BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

On the board
0 priced of 123
Median gap
—
Straight up
104–32
Model state
—
Wk 0 Wk 1 Wk 2 Wk 3 Wk 4 Wk 5 Wk 6 Wk 7 Wk 8 Wk 9 Wk 10 Wk 11 Wk 12 Wk 13 Wk 14 Wk 15
● Top projected winners 76% · 104-32 this season

The model's most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Graded straight-up on the public record once games are played.

Top projected winners ranked by our win probability · graded straight up, never against a price

No game on this slate has a win probability to rank yet.

Top spread reads ranked by the book’s de-vigged lean toward our side — the only calibrated cover probability here; “we differ by” is distance, not confidence

No game on this slate has a book spread to compare against yet.

Top total reads ranked by the book’s de-vigged lean toward our side; the points are our distance from the line

No game on this slate has a book total to compare against yet.

Top team totals our projected score against the book’s team total · 0 games priced this week

No book has posted a team total on this slate yet.

All games 123 Sheet Panels All games
KickoffMatchupDivOur side Our projectionMarket Best number (tap to add)
2026-09-247:30 PM Liberty @ Coastal Carolina Conway, SC FBS CCU to winCCU 58% 26–27 · 52.9 — no line
2026-09-254:00 PM Army @ Temple Philadelphia, PA FBS ARMY to winARMY 57% 25–21 · 46.0 — no line
2026-09-257:00 PM Howard @ Rutgers Piscataway, NJ FCS FBS RUTG to winRUTG 93% 16–40 · 55.6 — no line
2026-09-257:00 PM Navy @ UAB Birmingham, AL FBS NAVY to winNAVY 69% 32–22 · 53.4 — no line
2026-09-257:00 PM Harvard @ Brown Providence, RI FCS HARV to winHARV 80% 38–24 · 62.0 — no line
2026-09-258:00 PM ● Northwestern @ Indiana Bloomington, IN FBS IU to winIU 88% 16–34 · 49.5 — no line
2026-09-2510:30 PM ● Clemson @ California Berkeley, CA FBS CLEM to winCLEM 67% 32–20 · 52.1 — no line
2026-09-26TBD ● South Carolina @ Alabama Tuscaloosa, AL FBS ALA to winALA 86% 17–34 · 51.0 — no line
2026-09-26TBD ● Vanderbilt @ Auburn Auburn, AL FBS AUB to winAUB 53% 23–27 · 50.0 — no line
2026-09-26TBD ● Ole Miss @ Florida Gainesville, FL FBS MISS to winFLA 57% 26–30 · 55.6 — no line
2026-09-26TBD ● Oklahoma @ Georgia Athens, GA FBS UGA to winUGA 53% 24–28 · 51.5 —
2026-09-26TBD ● Texas A&M @ LSU Baton Rouge, LA FBS TA&M to winLSU 57% 27–27 · 53.6 —
2026-09-26TBD ● Missouri @ Mississippi State Starkville, MS FBS MSST to winMSST 55% 27–28 · 55.0 — no line
2026-09-26TBD ● Sam Houston @ Texas Tech Lubbock, TX FBS TTU to winTTU 98% 10–44 · 53.7 — no line
2026-09-26TBD ● Houston @ Georgia Southern Statesboro, GA FBS HOU to winHOU 64% 32–19 · 51.2 — no line
2026-09-26TBD ● Colorado @ Baylor Waco, TX FBS BAY to winBAY 61% 22–30 · 52.1 — no line
2026-09-26TBD ● Kansas State @ Cincinnati Cincinnati, OH FBS KSU to winKSU 66% 30–21 · 50.9 — no line
2026-09-26TBD ● TCU @ UCF Orlando, FL FBS TCU to winTCU 55% 23–23 · 46.3 — no line
2026-09-26TBD ● Utah @ Iowa State Ames, IA FBS UTAH to winUTAH 65% 30–20 · 49.9 — no line
2026-09-26TBD ● Oklahoma State @ West Virginia Morgantown, WV FBS WVU to winWVU 61% 22–31 · 53.0 — no line
2026-09-26TBD Central Arkansas @ Florida State Tallahassee, FL FCS FBS FSU to winFSU 97% 14–45 · 59.4 — no line
2026-09-26TBD ● Delaware @ Virginia Charlottesville, VA FBS UVA to winUVA 85% 20–33 · 52.9 — no line
2026-09-26TBD ● Missouri State @ SMU Dallas, TX FBS SMU to winSMU 91% 14–39 · 53.0 — no line
2026-09-26TBD ● Virginia Tech @ Boston College Chestnut Hill, MA FBS VT to winVT 64% 32–20 · 52.1 — no line
2026-09-26TBD ● Wake Forest @ Louisville Louisville, KY FBS LOU to winLOU 67% 24–32 · 56.3 — no line
2026-09-26TBD ● UCLA @ Maryland College Park, MD FBS UCLA to winUCLA 62% 26–25 · 51.1 — no line
2026-09-26TBD ● Iowa @ Michigan Ann Arbor, MI FBS IOWA to winMICH 52% 22–22 · 43.8 — no line
2026-09-26TBD ● Nebraska @ Michigan State East Lansing, MI FBS NEB to winNEB 56% 28–24 · 51.9 — no line
2026-09-26TBD ● Illinois @ Ohio State Columbus, OH FBS OSU to winOSU 87% 15–34 · 48.2 — no line
2026-09-26TBD ● Wisconsin @ Penn State University Park, PA FBS PSU to winPSU 87% 12–33 · 44.7 — no line
2026-09-26TBD ● Notre Dame @ Purdue West Lafayette, IN FBS ND to winND 93% 41–14 · 54.4 — no line
2026-09-26TBD ● Oregon @ USC Los Angeles, CA FBS USC to winUSC 55% 26–30 · 56.6 —
2026-09-26TBD ● Minnesota @ Washington Seattle, WA FBS WASH to winWASH 84% 15–30 · 45.3 — no line
2026-09-26TBD San Diego State @ Toledo Toledo, OH FBS TOL to winTOL 61% 22–26 · 48.6 — no line
2026-09-26TBD Colorado State @ UTSA San Antonio, TX FBS UTSA to winUTSA 80% 18–36 · 54.8 — no line
2026-09-26TBD Boise State @ Western Michigan Kalamazoo, MI FBS BOIS to winBOIS 58% 26–24 · 49.1 — no line
2026-09-26TBD UConn @ Miami (OH) Oxford, OH FBS M-OH to winM-OH 59% 22–31 · 53.4 — no line
2026-09-26TBD Louisiana @ Charlotte Charlotte, NC FBS UL to winUL 87% 37–16 · 52.6 — no line
2026-09-26TBD Florida Atlantic @ UL Monroe Monroe, LA FBS FAU to winFAU 60% 32–27 · 59.1 — no line
2026-09-26TBD Southern Miss @ Tulane New Orleans, LA FBS TULN to winTULN 76% 21–29 · 50.1 — no line
2026-09-26TBD South Florida @ Bowling Green Bowling Green, OH FBS USF to winUSF 88% 36–17 · 53.0 — no line
2026-09-26TBD Air Force @ Nevada Reno, NV FBS NEV to winNEV 51% 24–26 · 50.0 — no line
2026-09-26TBD Northern Illinois @ Georgia State Atlanta, GA FBS GAST to winGAST 60% 22–27 · 49.0 — no line
2026-09-26TBD UNLV @ Akron Akron, OH FBS UNLV to winUNLV 64% 26–25 · 51.4 — no line
2026-09-26TBD ● App State @ NC State Raleigh, NC FBS NCSU to winNCSU 69% 21–32 · 52.5 — no line
2026-09-26TBD Ball State @ Kent State Kent, OH FBS BALL to winBALL 52% 27–27 · 54.3 — no line
2026-09-26TBD Massachusetts @ Sacramento State Sacramento, CA FBS FCS MASS to winMASS 56% 30–27 · 57.0 — no line
2026-09-26TBD Norfolk State @ Chicago State Bridgeview, IL FCS NON-D1 CHIC to winCHIC 51% 30–30 · 59.7 — no line
2026-09-26TBD Southern @ Jackson State Jackson, MS FCS JKST to winJKST 84% 22–39 · 61.0 — no line
2026-09-26TBD James Madison @ Old Dominion Norfolk, VA FBS JMU to winJMU 57% 27–26 · 53.1 — no line
2026-09-2612:00 PM ● Texas @ Tennessee Knoxville, TN FBS TEX to winTENN 53% 28–29 · 57.1 —
2026-09-2612:00 PM Bucknell @ Pittsburgh Pittsburgh, PA FCS FBS PITT to winPITT 99% 4–48 · 52.3 — no line
2026-09-2612:00 PM New Hampshire @ Sacred Heart Fairfield, CT FCS UNH to winUNH 55% 30–28 · 57.4 — no line
2026-09-2612:00 PM Presbyterian @ Marist Poughkeepsie, NY FCS PRES to winPRES 57% 27–24 · 51.5 — no line
2026-09-2612:00 PM Rio Grande @ Duquesne Pittsburgh, PA NON-D1 FCS RIO to winRIO 74% 34–23 · 56.4 — no line
2026-09-2612:30 PM Columbia @ Georgetown Washington, DC FCS COLU to winCOLU 56% 26–23 · 48.7 — no line
2026-09-2612:30 PM Holy Cross @ Lafayette Easton, PA FCS LAF to winLAF 67% 24–30 · 53.9 — no line
2026-09-2612:45 PM ● South Alabama @ Kentucky Lexington, KY FBS UK to winUK 70% 23–29 · 51.6 — no line
2026-09-261:00 PM Lindenwood @ Eastern Michigan Ypsilanti, MI FCS FBS EMU to winEMU 91% 17–38 · 54.9 — no line
2026-09-261:00 PM Monmouth @ Dartmouth Hanover, NH FCS DART to winDART 65% 27–33 · 60.2 — no line
2026-09-261:00 PM Stony Brook @ Fordham Bronx, NY FCS STBK to winSTBK 65% 31–25 · 55.5 — no line
2026-09-261:00 PM Yale @ Cornell Ithaca, NY FCS YALE to winYALE 84% 35–18 · 53.0 — no line
2026-09-261:00 PM North Dakota @ Indiana State Terre Haute, IN FCS UND to winUND 94% 44–19 · 63.0 — no line
2026-09-261:00 PM Lehigh @ Pennsylvania Philadelphia, PA FCS LEH to winLEH 81% 36–22 · 57.4 — no line
2026-09-261:00 PM Drake @ Davidson Davidson, NC FCS DRKE to winDRKE 63% 32–27 · 59.1 — no line
2026-09-261:00 PM New Haven @ Merrimack North Andover, MA FCS MRMK to winMRMK 76% 20–31 · 51.2 — no line
2026-09-261:30 PM Tennessee Tech @ Wofford Spartanburg, SC FCS TNTC to winTNTC 73% 29–19 · 47.2 — no line
2026-09-262:00 PM Maine @ Elon Elon, NC FCS ELON to winELON 90% 14–34 · 48.0 — no line
2026-09-262:00 PM South Dakota @ Youngstown State Youngstown, OH FCS SDAK to winSDAK 57% 35–32 · 66.5 — no line
2026-09-262:00 PM Furman @ Richmond Richmond, VA FCS FUR to winFUR 59% 27–23 · 50.7 — no line
2026-09-262:00 PM UT Martin @ Austin Peay Clarksville, TN FCS APSU to winAPSU 86% 18–36 · 53.4 — no line
2026-09-262:00 PM Butler @ Valparaiso Valparaiso, IN FCS BUT to winBUT 78% 36–23 · 58.5 — no line
2026-09-262:00 PM San Diego @ St. Thomas-Minnesota Saint Paul, MN FCS STMN to winSTMN 82% 23–38 · 60.9 — no line
2026-09-262:00 PM Chattanooga @ The Citadel Charleston, SC FCS UTC to winUTC 59% 30–26 · 55.9 — no line
2026-09-262:30 PM Colgate @ Villanova Philadelphia, PA FCS VILL to winVILL 57% 25–28 · 53.3 — no line
2026-09-263:00 PM Hawai'i @ Wyoming Laramie, WY FBS HAW to winHAW 59% 25–22 · 47.7 — no line
2026-09-263:00 PM UAlbany @ Princeton Princeton, NJ FCS UALB to winUALB 52% 24–23 · 46.5 — no line
2026-09-263:30 PM William & Mary @ Duke Durham, NC FCS FBS DUKE to winDUKE 99% 11–47 · 58.5 — no line
2026-09-263:30 PM New Mexico @ New Mexico State Las Cruces, NM FBS UNM to winUNM 74% 33–19 · 51.8 — no line
2026-09-263:30 PM Robert Morris @ Buffalo Buffalo, NY FCS FBS BUF to winBUF 87% 15–34 · 49.0 — no line
2026-09-263:30 PM Stonehill @ Ohio Athens, OH FCS FBS OHIO to winOHIO 98% 9–41 · 49.9 — no line
2026-09-263:30 PM Gardner-Webb @ Marshall Huntington, WV FCS FBS MRSH to winMRSH 91% 18–39 · 57.2 — no line
2026-09-263:30 PM Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State Johnson City, TN FCS ETSU to winETSU 56% 33–35 · 67.8 — no line
2026-09-263:30 PM VMI @ Samford Birmingham, AL FCS SAM to winSAM 71% 20–29 · 49.0 — no line
2026-09-264:00 PM North Carolina Central @ East Carolina Greenville, NC FCS FBS ECU to winECU 98% 12–44 · 55.7 — no line
2026-09-264:00 PM Rhode Island @ North Carolina A&T Greensboro, NC FCS URI to winURI 96% 41–14 · 55.0 — no line
2026-09-264:00 PM Western Illinois @ North Alabama Florence, AL FCS UNA to winUNA 62% 27–32 · 59.8 — no line
2026-09-264:00 PM Texas Southern @ Alcorn State Lorman, MS FCS ALCN to winALCN 68% 27–35 · 61.7 — no line
2026-09-264:00 PM Lamar @ Nicholls Thibodaux, LA FCS LAM to winLAM 54% 25–23 · 48.4 — no line
2026-09-265:00 PM Illinois State @ Northern Iowa Cedar Falls, IA FCS ILST to winILST 82% 36–21 · 56.7 — no line
2026-09-266:00 PM Incarnate Word @ Texas State San Marcos, TX FCS FBS TXST to winTXST 92% 21–44 · 64.8 — no line
2026-09-266:00 PM Campbell @ Hampton Hampton, VA FCS CAM to winCAM 88% 37–18 · 55.0 — no line
2026-09-266:00 PM Towson @ Delaware State Dover, DE FCS DSU to winDSU 70% 22–30 · 52.4 — no line
2026-09-266:00 PM Long Island University @ Florida International Miami, FL FCS FBS FIU to winFIU 97% 10–40 · 49.9 — no line
2026-09-266:00 PM Fort Valley State @ West Georgia Carrollton, GA NON-D1 FCS FORT to winFORT 77% 32–20 · 52.5 — no line
2026-09-266:00 PM Northeastern State @ Stephen F. Austin Nacogdoches, TX NON-D1 FCS SFA to winSFA 97% 14–43 · 57.2 — no line
2026-09-266:00 PM Mississippi Valley State @ Alabama State Montgomery, AL FCS ALST to winALST 92% 16–39 · 54.8 — no line
2026-09-266:30 PM ● Central Michigan @ Miami Miami Gardens, FL FBS MIA to winMIA 98% 6–42 · 47.5 — no line
2026-09-267:00 PM Southern Illinois @ Murray State Murray, KY FCS SIU to winSIU 92% 39–17 · 55.8 — no line
2026-09-267:00 PM South Carolina State @ Bethune-Cookman Daytona Beach, FL FCS SCST to winSCST 65% 37–30 · 67.3 — no line
2026-09-267:00 PM Cal Poly @ Eastern Washington Cheney, WA FCS EWU to winEWU 60% 27–31 · 58.0 — no line
2026-09-267:00 PM Eastern Illinois @ South Dakota State Brookings, SD FCS SDST to winSDST 95% 17–43 · 60.5 — no line
2026-09-267:00 PM Alabama A&M @ Florida A&M Tallahassee, FL FCS FAMU to winFAMU 54% 28–30 · 58.1 — no line
2026-09-267:00 PM SE Louisiana @ Northwestern State Natchitoches, LA FCS SELA to winSELA 86% 38–21 · 59.5 — no line
2026-09-267:00 PM Prairie View A&M @ Grambling Dallas, TX · neutral FCS PV to winPV 50% 29–29 · 58.2 — no line
2026-09-267:00 PM East Texas A&M @ McNeese Lake Charles, LA FCS MCN to winMCN 71% 22–31 · 53.6 — no line
2026-09-267:00 PM Kennesaw State @ Arkansas State Jonesboro, AR FBS ARST to winARST 64% 22–32 · 53.3 — no line
2026-09-267:00 PM Mercyhurst @ Western Kentucky Bowling Green, KY FCS FBS WKU to winWKU 95% 17–44 · 61.6 — no line
2026-09-267:00 PM Middle Tennessee @ Jacksonville State Jacksonville, AL FBS JXST to winJXST 71% 21–32 · 53.1 — no line
2026-09-267:00 PM West Florida @ Southeast Missouri State Cape Girardeau, MO NON-D1 FCS WEST to winWEST 70% 32–23 · 54.6 — no line
2026-09-267:30 PM ● Arizona @ Washington State Pullman, WA FBS ARIZ to winARIZ 69% 29–19 · 48.0 — no line
2026-09-267:30 PM Troy @ Utah State Logan, UT FBS USU to winUSU 67% 22–30 · 52.1 — no line
2026-09-267:30 PM Houston Christian @ North Texas Denton, TX FCS FBS UNT to winUNT 99% 10–54 · 63.4 — no line
2026-09-268:00 PM ● Tulsa @ Arkansas Fayetteville, AR FBS ARK to winARK 68% 24–29 · 53.3 — no line
2026-09-268:00 PM Mercer @ Abilene Christian Abilene, TX FCS ACU to winACU 50% 26–26 · 52.0 — no line
2026-09-268:00 PM Idaho State @ Southern Utah Cedar City, UT FCS IDST to winIDST 70% 36–28 · 63.8 — no line
2026-09-268:00 PM Utah Tech @ Northern Colorado Greeley, CO FCS UNCO to winUNCO 64% 23–29 · 51.4 — no line
2026-09-268:00 PM Portland State @ Weber State Ogden, UT FCS WEB to winWEB 70% 29–38 · 66.9 — no line
2026-09-269:00 PM Oregon State @ UTEP El Paso, TX FBS ORST to winORST 61% 28–25 · 52.7 — no line
2026-09-2610:00 PM Rice @ Fresno State Fresno, CA FBS FRES to winFRES 71% 19–29 · 47.5 — no line
2026-09-2610:00 PM Montana @ UC Davis Davis, CA FCS UCD to winUCD 51% 29–30 · 58.6 — no line
2026-09-2610:30 PM ● Georgia Tech @ Stanford Stanford, CA FBS GT to winGT 65% 28–23 · 51.0 — no line
2026-09-2610:30 PM Northern Arizona @ Montana State Bozeman, MT FCS MTST to winMTST 95% 16–43 · 58.6 — no line

Every row links to its full breakdown.