Dallas Cowboys
@
Seattle Seahawks
MODEL SEA 75%
Week 13 · 2026-12-07 · 20:15
· Lumen Field (outdoors)
· fieldturf
Last 5 yrs H2H: DAL 1 – 0 SEA
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Vegas line (context)
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Game total O/U
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Final (away–home)
MODEL is the power-ratings spine — preseason, prior-only until 2026 snaps exist. Calibrated most-likely, no proven edge vs the close; the book number is shown beside it on purpose. Not a pick.
On the Field 2025 unit strength
DAL OFFENSE
vs
SEA DEFENSE
Balanced · 41% run
Avg pace
SEA OFFENSE
vs
DAL DEFENSE
Run-heavy · 49% run
Ball-control
Unit strength
weaker · avg · stronger
Position groups are shaded by team-unit strength (2025 pass/rush EPA, offense and defense) — not individual players. The defensive front you see is the wall this offense has to run into.
Unit Matchups 2025 · rank of 32
DAL OFFENSE
vs
SEA DEFENSE
+0.16 #5
Pass attack
even
#8 -0.10
+0.01 #15
Run game
DEF +14
#1 -0.15
279 #1
Pass yards
OFF +11
#12 213
126 #9
Rush yards
even
#3 92
1.8 #10
Pass pro vs rush
even
#8 2.8
43% #8
3rd down
even
#1 33%
62% #17
Red zone
DEF +13
#4 54%
SEA OFFENSE
vs
DAL DEFENSE
+0.11 #8
Pass attack
OFF +23
#31 +0.22
-0.05 #26
Run game
even
#31 +0.09
239 #9
Pass yards
OFF +23
#32 266
123 #11
Rush yards
OFF +12
#23 125
1.6 #6
Pass pro vs rush
OFF +18
#24 2.0
43% #10
3rd down
OFF +21
#31 48%
62% #18
Red zone
OFF +13
#31 72%
Rank gaps are where games tilt — a bottom-8 defense meeting a top-8 offense is the mismatch worth knowing about. 2025 regular-season data; EPA from play-by-play. Context, not a pick.
Pressure Matchup sacks · 2025
DAL PASS RUSH
vs
SEA PASS PRO
Rashan Gary LB
7.5 sacks '25
James Houston DE
5.5 sacks '25
Kenny Clark NT
3.0 sacks '25
1.6 #6
sacks allowed /g
#8 2.0
SEA PASS RUSH
vs
DAL PASS PRO
Byron Murphy II DT
9.0 sacks '25
Leonard Williams DE
8.0 sacks '25
DeMarcus Lawrence LB
8.0 sacks '25
1.8 #10
sacks allowed /g
#24 2.8
A top pass rush against a line that already leaks sacks is where pressure rate breaks a game open — the left rank is the blocking side, the right is the rush.
Position Matchups 2025 per-game · last-10 form
DAL
Dak Prescott QB
vs #8 PASS D
267.8 pass y/g 6/10
Javonte Williams RB
vs #1 RUN D
75.1 rush y/g 5/10
CeeDee Lamb WR1
vs #8 PASS D
82.8 rec y/g 4/10
George Pickens WR2
vs #8 PASS D
84.1 rec y/g 4/10
Ryan Flournoy WR3
vs #8 PASS D
31.7 rec y/g 4/10
Jake Ferguson TE
vs #8 PASS D
35.3 rec y/g 4/10
SEA
Sam Darnold QB
vs #31 PASS D
236.0 pass y/g 5/10
Zach Charbonnet RB
vs #31 RUN D
44.1 rush y/g 5/10
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR1
vs #31 PASS D
99.6 rec y/g 3/10
Rashid Shaheed WR2
vs #31 PASS D
36.4 rec y/g 3/10
Cooper Kupp WR3
vs #31 PASS D
39.5 rec y/g 3/10
AJ Barner TE
vs #31 PASS D
29.3 rec y/g 4/10
Dot strips are each player's last 10 games against his own 2025 average — form, not a prop grade; we hold no lines yet. Grey team tags mark stats earned elsewhere. No pick.