Carolina Panthers
@
New Orleans Saints
DIV
MODEL NO 56%
Week 10 · 2026-11-15 · 13:00
· Caesars Superdome (dome)
· sportturf
Last 5 yrs H2H: CAR 4 – 6 NO
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Vegas line (context)
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Game total O/U
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Final (away–home)
MODEL is the power-ratings spine — preseason, prior-only until 2026 snaps exist. Calibrated most-likely, no proven edge vs the close; the book number is shown beside it on purpose. Not a pick.
On the Field 2025 unit strength
CAR OFFENSE
vs
NO DEFENSE
Balanced · 45% run
Ball-control
NO OFFENSE
vs
CAR DEFENSE
Balanced · 40% run
Avg pace
Unit strength
weaker · avg · stronger
Position groups are shaded by team-unit strength (2025 pass/rush EPA, offense and defense) — not individual players. The defensive front you see is the wall this offense has to run into.
Unit Matchups 2025 · rank of 32
CAR OFFENSE
vs
NO DEFENSE
-0.05 #25
Pass attack
DEF +13
#12 -0.05
-0.03 #22
Run game
DEF +20
#2 -0.07
194 #27
Pass yards
DEF +22
#5 196
116 #19
Rush yards
even
#19 121
2.1 #13
Pass pro vs rush
even
#11 2.6
36% #25
3rd down
DEF +20
#5 36%
59% #24
Red zone
DEF +9
#15 62%
NO OFFENSE
vs
CAR DEFENSE
-0.08 #27
Pass attack
even
#24 +0.11
-0.10 #31
Run game
even
#24 +0.02
237 #10
Pass yards
even
#14 215
94 #28
Rush yards
DEF +8
#20 123
2.9 #25
Pass pro vs rush
even
#28 1.8
40% #19
3rd down
OFF +13
#32 48%
50% #32
Red zone
DEF +20
#12 60%
Rank gaps are where games tilt — a bottom-8 defense meeting a top-8 offense is the mismatch worth knowing about. 2025 regular-season data; EPA from play-by-play. Context, not a pick.
Pressure Matchup sacks · 2025
CAR PASS RUSH
vs
NO PASS PRO
Derrick Brown DT
5.0 sacks '25
Jaelan Phillips LB
5.0 sacks '25
Nic Scourton LB
5.0 sacks '25
2.9 #25
sacks allowed /g
#11 1.8
NO PASS RUSH
vs
CAR PASS PRO
Chase Young DE
10.0 sacks '25
Carl Granderson DE
6.0 sacks '25
Tyree Wilson DE
4.0 sacks '25
2.1 #13
sacks allowed /g
#28 2.6
A top pass rush against a line that already leaks sacks is where pressure rate breaks a game open — the left rank is the blocking side, the right is the rush.
Position Matchups 2025 per-game · last-10 form
CAR
Bryce Young QB
vs #12 PASS D
192.6 pass y/g 4/10
Chuba Hubbard RB
vs #2 RUN D
34.8 rush y/g 2/10
Tetairoa McMillan WR1
vs #12 PASS D
60.8 rec y/g 4/10
Jalen Coker WR2
vs #12 PASS D
44.0 rec y/g 6/10
Xavier Legette WR3
vs #12 PASS D
23.2 rec y/g 2/10
Tommy Tremble TE
vs #12 PASS D
16.9 rec y/g 3/10
NO
Tyler Shough QB
vs #24 PASS D
216.7 pass y/g 7/10
Travis Etienne Jr. RB
2025: JAC
vs #24 RUN D
65.2 rush y/g 5/10
Chris Olave WR1
vs #24 PASS D
72.7 rec y/g 5/10
Jordyn Tyson WR2
vs #24 PASS D
— rec y/g
Devaughn Vele WR3
vs #24 PASS D
32.6 rec y/g 4/9
Juwan Johnson TE
vs #24 PASS D
52.3 rec y/g 5/10
Dot strips are each player's last 10 games against his own 2025 average — form, not a prop grade; we hold no lines yet. Grey team tags mark stats earned elsewhere. No pick.