The ratings' most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Shown beside the market's own number so you can see where they disagree. Not a pick.

Seattle Seahawks

Power +5.1 · off #3

21–22

projected score

THU OCT 15 · 8:15 PM

Denver Broncos

Power +1.8 · off #14

DEN win probability

ours 51% book —

no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against

Our number DEN -0.5 · 42.6

The market —

SEA offense vs DEN defense+0.4 pts

DEN offense vs SEA defense-2.9 pts

Full breakdown →

Houston Texans

Power +3.0 · off #13

21–20

projected score

SUN OCT 18 · 9:30 AM · DIV

Jacksonville Jaguars

Power +2.4 · off #6

JAX win probability

ours 47% book 50%

33%

63%

book is 3 pts higher

Our number HOU -0.9 · 41.5

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

HOU +1.5 -110* JAX -1.5 -110*

Total

Over 42.5 -110* Under 42.5 -110*

Moneyline

HOU win -108 JAX win -112

All 4 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	HOU spread	JAX spread	Over	Under	HOU win	JAX win
DraftKings	+1.5-122	-1.5+102	42.5-110	42.5-110	-108	-112
FanDuel	-1.5-104	+1.5-118	40.5-115	40.5-105	-112	-104
theScore Bet	-1-110	+1-110	42.5-105	42.5-115	-120	+100
Caesars	-1.5-102	+1.5-118	41.5-110	41.5-110	-116	-106

HOU offense vs JAX defense-0.5 pts

JAX offense vs HOU defense-1.1 pts

Full breakdown →

Baltimore Ravens

Power +1.8 · off #11

23–20

projected score

SUN OCT 18 · 1:00 PM · DIV

Cleveland Browns

Power -3.2 · off #31

CLE win probability

ours 42% book 31%

21%

51%

book is 11 pts lower

Our number BAL -2.6 · 43.0

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

BAL -6.5 -110* CLE +6.5 -110*

Total

Over 44.5 -110* Under 44.5 -110*

Moneyline

BAL win -250 CLE win +205

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	BAL spread	CLE spread	Over	Under	BAL win	CLE win
DraftKings	-6.5-110	+6.5-110	44.5-110	44.5-110	-250	+205
Caesars	-7-115	+7-115	42.5-115	42.5-115	-295	+235

BAL offense vs CLE defense+1.4 pts

CLE offense vs BAL defense-3.6 pts

Full breakdown →

Carolina Panthers

Power -2.1 · off #27

17–25

projected score

SUN OCT 18 · 1:00 PM

Philadelphia Eagles

Power +1.8 · off #19

PHI win probability

ours 72.2% book 70.5%

56%

86%

book is 1.7 pts lower

Our number PHI -7.7 · 41.4

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

CAR +6.5 -110* PHI -6.5 -110*

Total

Over 43.5 -110* Under 43.5 -110*

Moneyline

CAR win +225 PHI win -278

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	CAR spread	PHI spread	Over	Under	CAR win	PHI win
DraftKings	+6.5-110	-6.5-110	43.5-110	43.5-110	+225	-278
Caesars	+7-115	-7-115	41.5-115	41.5-115	+260	-355

CAR offense vs PHI defense-3.9 pts

PHI offense vs CAR defense+0.1 pts

Full breakdown →

Chicago Bears

Power +0.4 · off #9

25–21

projected score

SUN OCT 18 · 1:00 PM

Atlanta Falcons

Power -1.2 · off #24

ATL win probability

ours 36% book 42%

24%

54%

book is 6 pts higher

Our number CHI -4.7 · 45.9

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

CHI -3 -110* ATL +3 -110*

Total

Over 47.5 -110* Under 47.5 -110*

Moneyline

CHI win -155 ATL win +130

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	CHI spread	ATL spread	Over	Under	CHI win	ATL win
DraftKings	-3-110	+3-110	47.5-110	47.5-110	-155	+130
Caesars	-3-115	+3-115	47-115	47-115	-178	+150

CHI offense vs ATL defense+1.2 pts

ATL offense vs CHI defense-0.5 pts

Full breakdown →

New Orleans Saints

Power -2.2 · off #28

20–23

projected score

SUN OCT 18 · 1:00 PM

New York Giants

Power -2.0 · off #17

NYG win probability

ours 58.0% book 56.3%

42%

72%

book is 1.7 pts lower

Our number NYG -2.7 · 43.0

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

NO +2.5 -110* NYG -2.5 -110*

Total

Over 44.5 -110* Under 44.5 -110*

Moneyline

NO win +120 NYG win -142

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	NO spread	NYG spread	Over	Under	NO win	NYG win
DraftKings	+2.5-110	-2.5-110	44.5-110	44.5-110	+120	-142
Caesars	+3-115	-3-115	44.5-115	44.5-115	+150	-178

NO offense vs NYG defense-1.2 pts

NYG offense vs NO defense-1.0 pts

Full breakdown →

New York Jets

Power -4.9 · off #29

17–27

projected score

SUN OCT 18 · 1:00 PM · DIV

New England Patriots

Power +2.2 · off #2

NE win probability

ours 77% book —

no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against

Our number NE -9.8 · 44.0

The market —

NYJ offense vs NE defense-4.1 pts

NE offense vs NYJ defense+3.0 pts

Full breakdown →

Pittsburgh Steelers

Power +0.0 · off #15

22–23

projected score

SUN OCT 18 · 1:00 PM

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Power -0.1 · off #18

TB win probability

ours 54.8% book 53.2%

39%

69%

book is 1.6 pts lower

Our number TB -1.6 · 45.3

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

PIT +1.5 -110* TB -1.5 -110*

Total

Over 45.5 -110* Under 45.5 -110*

Moneyline

PIT win +105 TB win -125

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	PIT spread	TB spread	Over	Under	PIT win	TB win
DraftKings	+1.5-110	-1.5-110	45.5-110	45.5-110	+105	-125
Caesars	+2-115	-2-115	43.5-115	43.5-115	+100	-131

PIT offense vs TB defense+0.1 pts

TB offense vs PIT defense+0.0 pts

Full breakdown →

Tennessee Titans

Power -4.4 · off #30

20–28

projected score

SUN OCT 18 · 1:00 PM · DIV

Indianapolis Colts

Power +1.0 · off #8

IND win probability

ours 72% book 64%

53%

83%

book is 8 pts lower

Our number IND -7.8 · 48.0

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

TEN +3.5 -110* IND -3.5 -110*

Total

Over 47.5 -110* Under 47.5 -110*

Moneyline

TEN win +164 IND win -198

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	TEN spread	IND spread	Over	Under	TEN win	IND win
DraftKings	+3.5-110	-3.5-110	47.5-110	47.5-110	+164	-198
Caesars	+4.5-115	-4.5-115	46.5-115	46.5-115	+190	-260

TEN offense vs IND defense-1.2 pts

IND offense vs TEN defense+4.1 pts

Full breakdown →

Arizona Cardinals

Power -2.4 · off #23

20–28

projected score

SUN OCT 18 · 4:05 PM · DIV

Los Angeles Rams

Power +3.7 · off #1

LAR win probability

ours 75% book —

no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against

Our number LAR -8.9 · 48.0

The market —

ARI offense vs LAR defense-1.6 pts

LAR offense vs ARI defense+4.5 pts

Full breakdown →

Buffalo Bills

Power +2.8 · off #4

26–20

projected score

SUN OCT 18 · 4:25 PM

Las Vegas Raiders

Power -4.4 · off #32

LV win probability

ours 34% book 30%

17%

47%

book is 4 pts lower

Our number BUF -5.3 · 45.8

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

BUF -6.5 -110* LV +6.5 -110*

Total

Over 47.5 -110* Under 47.5 -110*

Moneyline

BUF win -265 LV win +215

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	BUF spread	LV spread	Over	Under	BUF win	LV win
DraftKings	-6.5-110	+6.5-110	47.5-110	47.5-110	-265	+215
Caesars	-7-115	+7-115	48.5-115	48.5-115	-355	+260

BUF offense vs LV defense+4.0 pts

LV offense vs BUF defense-3.3 pts

Full breakdown →

Los Angeles Chargers

Power +0.5 · off #20

19–22

projected score

SUN OCT 18 · 4:25 PM · DIV

Kansas City Chiefs

Power +1.1 · off #21

KC win probability

ours 61% book 56%

43%

73%

book is 5 pts lower

Our number KC -3.6 · 40.7

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

LAC +2.5 -110* KC -2.5 -110*

Total

Over 46.5 -110* Under 46.5 -110*

Moneyline

LAC win +120 KC win -142

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	LAC spread	KC spread	Over	Under	LAC win	KC win
DraftKings	+2.5-110	-2.5-110	46.5-110	46.5-110	+120	-142
Caesars	+2.5-110	-2.5-120	46.5-115	46.5-115	+125	-155

LAC offense vs KC defense-2.5 pts

KC offense vs LAC defense-2.0 pts

Full breakdown →

Dallas Cowboys

Power -1.6 · off #7

23–27

projected score

SUN OCT 18 · 8:20 PM

Green Bay Packers

Power +1.2 · off #16

GB win probability

ours 64% book 60%

47%

77%

book is 4 pts lower

Our number GB -4.8 · 49.9

The market consensus · tap to build a ticket

Spread

DAL +3 -110* GB -3 -110*

Total

Over 51.5 -110* Under 51.5 -110*

Moneyline

DAL win +142 GB win -170

All 2 books real prices · tap one to build the ticket at that book

Book	DAL spread	GB spread	Over	Under	DAL win	GB win
DraftKings	+3-110	-3-110	51.5-110	51.5-110	+142	-170
Caesars	+3.5-120	-3.5-110	51.5-115	51.5-115	+160	-191

DAL offense vs GB defense+1.0 pts

GB offense vs DAL defense+3.7 pts

Full breakdown →

Washington Commanders

Power -1.8 · off #22

21–27

projected score

MON OCT 19 · 8:15 PM

San Francisco 49ers

Power +2.2 · off #10

SF win probability

ours 68% book —

no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against

Our number SF -6.2 · 47.2

The market —

WAS offense vs SF defense-1.0 pts

SF offense vs WAS defense+3.0 pts

Full breakdown →