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The full slate — Week 11 13 of 13 games

The ratings' most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Shown beside the market's own number so you can see where they disagree. Not a pick.

Power +1.0 · off #8
21–25
projected score
THU NOV 19 · 8:15 PM · DIV
Power +3.0 · off #13
HOU win probability
ours 63% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number HOU -4.5 · 45.8
The market
IND offense vs HOU defense-0.7 pts
HOU offense vs IND defense+1.3 pts
Full breakdown →
Power -2.4 · off #23
18–26
projected score
SUN NOV 22 · 1:00 PM
Power +1.1 · off #21
KC win probability
ours 71% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number KC -7.3 · 43.8
The market
ARI offense vs KC defense-2.4 pts
KC offense vs ARI defense+1.0 pts
Full breakdown →
Power +1.8 · off #11
25–20
projected score
SUN NOV 22 · 1:00 PM
Power -2.1 · off #27
CAR win probability
ours 38% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number BAL -4.1 · 45.0
The market
BAL offense vs CAR defense+1.9 pts
CAR offense vs BAL defense-2.0 pts
Full breakdown →
Power +2.4 · off #6
24–22
projected score
SUN NOV 22 · 1:00 PM
Power -2.0 · off #17
NYG win probability
ours 43% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number JAX -2.4 · 46.3
The market
JAX offense vs NYG defense+2.8 pts
NYG offense vs JAX defense-1.6 pts
Full breakdown →
Power -2.2 · off #25
19–28
projected score
SUN NOV 22 · 1:00 PM · DIV
Power +2.8 · off #4
BUF win probability
ours 75% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number BUF -8.8 · 47.7
The market
MIA offense vs BUF defense-1.2 pts
BUF offense vs MIA defense+3.8 pts
Full breakdown →
Power -2.2 · off #28
19–24
projected score
SUN NOV 22 · 1:00 PM
Power +0.4 · off #9
CHI win probability
ours 65% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number CHI -4.9 · 43.7
The market
NO offense vs CHI defense-2.0 pts
CHI offense vs NO defense+0.6 pts
Full breakdown →
Power -0.1 · off #18
22–27
projected score
SUN NOV 22 · 1:00 PM
Power +2.4 · off #5
DET win probability
ours 64% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number DET -4.6 · 49.4
The market
TB offense vs DET defense+0.9 pts
DET offense vs TB defense+3.4 pts
Full breakdown →
Power -4.4 · off #30
22–28
projected score
SUN NOV 22 · 1:00 PM
Power -1.6 · off #7
DAL win probability
ours 68% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number DAL -6.3 · 50.3
The market
TEN offense vs DAL defense+1.2 pts
DAL offense vs TEN defense+4.0 pts
Full breakdown →
Power -4.9 · off #29
18–26
projected score
SUN NOV 22 · 4:05 PM
Power +0.5 · off #20
LAC win probability
ours 73% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number LAC -8.0 · 43.3
The market
NYJ offense vs LAC defense-3.7 pts
LAC offense vs NYJ defense+1.8 pts
Full breakdown →
Power -4.4 · off #32
17–24
projected score
SUN NOV 22 · 4:25 PM · DIV
Power +1.8 · off #14
DEN win probability
ours 71% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number DEN -7.4 · 41.0
The market
LV offense vs DEN defense-5.2 pts
DEN offense vs LV defense+1.0 pts
Full breakdown →
Power +0.0 · off #15
19–23
projected score
SUN NOV 22 · 4:25 PM
Power +1.8 · off #19
PHI win probability
ours 62% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number PHI -3.9 · 42.3
The market
PIT offense vs PHI defense-2.3 pts
PHI offense vs PIT defense-0.5 pts
Full breakdown →
Power +0.4 · off #26
20–21
projected score
SUN NOV 22 · 8:20 PM
Power +2.2 · off #10
SF win probability
ours 55% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number SF -1.7 · 40.9
The market
MIN offense vs SF defense-2.1 pts
SF offense vs MIN defense-0.3 pts
Full breakdown →
Power -1.3 · off #12
24–26
projected score
MON NOV 23 · 8:15 PM
Power -1.8 · off #22
WAS win probability
ours 55% book
no book price captured for this game yet — nothing to compare against
Our number WAS -1.8 · 50.4
The market
CIN offense vs WAS defense+2.9 pts
WAS offense vs CIN defense+2.4 pts
Full breakdown →