New York Giants
@
Seattle Seahawks
MODEL SEA 76%
Week 14 · 2026-12-13 · 16:25
· Lumen Field (outdoors)
· fieldturf
Last 5 yrs H2H: NYG 1 – 2 SEA
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Vegas line (context)
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Game total O/U
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Final (away–home)
MODEL is the power-ratings spine — preseason, prior-only until 2026 snaps exist. Calibrated most-likely, no proven edge vs the close; the book number is shown beside it on purpose. Not a pick.
On the Field 2025 unit strength
NYG OFFENSE
vs
SEA DEFENSE
Balanced · 47% run
Avg pace
dual-threat QB
SEA OFFENSE
vs
NYG DEFENSE
Run-heavy · 49% run
Ball-control
Unit strength
weaker · avg · stronger
Position groups are shaded by team-unit strength (2025 pass/rush EPA, offense and defense) — not individual players. The defensive front you see is the wall this offense has to run into.
Unit Matchups 2025 · rank of 32
NYG OFFENSE
vs
SEA DEFENSE
-0.01 #19
Pass attack
DEF +11
#8 -0.10
+0.04 #5
Run game
even
#1 -0.15
218 #21
Pass yards
DEF +9
#12 213
129 #5
Rush yards
even
#3 92
2.8 #23
Pass pro vs rush
DEF +15
#8 2.8
40% #17
3rd down
DEF +16
#1 33%
59% #23
Red zone
DEF +19
#4 54%
SEA OFFENSE
vs
NYG DEFENSE
+0.11 #8
Pass attack
OFF +8
#16 +0.03
-0.05 #26
Run game
even
#32 +0.17
239 #9
Pass yards
OFF +8
#17 230
123 #11
Rush yards
OFF +20
#31 145
1.6 #6
Pass pro vs rush
OFF +11
#17 2.2
43% #10
3rd down
even
#14 40%
62% #18
Red zone
even
#22 68%
Rank gaps are where games tilt — a bottom-8 defense meeting a top-8 offense is the mismatch worth knowing about. 2025 regular-season data; EPA from play-by-play. Context, not a pick.
Pressure Matchup sacks · 2025
NYG PASS RUSH
vs
SEA PASS PRO
Brian Burns LB
16.5 sacks '25
Abdul Carter LB
4.0 sacks '25
Darius Alexander DT
3.5 sacks '25
1.6 #6
sacks allowed /g
#8 2.2
SEA PASS RUSH
vs
NYG PASS PRO
Byron Murphy II DT
9.0 sacks '25
Leonard Williams DE
8.0 sacks '25
DeMarcus Lawrence LB
8.0 sacks '25
2.8 #23
sacks allowed /g
#17 2.8
A top pass rush against a line that already leaks sacks is where pressure rate breaks a game open — the left rank is the blocking side, the right is the rush.
Position Matchups 2025 per-game · last-10 form
NYG
Jaxson Dart QB
vs #8 PASS D
162.3 pass y/g 8/10
Cam Skattebo RB
vs #1 RUN D
51.2 rush y/g 5/8
Malik Nabers WR1
vs #8 PASS D
67.8 rec y/g 2/4
Darius Slayton WR2
vs #8 PASS D
38.4 rec y/g 4/10
Darnell Mooney WR3
2025: ATL
vs #8 PASS D
29.5 rec y/g 4/10
Isaiah Likely TE
2025: BAL
vs #8 PASS D
25.6 rec y/g 4/10
SEA
Sam Darnold QB
vs #16 PASS D
236.0 pass y/g 5/10
Zach Charbonnet RB
vs #32 RUN D
44.1 rush y/g 5/10
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR1
vs #16 PASS D
99.6 rec y/g 3/10
Rashid Shaheed WR2
vs #16 PASS D
36.4 rec y/g 3/10
Cooper Kupp WR3
vs #16 PASS D
39.5 rec y/g 3/10
AJ Barner TE
vs #16 PASS D
29.3 rec y/g 4/10
Dot strips are each player's last 10 games against his own 2025 average — form, not a prop grade; we hold no lines yet. Grey team tags mark stats earned elsewhere. No pick.