	44.5-110	-102	-118
FanDuel	+1.5-115	-1.5-105	43.5-115	43.5-105	-102	-116
BetMGM	+1.5-110	-1.5-108	44-110	44-108	+100	-120
theScore Bet	+1.5-115	-1.5-105	43.5-115	43.5-105	+100	-120
Caesars	+1.5-112	-1.5-108	44.5-105	44.5-115	-103	-115

CAR offense vs ATL defense-1.5 pts

ATL offense vs CAR defense-0.6 pts

Full breakdown →

Cincinnati Bengals

Power -1.3 · off #12

20–26

projected score

SUN SEP 20 · 1:00 PM

Houston Texans

Power +3.0 · off #13

HOU win probability

ours 67% book 57%

47%

77%

book is 10 pts lower

Our number HOU -5.9 · 46.5

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

CIN +2.5 -110* HOU -2.5 -110*

Total

Over 45.5 -110* Under 45.5 -110*

Moneyline

CIN win +124 HOU win -148

All 5 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	CIN spread	HOU spread	Over	Under	CIN win	HOU win
DraftKings	+2.5-105	-2.5-115	47.5-110	47.5-110	+120	-142
FanDuel	+2.5-104	-2.5-118	47.5-110	47.5-110	+122	-144
BetMGM	+2.5-102	-2.5-118	47.5-110	47.5-108	+120	-145
theScore Bet	+3-120	-3+100	47.5-110	47.5-110	+120	-140
Caesars	+2.5-102	-2.5-118	47.5-112	47.5-108	+121	-143

CIN offense vs HOU defense-1.5 pts

HOU offense vs CIN defense+2.8 pts

Full breakdown →

Cleveland Browns

Power -3.2 · off #31

19–23

projected score

SUN SEP 20 · 1:00 PM

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Power -0.1 · off #18

TB win probability

ours 61% book 71%

51%

81%

book is 10 pts higher

Our number TB -3.8 · 42.3

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

CLE +6.5 -110* TB -6.5 -110*

Total

Over 42.5 -110* Under 42.5 -110*

Moneyline

CLE win +225 TB win -278

All 5 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	CLE spread	TB spread	Over	Under	CLE win	TB win
DraftKings	+8.5-110	-8.5-110	40.5-110	40.5-110	+295	-375
FanDuel	+7.5-104	-7.5-118	40.5-105	40.5-115	+350	-450
BetMGM	+8.5-110	-8.5-110	40.5-110	40.5-108	+333	-425
theScore Bet	+8-110	-8-110	40.5-105	40.5-115	+360	-500
Caesars	+8.5-109	-8.5-109	40.5-112	40.5-108	+325	-420

CLE offense vs TB defense-3.0 pts

TB offense vs CLE defense+0.1 pts

Full breakdown →

Green Bay Packers

Power +1.2 · off #16

25–20

projected score

SUN SEP 20 · 1:00 PM

New York Jets

Power -4.9 · off #29

NYJ win probability

ours 34% book 32%

18%

48%

book is 2 pts lower

Our number GB -5.4 · 44.7

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

GB -5.5 -110* NYJ +5.5 -110*

Total

Over 42.5 -110* Under 42.5 -110*

Moneyline

GB win -245 NYJ win +200

All 5 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	GB spread	NYJ spread	Over	Under	GB win	NYJ win
DraftKings	-4.5-110	+4.5-110	44.5-110	44.5-110	-218	+180
FanDuel	-4.5-118	+4.5-104	44.5-110	44.5-110	-235	+194
BetMGM	-4.5-108	+4.5-110	45-108	45-110	-220	+180
theScore Bet	-4.5-110	+4.5-110	44.5-110	44.5-110	-225	+190
Caesars	-4.5-108	+4.5-110	44.5-115	44.5-105	-225	+184

GB offense vs NYJ defense+2.8 pts

NYJ offense vs GB defense-3.3 pts

Full breakdown →

Minnesota Vikings

Power +0.4 · off #26

21–22

projected score

SUN SEP 20 · 1:00 PM · DIV

Chicago Bears

Power +0.4 · off #9

CHI win probability

ours 52% book 60%

41%

71%

book is 8 pts higher

Our number CHI -0.6 · 43.4

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

MIN +3 -110* CHI -3 -110*

Total

Over 45.5 -110* Under 45.5 -110*

Moneyline

MIN win +142 CHI win -170

All 5 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	MIN spread	CHI spread	Over	Under	MIN win	CHI win
DraftKings	+5.5-110	-5.5-110	48.5-110	48.5-110	+215	-265
FanDuel	+5.5-115	-5.5-105	48.5-105	48.5-115	+194	-240
BetMGM	+5-108	-5-110	48-112	48-108	+200	-235
theScore Bet	+5.5-115	-5.5-105	48.5-105	48.5-115	+195	-230
Caesars	+5.5-109	-5.5-109	49-107	49-113	+200	-245

MIN offense vs CHI defense-0.9 pts

CHI offense vs MIN defense-0.9 pts

Full breakdown →

New Orleans Saints

Power -2.2 · off #28

18–26

projected score

SUN SEP 20 · 1:00 PM

Baltimore Ravens

Power +1.8 · off #11

BAL win probability

ours 71% book 75%

58%

88%

book is 4 pts higher

Our number BAL -7.4 · 44.0

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

NO +7.5 -110* BAL -7.5 -110*

Total

Over 46.5 -110* Under 46.5 -110*

Moneyline

NO win +285 BAL win -360

All 5 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	NO spread	BAL spread	Over	Under	NO win	BAL win
DraftKings	+8.5-110	-8.5-110	48.5-110	48.5-110	+310	-395
FanDuel	+8.5-115	-8.5-105	48.5-104	48.5-118	+370	-480
BetMGM	+8.5-108	-8.5-110	48-105	48-112	+340	-450
theScore Bet	+8-105	-8-115	47.5-120	47.5+100	+380	-550
Caesars	+8.5-109	-8.5-109	47.5-115	47.5-105	+340	-440

NO offense vs BAL defense-2.5 pts

BAL offense vs NO defense+1.4 pts

Full breakdown →

Philadelphia Eagles

Power +1.8 · off #19

24–18

projected score

SUN SEP 20 · 1:00 PM

Tennessee Titans

Power -4.4 · off #30

TEN win probability

ours 32.9% book 33.1%

18%

48%

book is 0.2 pts higher

Our number PHI -5.8 · 42.7

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

PHI -5.5 -110* TEN +5.5 -110*

Total

Over 42.5 -110* Under 42.5 -110*

Moneyline

PHI win -230 TEN win +190

All 5 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	PHI spread	TEN spread	Over	Under	PHI win	TEN win
DraftKings	-7-110	+7-110	40.5-105	40.5-115	-298	+240
FanDuel	-7-110	+7-110	40.5-104	40.5-118	-375	+300
BetMGM	-7-108	+7-110	40-108	40-110	-325	+270
theScore Bet	-7-110	+7-110	40.5+100	40.5-120	-400	+300
Caesars	-7-109	+7-109	39.5-114	39.5-106	-345	+275

PHI offense vs TEN defense+1.9 pts

TEN offense vs PHI defense-4.3 pts

Full breakdown →

Pittsburgh Steelers

Power +0.0 · off #15

20–24

projected score

SUN SEP 20 · 1:00 PM

New England Patriots

Power +2.2 · off #2

NE win probability

ours 62% book 64%

48%

78%

book is 2 pts higher

Our number NE -4.0 · 43.2

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

PIT +4.5 -110* NE -4.5 -110*

Total

Over 43.5 -110* Under 43.5 -110*

Moneyline

PIT win +170 NE win -205

All 5 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	PIT spread	NE spread	Over	Under	PIT win	NE win
DraftKings	+5.5-110	-5.5-110	43.5-110	43.5-110	+200	-245
FanDuel	+4.5-104	-4.5-118	42.5-118	42.5-104	+194	-240
BetMGM	+5.5-110	-5.5-108	42.5-112	42.5-105	+200	-235
theScore Bet	+5.5-115	-5.5-105	42.5-120	42.5+100	+200	-240
Caesars	+5.5-109	-5.5-109	42.5-114	42.5-106	+200	-245

PIT offense vs NE defense-2.1 pts

NE offense vs PIT defense+0.1 pts

Full breakdown →

Jacksonville Jaguars

Power +2.4 · off #6

21–23

projected score

SUN SEP 20 · 4:05 PM

Denver Broncos

Power +1.8 · off #14

DEN win probability

ours 55% book 58%

41%

71%

book is 3 pts higher

Our number DEN -1.7 · 44.1

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

JAX +3 -110* DEN -3 -110*

Total

Over 43.5 -110* Under 43.5 -110*

Moneyline

JAX win +130 DEN win -155

All 5 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	JAX spread	DEN spread	Over	Under	JAX win	DEN win
DraftKings	+2.5+100	-2.5-120	43.5-110	43.5-110	+120	-142
FanDuel	+2.5-105	-2.5-115	44.5-110	44.5-110	+120	-142
BetMGM	+2.5-102	-2.5-115	44-110	44-108	+120	-145
theScore Bet	+2.5-105	-2.5-115	44.5-110	44.5-110	+120	-140
Caesars	+2.5-102	-2.5-118	43.5-115	43.5-105	+121	-143

JAX offense vs DEN defense-0.3 pts

DEN offense vs JAX defense-0.8 pts

Full breakdown →

Las Vegas Raiders

Power -4.4 · off #32

17–23

projected score

SUN SEP 20 · 4:05 PM · DIV

Los Angeles Chargers

Power +0.5 · off #20

LAC win probability

ours 68% book 76%

57%

87%

book is 8 pts higher

Our number LAC -6.1 · 40.8

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

LV +9.5 -110* LAC -9.5 -110*

Total

Over 42.5 -110* Under 42.5 -110*

Moneyline

LV win +300 LAC win -380

All 5 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	LV spread	LAC spread	Over	Under	LV win	LAC win
DraftKings	+7-115	-7-105	44.5-110	44.5-110	+235	-290
FanDuel	+7.5-122	-7.5+100	44.5-105	44.5-115	+300	-375
BetMGM	+7-110	-7-108	44-112	44-105	+260	-325
theScore Bet	+7-110	-7-110	44.5-105	44.5-115	+300	-400
Caesars	+7-112	-7-107	44.5-108	44.5-112	+260	-325

LV offense vs LAC defense-4.7 pts

LAC offense vs LV defense+0.3 pts

Full breakdown →

Miami Dolphins

Power -2.2 · off #25

19–27

projected score

SUN SEP 20 · 4:25 PM

San Francisco 49ers

Power +2.2 · off #10

SF win probability

ours 73% book 86%

65%

95%

book is 13 pts higher

Our number SF -8.2 · 45.3

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

MIA +12.5 -110* SF -12.5 -110*

Total

Over 45.5 -110* Under 45.5 -110*

Moneyline

MIA win +610 SF win -900

All 5 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	MIA spread	SF spread	Over	Under	MIA win	SF win
DraftKings	+12.5-110	-12.5-110	46.5-110	46.5-110	+625	-950
FanDuel	+13.5-118	-13.5-104	45.5-115	45.5-105	+640	-950
BetMGM	+13-110	-13-108	46-108	46-110	+650	-900
theScore Bet	+13-110	-13-110	45.5-115	45.5-105	+700	-1200
Caesars	+13-109	-13-109	45.5-115	45.5-105	+600	-950

MIA offense vs SF defense-2.1 pts

SF offense vs MIA defense+2.2 pts

Full breakdown →

Seattle Seahawks

Power +5.1 · off #3

25–21

projected score

SUN SEP 20 · 4:25 PM · DIV

Arizona Cardinals

Power -2.4 · off #23

ARI win probability

ours 37% book —

no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against

Our number SEA -4.5 · 45.6

The market —

SEA offense vs ARI defense+3.9 pts

ARI offense vs SEA defense-3.5 pts

Full breakdown →

Washington Commanders

Power -1.8 · off #22

25–27

projected score

SUN SEP 20 · 4:25 PM · DIV

Dallas Cowboys

Power -1.6 · off #7

DAL win probability

ours 56% book 64%

45%

75%

book is 8 pts higher

Our number DAL -2.0 · 52.0

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

WAS +4.5 -110* DAL -4.5 -110*

Total

Over 51.5 -110* Under 51.5 -110*

Moneyline

WAS win +164 DAL win -198

All 3 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	WAS spread	DAL spread	Over	Under	WAS win	DAL win
DraftKings	+4.5-115	-4.5-105	51.5-110	51.5-110	+164	-198
FanDuel	+4.5-105	-4.5-115	51.5-115	51.5-105	+190	-230
Caesars	+4.5-113	-4.5-108	51.5-110	51.5-110	+180	-218

WAS offense vs DAL defense+3.3 pts

DAL offense vs WAS defense+3.6 pts

Full breakdown →

Indianapolis Colts

Power +1.0 · off #8

21–25

projected score

SUN SEP 20 · 8:20 PM

Kansas City Chiefs

Power +1.1 · off #21

KC win probability

ours 61% book 71%

51%

81%

book is 10 pts higher

Our number KC -3.8 · 45.8

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

IND +6.5 -110* KC -6.5 -110*

Total

Over 47.5 -110* Under 47.5 -110*

Moneyline

IND win +225 KC win -278

All 4 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	IND spread	KC spread	Over	Under	IND win	KC win
DraftKings	+6.5-110	-6.5-110	48.5-110	48.5-110	+235	-290
FanDuel	+6.5-118	-6.5-104	47.5-118	47.5-104	+235	-290
BetMGM	—	—	48-112	48-105	+240	-295
Caesars	+6.5-109	-6.5-109	48.5-106	48.5-114	+230	-290

IND offense vs KC defense+0.3 pts

KC offense vs IND defense+0.4 pts

Full breakdown →

New York Giants

Power -2.0 · off #17

20–28

projected score

MON SEP 21 · 8:15 PM

Los Angeles Rams

Power +3.7 · off #1

LAR win probability

ours 73% book —

no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against

Our number LAR -8.0 · 47.4

The market —

NYG offense vs LAR defense-1.7 pts

LAR offense vs NYG defense+3.9 pts

Full breakdown →