Seattle Seahawks
@
Las Vegas Raiders
MODEL LV 28%
Week 10 · 2026-11-15 · 16:05
· Allegiant Stadium (dome)
· grass
Last 5 yrs H2H: SEA 0 – 1 LV
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Vegas line (context)
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Game total O/U
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Final (away–home)
MODEL is the power-ratings spine — preseason, prior-only until 2026 snaps exist. Calibrated most-likely, no proven edge vs the close; the book number is shown beside it on purpose. Not a pick.
On the Field 2025 unit strength
SEA OFFENSE
vs
LV DEFENSE
Run-heavy · 49% run
Ball-control
LV OFFENSE
vs
SEA DEFENSE
Balanced · 39% run
Ball-control
Unit strength
weaker · avg · stronger
Position groups are shaded by team-unit strength (2025 pass/rush EPA, offense and defense) — not individual players. The defensive front you see is the wall this offense has to run into.
Unit Matchups 2025 · rank of 32
SEA OFFENSE
vs
LV DEFENSE
+0.11 #8
Pass attack
OFF +15
#23 +0.08
-0.05 #26
Run game
DEF +12
#14 -0.04
239 #9
Pass yards
even
#13 214
123 #11
Rush yards
even
#17 117
1.6 #6
Pass pro vs rush
OFF +15
#21 2.1
43% #10
3rd down
OFF +20
#30 47%
62% #18
Red zone
even
#11 59%
LV OFFENSE
vs
SEA DEFENSE
-0.19 #29
Pass attack
DEF +21
#8 -0.10
-0.26 #32
Run game
DEF +31
#1 -0.15
195 #26
Pass yards
DEF +14
#12 213
77 #32
Rush yards
DEF +29
#3 92
3.8 #32
Pass pro vs rush
DEF +24
#8 2.8
34% #29
3rd down
DEF +28
#1 33%
56% #27
Red zone
DEF +23
#4 54%
Rank gaps are where games tilt — a bottom-8 defense meeting a top-8 offense is the mismatch worth knowing about. 2025 regular-season data; EPA from play-by-play. Context, not a pick.
Pressure Matchup sacks · 2025
SEA PASS RUSH
vs
LV PASS PRO
Byron Murphy II DT
9.0 sacks '25
Leonard Williams DE
8.0 sacks '25
DeMarcus Lawrence LB
8.0 sacks '25
3.8 #32
sacks allowed /g
#21 2.8
LV PASS RUSH
vs
SEA PASS PRO
Maxx Crosby DE
10.0 sacks '25
Malcolm Koonce DE
4.5 sacks '25
Kwity Paye DE
4.0 sacks '25
1.6 #6
sacks allowed /g
#8 2.1
A top pass rush against a line that already leaks sacks is where pressure rate breaks a game open — the left rank is the blocking side, the right is the rush.
Position Matchups 2025 per-game · last-10 form
SEA
Sam Darnold QB
vs #23 PASS D
236.0 pass y/g 5/10
Zach Charbonnet RB
vs #14 RUN D
44.1 rush y/g 5/10
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR1
vs #23 PASS D
99.6 rec y/g 3/10
Rashid Shaheed WR2
vs #23 PASS D
36.4 rec y/g 3/10
Cooper Kupp WR3
vs #23 PASS D
39.5 rec y/g 3/10
AJ Barner TE
vs #23 PASS D
29.3 rec y/g 4/10
LV
Kirk Cousins QB
2025: ATL
vs #8 PASS D
172.1 pass y/g 6/10
Ashton Jeanty RB
vs #1 RUN D
57.4 rush y/g 4/10
Tre Tucker WR1
vs #8 PASS D
40.9 rec y/g 3/10
Jalen Nailor WR2
2025: MIN
vs #8 PASS D
26.1 rec y/g 4/10
Jack Bech WR3
vs #8 PASS D
16.0 rec y/g 5/10
Brock Bowers TE
vs #8 PASS D
56.7 rec y/g 3/10
Dot strips are each player's last 10 games against his own 2025 average — form, not a prop grade; we hold no lines yet. Grey team tags mark stats earned elsewhere. No pick.