Matchups — Week 6 14 games · heat = 2025 rank gap

Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Sort Heat Kickoff
SUN OCT 18 · 1:00 PM · DIV Gillette Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
NYJ New York Jets at 3-14 #29 #31
NE New England Patriots 14-3 #2 #4
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRENE 76%
PASS ATTACK Patriots #1 Jets #32 +31
RED ZONE Patriots #9 Jets #29 +20
RUN GAME Patriots #13 Jets #26 +13
SUN OCT 18 · 8:20 PM Lambeau Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
DAL Dallas Cowboys at 7-9-1 #7 #32
GB Green Bay Packers 9-7-1 #16 #11
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREGB 64%
PASS ATTACK Packers #3 Cowboys #31 +28
PASS ATTACK Cowboys #5 Packers #22 +17
PASS PRO Packers #7 Cowboys #24 +17
SUN OCT 18 · 4:05 PM · DIV SoFi Stadium · dome
'25OFFDEF
ARI Arizona Cardinals at 3-14 #23 #29
LAR Los Angeles Rams 12-5 #1 #10
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRELAR 74%
PASS PRO Rams #2 Cardinals #29 +27
PASS ATTACK Rams #2 Cardinals #27 +25
RED ZONE Rams #6 Cardinals #21 +15
SUN OCT 18 · 1:00 PM · DIV Lucas Oil Stadium
'25OFFDEF
TEN Tennessee Titans at 3-14 #30 #28
IND Indianapolis Colts 8-9 #8 #21
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREIND 71%
RED ZONE Colts #7 Titans #30 +23
RUN GAME Colts #3 Titans #23 +20
PASS ATTACK Colts #12 Titans #29 +17
MON OCT 19 · 8:15 PM Levi's Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
WAS Washington Commanders at 5-12 #22 #27
SF San Francisco 49ers 12-5 #10 #13
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRESF 66%
PASS ATTACK 49ers #7 Commanders #30 +23
RED ZONE 49ers #8 Commanders #28 +20
PASS PRO Commanders #15 49ers #32 +17
SUN OCT 18 · 1:00 PM Mercedes-Benz Stadium
'25OFFDEF
CHI Chicago Bears at 11-6 #9 #23
ATL Atlanta Falcons 8-9 #24 #19
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREATL 51%
RUN GAME Bears #4 Falcons #25 +21
PASS PRO Falcons #4 Bears #22 +18
SUN OCT 18 · 1:00 PM Raymond James Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
PIT Pittsburgh Steelers at 10-7 #15 #17
TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8-9 #18 #20
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRETB 56%
RED ZONE Steelers #11 Buccaneers #32 +21
RUN GAME Buccaneers #12 Steelers #20 +8
SUN OCT 18 · 9:30 AM · DIV Wembley Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
HOU Houston Texans at 12-5 #13 #2
JAC Jacksonville Jaguars 13-4 #6 #8
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREJAC 48%
PASS PRO Texans #9 Jaguars #27 +18
SUN OCT 18 · 4:25 PM Allegiant Stadium · dome
'25OFFDEF
BUF Buffalo Bills at 12-5 #5 #12
LV Las Vegas Raiders 3-14 #32 #25
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRELV 34%
PASS ATTACK Bills #6 Raiders #23 +17
RUN GAME Bills #1 Raiders #14 +13
RED ZONE Bills #3 Raiders #11 +8
SUN OCT 18 · 1:00 PM Lincoln Financial Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
CAR Carolina Panthers at 8-9 #27 #15
PHI Philadelphia Eagles 11-6 #19 #5
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREPHI 67%
PASS PRO Eagles #12 Panthers #28 +16
PASS ATTACK Eagles #13 Panthers #24 +11
RUN GAME Eagles #14 Panthers #24 +10
THU OCT 15 · 8:15 PM Empower Field at Mile High · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
SEA Seattle Seahawks at 14-3 #3 #1
DEN Denver Broncos 14-3 #14 #3
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREDEN 46%
no major mismatch — evenly built
SUN OCT 18 · 1:00 PM · DIV Huntington Bank Field · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
BAL Baltimore Ravens at 8-9 #11 #18
CLE Cleveland Browns 5-12 #31 #14
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRECLE 41%
no major mismatch — evenly built
SUN OCT 18 · 1:00 PM MetLife Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
NO New Orleans Saints at 6-11 #28 #16
NYG New York Giants 4-13 #17 #26
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PRENYG 57%
no major mismatch — evenly built
SUN OCT 18 · 4:25 PM · DIV GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · outdoors
'25OFFDEF
LAC Los Angeles Chargers at 11-6 #20 #9
KAN Kansas City Chiefs 6-11 #21 #6
SPREAD
TOTAL
BOOK
MODEL·PREKAN 58%
no major mismatch — evenly built
OFF/DEF are each team's 2025 points scored / allowed ranks (of 32); mismatch rows pair an offense unit with the defense it runs into — amber gap, weak side in red. SPREAD/TOTAL/BOOK are the market; MODEL is our calibrated spine (preseason, prior-only) — side by side on purpose, not a pick. Weather fills in as kickoff nears. Tap for the full dossier.