Seattle Seahawks
@
Denver Broncos
MODEL DEN 46%
Week 6 · 2026-10-15 · 20:15
· Empower Field at Mile High (outdoors)
· grass
Last 5 yrs H2H: SEA 2 – 0 DEN
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Vegas line (context)
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Game total O/U
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Final (away–home)
MODEL is the power-ratings spine — preseason, prior-only until 2026 snaps exist. Calibrated most-likely, no proven edge vs the close; the book number is shown beside it on purpose. Not a pick.
On the Field 2025 unit strength
SEA OFFENSE
vs
DEN DEFENSE
Run-heavy · 49% run
Ball-control
DEN OFFENSE
vs
SEA DEFENSE
Balanced · 41% run
Avg pace
Unit strength
weaker · avg · stronger
Position groups are shaded by team-unit strength (2025 pass/rush EPA, offense and defense) — not individual players. The defensive front you see is the wall this offense has to run into.
Unit Matchups 2025 · rank of 32
SEA OFFENSE
vs
DEN DEFENSE
+0.11 #8
Pass attack
even
#6 -0.12
-0.05 #26
Run game
DEF +16
#10 -0.04
239 #9
Pass yards
even
#11 212
123 #11
Rush yards
DEF +9
#2 91
1.6 #6
Pass pro vs rush
even
#1 4.0
43% #10
3rd down
DEF +8
#2 34%
62% #18
Red zone
DEF +17
#1 48%
DEN OFFENSE
vs
SEA DEFENSE
+0.08 #9
Pass attack
even
#8 -0.10
+0.00 #16
Run game
DEF +15
#1 -0.15
231 #17
Pass yards
even
#12 213
119 #16
Rush yards
DEF +13
#3 92
1.4 #1
Pass pro vs rush
even
#8 2.8
43% #9
3rd down
DEF +8
#1 33%
63% #16
Red zone
DEF +12
#4 54%
Rank gaps are where games tilt — a bottom-8 defense meeting a top-8 offense is the mismatch worth knowing about. 2025 regular-season data; EPA from play-by-play. Context, not a pick.
Pressure Matchup sacks · 2025
SEA PASS RUSH
vs
DEN PASS PRO
Byron Murphy II DT
9.0 sacks '25
Leonard Williams DE
8.0 sacks '25
DeMarcus Lawrence LB
8.0 sacks '25
1.4 #1
sacks allowed /g
#1 2.8
DEN PASS RUSH
vs
SEA PASS PRO
Nik Bonitto LB
15.0 sacks '25
Jonathon Cooper LB
9.0 sacks '25
Zach Allen DE
8.5 sacks '25
1.6 #6
sacks allowed /g
#8 4.0
A top pass rush against a line that already leaks sacks is where pressure rate breaks a game open — the left rank is the blocking side, the right is the rush.
Position Matchups 2025 per-game · last-10 form
SEA
Sam Darnold QB
vs #6 PASS D
236.0 pass y/g 5/10
Zach Charbonnet RB
vs #10 RUN D
44.1 rush y/g 5/10
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR1
vs #6 PASS D
99.6 rec y/g 3/10
Rashid Shaheed WR2
vs #6 PASS D
36.4 rec y/g 3/10
Cooper Kupp WR3
vs #6 PASS D
39.5 rec y/g 3/10
AJ Barner TE
vs #6 PASS D
29.3 rec y/g 4/10
DEN
Bo Nix QB
vs #8 PASS D
233.9 pass y/g 5/10
J.K. Dobbins RB
vs #1 RUN D
77.2 rush y/g 5/10
Courtland Sutton WR1
vs #8 PASS D
57.2 rec y/g 5/10
Jaylen Waddle WR2
2025: MIA
vs #8 PASS D
56.9 rec y/g 4/10
Troy Franklin WR3
vs #8 PASS D
41.7 rec y/g 4/10
Evan Engram TE
vs #8 PASS D
27.1 rec y/g 4/10
Dot strips are each player's last 10 games against his own 2025 average — form, not a prop grade; we hold no lines yet. Grey team tags mark stats earned elsewhere. No pick.