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The full slate — Week 11
13 of 13 games
The ratings' most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Shown beside the market's own number so you can see where they disagree. Not a pick.
HOU win probability
ours 63%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
HOU -4.5 · 45.8
The market
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IND offense vs HOU defense-0.7 pts
HOU offense vs IND defense+1.3 pts
KC win probability
ours 71%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
KC -7.3 · 43.8
The market
—
ARI offense vs KC defense-2.4 pts
KC offense vs ARI defense+1.0 pts
CAR win probability
ours 38%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
BAL -4.1 · 45.0
The market
—
BAL offense vs CAR defense+1.9 pts
CAR offense vs BAL defense-2.0 pts
NYG win probability
ours 43%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
JAX -2.4 · 46.3
The market
—
JAX offense vs NYG defense+2.8 pts
NYG offense vs JAX defense-1.6 pts
BUF win probability
ours 75%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
BUF -8.8 · 47.7
The market
—
MIA offense vs BUF defense-1.2 pts
BUF offense vs MIA defense+3.8 pts
CHI win probability
ours 65%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
CHI -4.9 · 43.7
The market
—
NO offense vs CHI defense-2.0 pts
CHI offense vs NO defense+0.6 pts
DET win probability
ours 64%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
DET -4.6 · 49.4
The market
—
TB offense vs DET defense+0.9 pts
DET offense vs TB defense+3.4 pts
DAL win probability
ours 68%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
DAL -6.3 · 50.3
The market
—
TEN offense vs DAL defense+1.2 pts
DAL offense vs TEN defense+4.0 pts
LAC win probability
ours 73%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
LAC -8.0 · 43.3
The market
—
NYJ offense vs LAC defense-3.7 pts
LAC offense vs NYJ defense+1.8 pts
DEN win probability
ours 71%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
DEN -7.4 · 41.0
The market
—
LV offense vs DEN defense-5.2 pts
DEN offense vs LV defense+1.0 pts
PHI win probability
ours 62%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
PHI -3.9 · 42.3
The market
—
PIT offense vs PHI defense-2.3 pts
PHI offense vs PIT defense-0.5 pts
SF win probability
ours 55%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
SF -1.7 · 40.9
The market
—
MIN offense vs SF defense-2.1 pts
SF offense vs MIN defense-0.3 pts
WAS win probability
ours 55%
book —
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number
WAS -1.8 · 50.4
The market
—
CIN offense vs WAS defense+2.9 pts
WAS offense vs CIN defense+2.4 pts