Dallas Cowboys
@
Green Bay Packers
MODEL GB 64%
Week 6 · 2026-10-18 · 20:20
· Lambeau Field (outdoors)
· grass
Last 5 yrs H2H: DAL 0 – 3 GB
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Vegas line (context)
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Game total O/U
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Final (away–home)
MODEL is the power-ratings spine — preseason, prior-only until 2026 snaps exist. Calibrated most-likely, no proven edge vs the close; the book number is shown beside it on purpose. Not a pick.
On the Field 2025 unit strength
DAL OFFENSE
vs
GB DEFENSE
Balanced · 41% run
Avg pace
GB OFFENSE
vs
DAL DEFENSE
Balanced · 48% run
Ball-control
Unit strength
weaker · avg · stronger
Position groups are shaded by team-unit strength (2025 pass/rush EPA, offense and defense) — not individual players. The defensive front you see is the wall this offense has to run into.
Unit Matchups 2025 · rank of 32
DAL OFFENSE
vs
GB DEFENSE
+0.16 #5
Pass attack
OFF +17
#22 +0.08
+0.01 #15
Run game
even
#17 -0.02
279 #1
Pass yards
OFF +9
#10 207
126 #9
Rush yards
OFF +9
#18 118
1.8 #10
Pass pro vs rush
OFF +9
#19 2.1
43% #8
3rd down
OFF +8
#16 41%
62% #17
Red zone
even
#17 64%
GB OFFENSE
vs
DAL DEFENSE
+0.23 #3
Pass attack
OFF +28
#31 +0.22
-0.01 #19
Run game
OFF +12
#31 +0.09
226 #18
Pass yards
OFF +14
#32 266
120 #15
Rush yards
OFF +8
#23 125
1.7 #7
Pass pro vs rush
OFF +17
#24 2.0
49% #2
3rd down
OFF +29
#31 48%
63% #15
Red zone
OFF +16
#31 72%
Rank gaps are where games tilt — a bottom-8 defense meeting a top-8 offense is the mismatch worth knowing about. 2025 regular-season data; EPA from play-by-play. Context, not a pick.
Pressure Matchup sacks · 2025
DAL PASS RUSH
vs
GB PASS PRO
Rashan Gary LB
7.5 sacks '25
James Houston DE
5.5 sacks '25
Kenny Clark NT
3.0 sacks '25
1.7 #7
sacks allowed /g
#19 2.0
GB PASS RUSH
vs
DAL PASS PRO
Micah Parsons LB
12.5 sacks '25
Devonte Wyatt DT
4.0 sacks '25
Javon Hargrave NT
3.5 sacks '25
1.8 #10
sacks allowed /g
#24 2.1
A top pass rush against a line that already leaks sacks is where pressure rate breaks a game open — the left rank is the blocking side, the right is the rush.
Position Matchups 2025 per-game · last-10 form
DAL
Dak Prescott QB
vs #22 PASS D
267.8 pass y/g 6/10
Javonte Williams RB
vs #17 RUN D
75.1 rush y/g 5/10
CeeDee Lamb WR1
vs #22 PASS D
82.8 rec y/g 4/10
George Pickens WR2
vs #22 PASS D
84.1 rec y/g 4/10
Ryan Flournoy WR3
vs #22 PASS D
31.7 rec y/g 4/10
Jake Ferguson TE
vs #22 PASS D
35.3 rec y/g 4/10
GB
Jordan Love QB
vs #31 PASS D
231.5 pass y/g 6/10
Josh Jacobs RB
vs #31 RUN D
61.5 rush y/g 5/10
Christian Watson WR1
vs #31 PASS D
58.8 rec y/g 3/10
Jayden Reed WR2
vs #31 PASS D
41.7 rec y/g 3/6
Matthew Golden WR3
vs #31 PASS D
29.7 rec y/g 3/10
Tucker Kraft TE
vs #31 PASS D
61.1 rec y/g 2/8
Dot strips are each player's last 10 games against his own 2025 average — form, not a prop grade; we hold no lines yet. Grey team tags mark stats earned elsewhere. No pick.