Matchups — Week 6 14 games · heat = 2025 rank gap
SUN OCT 18 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Gillette Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
NYJ New York Jets at
3-14
#29
#31
NE New England Patriots
14-3
#2
#4
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRENE 76%
PASS ATTACK
Patriots #1
→
Jets #32
+31
RED ZONE
Patriots #9
→
Jets #29
+20
RUN GAME
Patriots #13
→
Jets #26
+13
SUN OCT 18 · 8:20 PM
Lambeau Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
DAL Dallas Cowboys at
7-9-1
#7
#32
GB Green Bay Packers
9-7-1
#16
#11
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREGB 64%
PASS ATTACK
Packers #3
→
Cowboys #31
+28
PASS ATTACK
Cowboys #5
→
Packers #22
+17
PASS PRO
Packers #7
→
Cowboys #24
+17
SUN OCT 18 · 4:05 PM · DIV
SoFi Stadium · dome
'25OFFDEF
ARI Arizona Cardinals at
3-14
#23
#29
LAR Los Angeles Rams
12-5
#1
#10
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRELAR 74%
PASS PRO
Rams #2
→
Cardinals #29
+27
PASS ATTACK
Rams #2
→
Cardinals #27
+25
RED ZONE
Rams #6
→
Cardinals #21
+15
SUN OCT 18 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Lucas Oil Stadium
'25OFFDEF
TEN Tennessee Titans at
3-14
#30
#28
IND Indianapolis Colts
8-9
#8
#21
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREIND 71%
RED ZONE
Colts #7
→
Titans #30
+23
RUN GAME
Colts #3
→
Titans #23
+20
PASS ATTACK
Colts #12
→
Titans #29
+17
MON OCT 19 · 8:15 PM
Levi's Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
WAS Washington Commanders at
5-12
#22
#27
SF San Francisco 49ers
12-5
#10
#13
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRESF 66%
PASS ATTACK
49ers #7
→
Commanders #30
+23
RED ZONE
49ers #8
→
Commanders #28
+20
PASS PRO
Commanders #15
→
49ers #32
+17
SUN OCT 18 · 1:00 PM
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
'25OFFDEF
CHI Chicago Bears at
11-6
#9
#23
ATL Atlanta Falcons
8-9
#24
#19
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREATL 51%
RUN GAME
Bears #4
→
Falcons #25
+21
PASS PRO
Falcons #4
→
Bears #22
+18
SUN OCT 18 · 1:00 PM
Raymond James Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
PIT Pittsburgh Steelers at
10-7
#15
#17
TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers
8-9
#18
#20
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRETB 56%
RED ZONE
Steelers #11
→
Buccaneers #32
+21
RUN GAME
Buccaneers #12
→
Steelers #20
+8
SUN OCT 18 · 9:30 AM · DIV
Wembley Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
HOU Houston Texans at
12-5
#13
#2
JAC Jacksonville Jaguars
13-4
#6
#8
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREJAC 48%
PASS PRO
Texans #9
→
Jaguars #27
+18
SUN OCT 18 · 4:25 PM
Allegiant Stadium · dome
'25OFFDEF
BUF Buffalo Bills at
12-5
#5
#12
LV Las Vegas Raiders
3-14
#32
#25
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRELV 34%
PASS ATTACK
Bills #6
→
Raiders #23
+17
RUN GAME
Bills #1
→
Raiders #14
+13
RED ZONE
Bills #3
→
Raiders #11
+8
SUN OCT 18 · 1:00 PM
Lincoln Financial Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
CAR Carolina Panthers at
8-9
#27
#15
PHI Philadelphia Eagles
11-6
#19
#5
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREPHI 67%
PASS PRO
Eagles #12
→
Panthers #28
+16
PASS ATTACK
Eagles #13
→
Panthers #24
+11
RUN GAME
Eagles #14
→
Panthers #24
+10
THU OCT 15 · 8:15 PM
Empower Field at Mile High · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
SEA Seattle Seahawks at
14-3
#3
#1
DEN Denver Broncos
14-3
#14
#3
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREDEN 46%
no major mismatch — evenly built
SUN OCT 18 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Huntington Bank Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
BAL Baltimore Ravens at
8-9
#11
#18
CLE Cleveland Browns
5-12
#31
#14
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRECLE 41%
no major mismatch — evenly built
SUN OCT 18 · 1:00 PM
MetLife Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
NO New Orleans Saints at
6-11
#28
#16
NYG New York Giants
4-13
#17
#26
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PRENYG 57%
no major mismatch — evenly built
SUN OCT 18 · 4:25 PM · DIV
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
LAC Los Angeles Chargers at
11-6
#20
#9
KAN Kansas City Chiefs
6-11
#21
#6
SPREAD—
TOTAL—
BOOK—
MODEL·PREKAN 58%
no major mismatch — evenly built
OFF/DEF are each team's 2025 points scored / allowed ranks (of 32); mismatch rows pair an offense unit with the defense it runs into — amber gap, weak side in red. SPREAD/TOTAL/BOOK are the market; MODEL is our calibrated spine (preseason, prior-only) — side by side on purpose, not a pick. Weather fills in as kickoff nears. Tap for the full dossier.